The End of the Gold Rush? Global Demand for Precious Metals Is Changing
Global demand for precious metals is shifting. Gold started 2026 strongly, surpassing $5,500 per ounce, but experienced a sharp correction to below $4,000 by mid-year. It now behaves more like a risk asset, sensitive to interest rate changes, rather than a traditional safe haven. However, Chinese central bank purchases continue to provide fundamental support, with its gold reserves reaching record highs and approaching 10% of its total forex reserves. Analysts from J.P. Morgan forecast a year-end recovery to the $4,350-$4,650 range.
Silver followed a more volatile path, soaring to $120 per ounce early in the year before halving in value, though current prices remain 70% above last year's levels. The industrial sector, particularly solar panel manufacturers (accounting for a fifth of global demand), is responding to high prices and supply deficits by increasing recycling and reducing metal usage per unit. Analysts note the supply deficit is easing due to increased mining investment, with WisdomTree projecting a gradual rise to $70 per ounce by Q2 2027, supported by expected gains in gold.
In conclusion, the precious metals market demands in-depth analysis, as prices are driven by a complex mix of industrial demand and central bank policies. Investors are advised to rely on verified analysis, diversify risks, and make decisions based on objective market facts.
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