TRON: Can TRX turn $0.30 retest into a fresh breakout?

ambcryptoОпубліковано о 2026-01-23Востаннє оновлено о 2026-01-23

Анотація

TRON (TRX) gained 2.87% in 24 hours, with recent developments including Justin Sun's $8 million investment in Riverdot Inc. and integrations with WalletConnect and Blockaid. The price retested the key $0.30 support level, which is seen as a potential buying opportunity. The 3-day chart shows a bullish structure, with next targets at $0.324 and $0.370. However, high RSI and declining trading volume pose risks. TRX's trend depends on Bitcoin's performance and capital inflows. A drop below $0.29 could signal a deeper retracement, but the overall bias remains bullish.

TRON [TRX] saw a 2.87% price gain in the past 24 hours. On the 22nd of January, AMBCrypto reported that Justin Sun made an $8 million strategic investment in Riverdot Inc., bringing Riverdot’s satUSD to the TRON network.

Earlier this month, two separate integrations were announced, with WalletConnect and Blockaid. Combined with Bitcoin [BTC] challenging the $90k mark, it appeared TRX bulls are ready for the next move.

TRON retests $0.30 as support

This development was vital and also presents a good trading opportunity. The high network usage and Sun’s strategic investment added weight to the price breakout.

AMBCrypto had highlighted the importance of the $0.30 resistance nearly two weeks ago.

The situation remained bullish. The 3-day chart showed a bullish swing structure, and the recent breakout past $0.3012 represented an internal structure shift as well. The current retest was, therefore, a good buying opportunity.

To the north, the next targets were $0.324 and $0.370. The OBV has been slowly trending higher since December, but the 20-period moving average of the trading volume has been falling since October.

Increased volume would imply market conviction following the recent breakout. Another minor warning sign was the RSI on the D3 timeframe, which was at 83. This was a high not seen since December 2024.

Threat of a failed breakout

Although less likely, investors should still prepare for this scenario. If Bitcoin fails to reclaim the $94.5k local support, it could dampen the short-lived altcoin bullishness seen in January.

Additionally, falling average trading volume on TRX and an overextended RSI on the 3-day time frame could be early warning signs of a failed breakout.

Why traders should stay bullish

The long-term structure (3-day swing structure) was bullish. The breakout past $0.30 ten days ago confirmed bullish intent. The current retest is likely to be defended and will likely initiate the next leg higher for TRX.

How high this impulse move can go depends on capital flow into BTC and TRX. The $0.37 level seems to be a reasonable target.


Final Thoughts

  • TRON trends would depend on Bitcoin and capital inflow to TRX in the coming days and weeks.
  • A drop below $0.29 would be a warning of a deeper retracement, but as things stand, swing traders can maintain a bullish bias.

Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer’s opinion.

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Пов'язані питання

QWhat recent strategic investment did Justin Sun make that is related to TRON?

AJustin Sun made an $8 million strategic investment in Riverdot Inc., which brought Riverdot's satUSD to the TRON network.

QWhat is the significance of TRON's price retesting the $0.30 level?

AThe retest of the $0.30 level is significant because it was a previous resistance point and its successful defense could present a good buying opportunity, potentially initiating the next upward move for TRX.

QWhat are the next price targets for TRX if the breakout is successful?

AThe next price targets for TRX to the north are $0.324 and $0.370.

QWhat are two potential warning signs mentioned that could indicate a failed breakout for TRX?

AThe two potential warning signs are falling average trading volume on TRX and an overextended RSI (83) on the 3-day timeframe.

QAccording to the article, what event could dampen the short-term bullishness for altcoins like TRX?

AIf Bitcoin fails to reclaim the $94.5k local support level, it could dampen the short-lived altcoin bullishness seen in January.

Пов'язані матеріали

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Coldcard Hardware Wallet Hacked: Losses Mount Due to Vulnerable Seed Generation A critical vulnerability in Coldcard hardware wallets has led to a continued wave of fund thefts. According to Galaxy Research, the total stolen has reached 1,367.05 BTC (approx. $88.6 million) from 4,585 addresses, a significant increase from the initial 594.5 BTC reported on July 30, 2026. Most of the stolen funds remain on the attackers' addresses. The issue is not with the current firmware, which Coinkite has updated, but with seed phrases generated on vulnerable devices between March 2021 and the release of fixed firmware versions. Due to a programmer error, devices switched from using a hardware random number generator to the software-based Yasmarang generator, which was initialized with publicly accessible data like the chip's serial number. This made the seed phrases predictable through offline brute-force attacks, meaning wallets remain at risk until funds are moved to a new wallet generated with the patched firmware. Affected devices include Mk2/Mk3 with firmware 4.0.1–4.1.9 (and up to 5.0.3), Mk4/Mk5 up to version 5.6.0, and Q models up to 1.5.0Q. The only exceptions are seeds created with a high-entropy method like at least 50 independent dice rolls or a strong unique BIP-39 passphrase. All other owners must generate a new seed on the fixed firmware and transfer their assets. A case highlighting the human impact involves a 39-year-old long-term investor who lost 2 BTC (approx. $130,000) in minutes. He had accumulated the Bitcoin over eight years through physical labor, viewing it as a financial lifeline and a retirement plan in a country suffering from hyperinflation. His story underscores that even conservative "buy and hold in cold storage" strategies can be compromised by such underlying technical flaws. From a technical perspective, this incident echoes historical failures where weak random number generators undermined cryptographic security, challenging the assumption that offline storage is automatically foolproof.

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