The Altcoin Vector #39

insights.glassnodeОпубліковано о 2026-01-28Востаннє оновлено о 2026-01-28

Анотація

The Altcoin Vector #39 is a subscriber-exclusive report. Access to the full content requires a subscription plan starting at $425 per month. Existing subscribers can log in to unlock this and other reports.

Executive Summary

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CitreaCTR

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ZRX（0X）ZRX

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AThe first section is titled 'Executive Summary'.

Пов'язані матеріали

Selling Block Space is Dead: Public Chains Must Find a New Way

"Blockchain infrastructure as a neutral, generalized platform is no longer a viable business model. This article argues that simply selling block space has failed, evidenced by the fact that only one public blockchain, Hyperliquid, was among 14 crypto firms surpassing $200M in annual revenue recently. Hyperliquid's revenue vastly outpaces others like Arbitrum, highlighting a crisis. The future lies in public chains pivoting away from neutrality to become product studios, application distributors, payment rails, or vertical SaaS providers, directly serving paying customers. The piece also covers key industry events: a major exploit on Ostium, attributed to vulnerabilities in its off-chain price oracle, underscores the critical security needs for protocols bridging off-chain markets. Additionally, it discusses the necessity of abstracting complex financial instruments like options. Experts argue that to achieve mass adoption, options should be packaged as user-friendly products—such as yield vaults, binary options, or structured products—rather than marketed with their technical complexity. Finally, the radar section notes developments including Yearn's fixed-rate lending product Flex, community backlash over Base's strategy changes, the launch of a DXY perpetuals DEX called Plether, and Starknet's focus on institutional-grade privacy and quantum resistance."

marsbit19 хв тому

Selling Block Space is Dead: Public Chains Must Find a New Way

marsbit19 хв тому

Podcast Notes | Conversation with GSR Asset Management Head: To Determine if This Crypto Rally is Real, Just Watch the Lending Rates on Aave

Podcast Summary: Dialogue with GSR's Head of Asset Management: To Determine if This Crypto Rally is Real, Just Check Lending Rates on Aave Andy Baehr, Managing Director of Asset Management at GSR, discusses the current crypto market, characterizing it as stuck in a state of "ambivalence" with short-lived, unsustainable rallies. He outlines a simple framework: the market moves between "ambivalence" and "conviction" (sustained upward momentum). Currently, every rally resembles a single-stage rocket booster that quickly fizzles out. Baehr identifies three key signals to watch: 1) DeFi lending rates, 2) the potential passage of the CLARITY Act, and 3) the market forming a consensus on the "Fed hawkish peak." He emphasizes that the most immediate indicator for the sustainability of the recent CPI-triggered rally is the USDC borrowing rate on Aave, currently around 3.75%—close to U.S. Treasury yields. The absence of a credit spread indicates low leverage demand and a lack of market energy. He explains that a healthy, sustained rally requires layered buying pressure. Last year's rally progressed from an ETH short squeeze to crypto-native trader influx and finally to ETF inflows. Currently, this structure is missing. Other potential structural buyers like Digital Asset Treasury (DAT) companies are absent, and ETF flows have proven transient. Baehr notes that while small-cap crypto tokens outperformed large caps in Q2—a potential sign of capitation in major assets—capital is also flowing to more exciting opportunities like AI stocks and tech IPOs, leaving crypto sidelined. Regarding DeFi, he highlights that platforms like Aave provide a clear, real-time signal of leverage demand through their supply/demand-driven interest rates. A significant, sustained rate increase would signal genuine market conviction. He also observes the quiet emergence of fixed-income-like products and vaults in DeFi. On regulation, the probability of the CLARITY Act passing before the August 7th deadline has dropped linearly from 75% to below 40% on Polymarket. Baehr suggests its passage would be treated as a bullish surprise, a potent driver for price movement. However, political hurdles, including ethical clause debates and disclosures about the First Family's crypto profits, remain significant obstacles. Ultimately, the market awaits clarity on the Fed's terminal rate under Chair Warsh. Until the "Fed Solstice"—the point where the market collectively understands the peak of hawkish policy—sustained conviction will be difficult to achieve.

marsbit30 хв тому

Podcast Notes | Conversation with GSR Asset Management Head: To Determine if This Crypto Rally is Real, Just Watch the Lending Rates on Aave

marsbit30 хв тому

Send a Message to Transfer Coins? Telegram to 'Stuff' a Crypto Wallet into 1 Billion Users This Summer

Telegram founder Pavel Durov has announced that a native, non-custodial wallet called Gram wallet will be built into every Telegram app this summer. This move aims to provide instant, fee-free cryptocurrency transfers for the platform's over 1 billion monthly active users. Durov described it as the largest deployment of a non-custodial crypto wallet in history. The new wallet, developed by Telegram itself, differs fundamentally from the existing third-party @wallet bot. It will be non-custodial from the start, meaning users will control their private keys. Following the announcement, the GRAM token (formerly Toncoin) saw a price increase of approximately 8%. This initiative is part of Telegram's renewed control over the TON blockchain and its "Make TON Great Again" roadmap, marking a return to the project after a 2018 SEC lawsuit. The launch comes as other super-apps like X Money and Meta are also expanding into digital payments, with Telegram opting for a crypto-native approach. However, key details remain unclear, including the exact launch date beyond "this summer," how the promised zero fees will be implemented technically, and how asset support and private key management will work for mainstream users.

marsbit1 год тому

Send a Message to Transfer Coins? Telegram to 'Stuff' a Crypto Wallet into 1 Billion Users This Summer

marsbit1 год тому

Hyperliquid’s HIP-4 proposal fuels HYPE staking as long-term conviction grows

Hyperliquid has proposed the HIP-4 upgrade to expand from perpetual futures into a broader, permissionless infrastructure layer for on-chain applications, requiring deployers to stake 500,000 HYPE to launch new markets. This shift aims to enable developers to build on its platform, a strategy backed by growing long-term investor conviction. Evidence includes a major trader staking millions in HYPE instead of taking profits, with total staked tokens reaching 43.9% of the supply, reducing available tokens and strengthening network security. Market metrics like high open interest and balanced funding rates suggest measured, non-speculative trader positioning. Sustained growth in protocol revenue, TVL, and governance participation further supports the positive outlook, contingent on continued user adoption and successful upgrade execution.

ambcrypto1 год тому

Hyperliquid’s HIP-4 proposal fuels HYPE staking as long-term conviction grows

ambcrypto1 год тому

7 Months After the Collapse of Huiwang, Southeast Asia's Escrow Platforms Undergo a Major Reshuffle

Following the collapse of Huione Pay—dubbed the "Alipay of Southeast Asia"—seven months ago, the region's underground financial guarantee platform sector is undergoing a significant reshuffle. This power vacuum has been swiftly filled by emerging platforms such as XinBi, Tiger/Navigator, JinBei (renamed JinBo), Dali/Tiancheng, and FullyLight. These platforms, operating largely via Telegram and offering services like escrow for illicit transactions, have absorbed the vast user base and markets left behind by Huione. While positioning themselves as "trust intermediaries," their primary clientele consists of networks involved in online scams, money laundering, illegal gambling, and even human trafficking. For instance, the Tiger/Navigator platform explicitly provides "escrow" services for kidnapping-for-ransom operations ("强押车交易"). Data underscores the immense scale: Huione alone processed over $103 billion in cryptocurrency payments and facilitated over $31 billion through its escrow market before its downfall, linking it to Cambodia's notorious Prince Group. Since its collapse, competitors have seen explosive growth. For example, the XinBi platform has accumulated over $1.6 billion in total USDT revenue, while platforms like NewPay, OkPay (under Dali), and FullyLight Wallet collectively processed over $4.8 billion in USDT in a single year. This ecosystem thrives in regions like Cambodia and Myanmar, where regulatory gaps allow these platforms to act as critical financial infrastructure for sprawling cybercrime industries, from scam compounds to online casinos. The article concludes that the moniker "Southeast Asian Alipay" is a misnomer, obscuring the platforms' fundamental role in enabling serious criminal enterprises rather than representing legitimate financial innovation.

Odaily星球日报1 год тому

7 Months After the Collapse of Huiwang, Southeast Asia's Escrow Platforms Undergo a Major Reshuffle

Odaily星球日报1 год тому

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