Treasury Secretary Bessent predicts 3% GDP growth as Trump preps economy tour

nypostОпубліковано о 2025-12-08Востаннє оновлено о 2025-12-08

Анотація

Treasury Secretary Steven Bessent forecasts 3% GDP growth as former President Donald Trump prepares to launch an economy-focused tour. The announcement highlights key economic priorities and policy directions expected to be emphasized during the upcoming tour.

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The Shutdown of Claude Mythos Revealed the True Cost of Renting AI to Me

The sudden shutdown of Claude Mythos this week starkly highlights a critical, often overlooked risk for founders: when your core capability relies entirely on someone else's platform, your fate is not in your own hands. The key question becomes: who truly owns the intelligence your product depends on? For years, the debate around open-source models focused on cost. Now, the evidence is clear: fine-tuned open-source models can achieve frontier-level quality for specific, mission-critical tasks at a fraction of the cost. However, the deeper issue is control. Relying on a third-party API is like renting; it works until the landlord changes the rules, raises the rent, or asks you to leave—as Mythos experienced. The lesson is not to stop using frontier models—they are incredible infrastructure. The goal is ownership. Ownership means starting with a powerful open-source model and shaping it around what makes your company unique: your data, workflows, domain expertise, and definition of "good." Over time, the model becomes less generic and more reflective of your business, creating durable value. The optimistic conclusion is that AI's future doesn't hinge on one superior model. There is no single frontier. The frontier includes proprietary models, models fine-tuned on company-specific knowledge, specialized models for narrow problems, and intelligent routers orchestrating model ensembles. The most interesting development is not models getting smarter, but intelligence becoming increasingly customizable. The winning companies will be those that transform intelligence into a unique, owned asset. Looking ahead, the vision is not one model dominating all, but many teams owning the part of the frontier that matters most to them.

marsbit37 хв тому

The Shutdown of Claude Mythos Revealed the True Cost of Renting AI to Me

marsbit37 хв тому

Tiger Research: U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve - Should the Market Be Happy or Disappointed?

Tiger Research analyzes the evolution of U.S. legislative efforts regarding a strategic Bitcoin reserve, concluding the market impact is limited in the short term but potentially positive long-term. The core event was a March 2025 executive order by former President Trump, which designated confiscated Bitcoin as a strategic reserve and promised not to sell existing holdings (approx. 190k BTC). As it contained no mandate to purchase new Bitcoin, the market reacted negatively, with prices dropping 5.7%. Legislative history shows a significant retreat from initial ambitions. The 2024 "BITCOIN Act" proposed mandatory purchases of 1 million BTC over five years. Reintroduced in 2025, it stalled due to high fiscal costs, concerns over dollar hegemony, and opposition from the Treasury Secretary. The current frontrunner, the 2026 "American Retirement and Monetary Advancement (ARMA) Act," is a compromise. It lacks any purchase requirement, instead focusing on consolidating existing government-held Bitcoin and legally prohibiting its sale for at least 20 years. While ARMA has higher passage odds due to bipartisan support and no purchase mandate, its immediate market effect is neutral. It eliminates potential government selling pressure but creates no new demand. The long-term significance is that formally establishing Bitcoin as a national reserve asset in law could later reignite debates on mandatory purchases. Therefore, the path to a government buyer is longer than initially priced by the market, but the directional narrative remains intact.

marsbit40 хв тому

Tiger Research: U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve - Should the Market Be Happy or Disappointed?

marsbit40 хв тому

US Stock Market Trend (June 16): SpaceX Rises 42% in Two Days, New Fed Chairman Takes Office Today

**U.S. Stocks Trend (June 16): SpaceX Soars 42% in Two Days, New Fed Chair Takes Office Today** Markets surged on Monday following former President Trump's social media announcement of a completed U.S.-Iran deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, pending a June 19 signing. The news triggered a broad risk-on rally: oil prices crashed, tech stocks soared, bond yields fell, and defensive sectors lagged. **Market Performance:** The Nasdaq jumped 3.07%, led by semiconductor stocks like Micron (+9.2%). The S&P 500 gained 1.65%, and the Dow rose 0.92% to a record high. However, the Russell 2000 small-cap index underperformed (+0.72%). SpaceX continued its hot streak, rising another 5% pre-market after disclosures of large buys by an Australian billionaire and Cathie Wood's ARK. Boeing also rallied on the transportation optimism. Conversely, energy stocks like Chevron fell over 3% on the oil price plunge, with other defensive sectors also selling off. The day's action showed a clear rotation of funds from energy/defensive plays into AI and tech narratives. **Macro & Outlook:** The VIX fear index fell 8.37%. Treasury yields declined, and WTI crude dropped over 5%. Attention now shifts to a packed schedule: the Bank of Japan is widely expected to hike rates to 1.0% on Tuesday. The Fed's June meeting concludes Wednesday, marking new Chair Wash's debut. While rates are expected to hold, his tone on stubborn inflation and the "dot plot" will be crucial for gauging the 2024 rate path. The formal Iran deal signing is set for Friday. **Trend Perspective:** While the peace deal is a genuine positive, Monday's explosive rally may have gotten ahead of itself, pricing in a swift resolution to inflation concerns. The shortened trading week faces a triple test: BoJ tightening, the Fed's policy stance, and deal implementation details. Tech and semiconductors, which led the surge, remain vulnerable to any disappointment from these key events. The real price discovery begins with the central banks' communications this week.

marsbit1 год тому

US Stock Market Trend (June 16): SpaceX Rises 42% in Two Days, New Fed Chairman Takes Office Today

marsbit1 год тому

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