"Stops Are Taken Out Along with the Deposit": A Selection of Hot Topics from the RBC Crypto Forum

RBK-cryptoОпубліковано о 2025-12-09Востаннє оновлено о 2025-12-09

Анотація

"Feet are taken out along with the deposit": A Summary of Hot Topics from the RBC Crypto Forum The RBC Crypto Forum community on Telegram is actively discussing a wide range of cryptocurrency topics. Key discussions include: * **Market Sentiment:** Members are sharing bullish expectations for Bitcoin's growth this week while also analyzing the reasons behind its recent price drop, including the influence of the AI sector, macroeconomics, and geopolitics. There is also discussion on where the current fall might bottom out. * **Altcoin Discussions:** Popular coins like ICP, LUNA, and SOL are being debated, alongside questions about which crypto projects members would hold long-term until 2030. * **Trading & Security:** A user shared their unfortunate trading experiences with stop-losses failing, prompting advice from the community. The potential threat of quantum computers to blockchain security was also a topic. * **Regulation & Access:** Forum participants are discussing the latest statements from Russia's Central Bank regarding banks providing access to the crypto market and exploring safe places to buy cryptocurrency as alternatives to P2P exchanges. * **News & Projects:** Other hot topics include record outflows from BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF, new NFT gifts on Telegram, the Toncoin project, a new smart ring for crypto price alerts, and updates on testnets like Gensyn, Sandchain, and Citrea. The forum also features expert threads from specialists like trader Anat...

Members of the "RBC Crypto. Forum" community on Telegram share experiences, discuss market news, and help each other, while moderators highlight interesting comments and boost the ratings of active users. We present a selection of current topics being discussed in the community.

Bitcoin Sentiment — Bullish
Forum members expect growth this week

What About Altcoins
Discussing ICP, LUNA, SOL, FART, and other coins

"What Would You Hold Long Until 2030?"
Which crypto projects interest forum members

Record Outflows: Investors Withdraw Money from BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF
Why this is happening

New NFT Gifts on Telegram and the Prospects for Cocoon
Discussing news around the Toncoin project

Why the Bitcoin Price Is Falling
Assessing the impact of the AI sector, macroeconomics, and geopolitics

"Any Blockchain Will Be Hacked Within an Hour"
Assessing the threats of quantum computers

"Stops Are Taken Out Along with the Deposit"
A forum member on his trading failures. What advice he was given

"What If They Invent a Time Machine and I'm Not Ready!"
When could you buy bitcoin "for pennies"? Stories from forum members

"Good People, Buy the Dip"
Where will bitcoin's fall stop

Will Banks in the Russian Federation Be Allowed to Provide Access to the Crypto Market
Discussing the latest statements from the Central Bank

Where to Buy Cryptocurrency Safely
Discussing alternatives to P2P exchanges

How Exchangers on BestChange Work
Insights from an exchanger owner

A Smart Ring with Cryptocurrency Price Alerts Has Appeared
Reactions and comments from forum members

Getting Another Badge in Abstract
New activity in the project

Launch of the Gensyn AI Model Market and New Quests in Sandchain and Citrea
Updates in relevant testnets

Fun and Relevant Memes from Subscribers
Send yours!

RBC Crypto Audio Sessions with Experts
List and recordings

Expert Threads on the Forum

We continue to launch personal threads on the Forum from specialists in various spheres of the crypto market and invite new participants. Why this is useful for subscribers:

Unique content on various topics, exclusively for the Forum
The opportunity to directly ask an expert a question and get a precise answer
Personal experience and non-public information from professionals
Expert participation in discussions alongside you

Currently, threads are already being run by trader Anatoly Radchenko, the head of the Expert Center for Digital Assets at the Association of Russian Banks Olga Goncharova, as well as a new participant—the founder of the legal company GMT Legal Andrey Tugarin. They are already actively answering questions, and we are negotiating with new experts.

Take the poll on the Forum: from which spheres would you like to see specialists on the Forum and what content interests you. We will tailor the Forum to your requests and always welcome feedback.

How the Forum Is Useful

The Forum was launched in the summer of 2024 with the goal of forming a unique community among readers and subscribers of "RBC-Crypto" consisting of investors, traders, analysts, miners, and users of blockchain technologies. It is presented in the form of a familiar Telegram chat, but divided into categories and topics. Their selection and content are largely shaped by subscriber demand. You can join via the link.

Over 20 thousand participants have joined the forum, sharing ideas, observations, and experiences. The forum moderators have extensive experience using cryptocurrencies and a deep understanding of the blockchain sphere.

It is the opportunity to discuss current market trends with other forum members, as well as the participation of invited experts, that makes the forum unique. Even now, the forum hosts sessions with well-known experts in various fields—representatives of exchanges, crypto projects, legal and other companies. Forum subscribers can ask them questions directly.

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Пов'язані питання

QWhat is the main purpose of the 'RBC Crypto Forum' Telegram community?

AThe main purpose of the 'RBC Crypto Forum' is to form a unique community of investors, traders, analysts, miners, and blockchain technology users among RBC Crypto readers and subscribers. It serves as a platform for sharing experiences, discussing market news, helping each other, and discussing current trends with both community members and invited experts.

QWhat are some of the hot topics currently being discussed in the forum?

AHot topics include bullish market sentiments and expectations for Bitcoin's growth, discussions on altcoins like ICP, LUNA, SOL, and FART, record outflows from BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF, the impact of quantum computing threats on blockchain security, and advice for trading failures.

QWhat are the benefits for subscribers of the expert threads on the Forum?

AThe benefits include access to unique content on various topics exclusive to the Forum, the ability to ask questions directly to an expert and get precise answers, gaining personal experience and non-public information from professionals, and having experts participate in discussions alongside community members.

QAccording to the article, why is the Bitcoin price falling?

AThe forum participants are evaluating the influence of the AI sector, macroeconomics, and geopolitics on the falling price of Bitcoin.

QHow can one safely buy cryptocurrency, as discussed in the forum?

AThe forum is discussing alternatives to P2P exchanges for safely buying cryptocurrency, though the article does not specify the exact alternatives mentioned.

Пов'язані матеріали

Jensen Huang's Message to Graduates: AI Won't Replace You, But Those Who Excel at Using AI Will

NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang, addressing 2026 graduates at Carnegie Mellon University, emphasized that AI will not replace people, but those who leverage AI effectively will have an advantage. He delivered this message during a commencement speech where he also received an honorary doctorate, his seventh. Huang reflected on his personal journey as an immigrant, starting from humble beginnings as a dishwasher to co-founding NVIDIA. He shared early struggles, including a near-bankruptcy moment saved by honesty with Sega, highlighting resilience and learning from failure. He positioned the current era as the dawn of the AI revolution, a shift as significant as past computing waves. Huang explained that AI is redefining computing from human-written software to machine learning, creating a new industry focused on manufacturing intelligence. While acknowledging fears about job displacement, he argued that AI amplifies human capabilities rather than replaces human purpose. Tasks may be automated, but the core meaning of professions remains. Huang urged graduates to embrace this transformative time with responsibility and optimism. He stated that AI should democratize technology, bridging gaps and enabling broader participation in creation and problem-solving. His final advice was to actively engage with the opportunity: "So run, don’t walk," and to put their hearts into their work.

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Jensen Huang's Message to Graduates: AI Won't Replace You, But Those Who Excel at Using AI Will

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Three Scenarios for BTC's Future Direction and a Duel Between Two Strong Forces | Special Invited Analysis

**Title: Three Scenarios for BTC's Future Trajectory and a Key Duel | Invited Analysis** The market remains at a critical juncture. Over the past week, Bitcoin (BTC) consolidated broadly between $79,500 and $80,600, validating previous technical analysis. The current focus is on whether this marks the start of a new uptrend or a pause within a larger correction. **BTC Multi-Cycle Analysis & Three Possible Scenarios** BTC's daily chart structure, following its peak at $126,200 in October 2025, presents three primary technical scenarios based on Elliott Wave theory: 1. **Bullish Scenario (End of Correction):** The corrective A-B-C wave from $126,200 ended at the $60,000 low in February 2026. The current price action is the start of a major Wave I uptrend. A subsequent Wave II pullback would not break below $60,000. 2. **Bearish Scenario 1 (Complex Correction):** The correction is unfolding as an A-B-C-D-E pattern. The current move from $60,000 is a D-wave rally. After its completion, a final E-wave decline could potentially breach the $60,000 level. 3. **Bearish Scenario 2 (Larger Correction):** The entire move down from $126,200 to $60,000 was a large A-wave. The current rally is a B-wave correction within a larger A-B-C structure, to be followed by a C-wave decline below $60,000. *Analysis suggests Scenario 2 is less probable due to time disproportions between waves. The battle is effectively between the Bullish Scenario (1) and Bearish Scenario (3).* **Key BTC Levels & Weekly Strategy** On the 4-hour chart, BTC trades above a crucial consolidation zone ("Central Pivot C"). * **Key Resistance:** $83,500-$84,500; $89,000-$90,500. * **Key Support:** $78,500-$79,500 (pivot upper bound); $73,500-$75,000; $69,500-$70,500. **Weekly Outlook:** The market direction hinges on BTC's ability to hold above or break below the $78,500-$79,500 support zone. * **Mid-term Strategy:** Neutral/Wait-and-see stance due to unclear direction. * **Short-term Tactics:** Two contingency plans using 30% max capital: * **Plan A (Bullish):** Look for long entries if price holds above $78,500-$79,500 with confirming signals. Initial stop-loss below $78,500. * **Plan B (Bearish):** Consider short positions if price breaks below $73,500-$75,000 with confirming signals. Initial stop-loss above $76,500. **HYPE Analysis & Strategy** HYPE's daily chart shows a seven-segment structure from its January low of $20.46, forming a "rising pivot" zone. * **Key Level to Watch:** $45.76 (previous high). A break above would confirm the bullish structure remains intact. * **Short-term Strategy:** Focus on pivot zone boundaries ($38.41 upper, $34.44 lower). * **Long:** Consider on support near $38.41 with bullish confirmation signals. * **Short:** Consider on a break below $34.44 with bearish confirmation signals. * Position size must be below 30% with strict stop-loss discipline. **Risk Management Reminder:** Always set an initial stop-loss upon entry. Move stop-loss to breakeven at +1% profit, then trail it upwards to lock in profits dynamically. All views are based on technical analysis for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. The market is inherently risky.

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Three Scenarios for BTC's Future Direction and a Duel Between Two Strong Forces | Special Invited Analysis

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Sequoia Interview with Hassabis: Information is the Essence of the Universe, AI Will Open Up Entirely New Scientific Branches

Demis Hassabis, co-founder and CEO of Google DeepMind and Nobel laureate, discusses the path to AGI and its profound implications in a Sequoia Capital interview. He outlines his lifelong dedication to AI, tracing his journey from game development (e.g., *Theme Park*)—a perfect AI testing ground—to neuroscience and finally founding DeepMind in 2009. He emphasizes the critical lesson of being "5 years, not 50 years, ahead of time" for successful entrepreneurship. Hassabis reiterates DeepMind's two-step mission: first, solve intelligence by building AGI; second, use AGI to tackle other complex problems. He highlights the transformative potential of "AI for Science," particularly in biology where tools like AlphaFold have revolutionized protein folding. He envisions AI-powered simulations drastically shortening drug discovery from years to weeks and enabling personalized medicine. Furthermore, he predicts AI will spawn new scientific disciplines, such as an engineering science for understanding complex AI systems (mechanistic interpretability) and novel fields enabled by high-fidelity simulators for complex systems like economics. He posits a fundamental worldview where information, not just matter or energy, is the essence of the universe, making AI's information-processing core uniquely suited to understanding reality. He defends classical Turing machines as potentially sufficient for modeling complex phenomena, including quantum systems, as demonstrated by AlphaFold. On consciousness, Hassabis suggests first building AGI as a powerful tool, then using it to explore deep philosophical questions. He believes components like self-awareness and temporal continuity are necessary for consciousness but that defining it fully remains an open challenge. He predicts AGI could arrive around 2030 and, once achieved, would be used to probe the deepest questions of science and reality, much as envisioned in David Deutsch's *The Fabric of Reality*.

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Morgan Stanley 2026 Semiconductor Report: Buy Packaging, Buy Testing, Buy China Chips, Avoid Traditional Tracks

Morgan Stanley 2026 Semiconductor Report: Buy Packaging, Buy Testing, Buy Chinese Chips; Avoid Traditional Segments. The core theme is the shift in AI compute supply from NVIDIA dominance to a three-track system of GPU + ASIC + China-local chips. The key opportunity is capturing share in this expansion, while non-AI semiconductors face marginalization due to resource reallocation to AI. Key investment conclusions, in order of priority: 1. **Advanced Packaging (CoWoS/SoIC) - Highest Conviction**: TSMC is the primary beneficiary of explosive demand, driven by massive cloud capex. Its pricing power and AI revenue share are rising significantly. 2. **Test Equipment - Undervalued & High-Growth Certainty**: Chip complexity is causing test times to double generationally, structurally driving handler/socket/probe card demand. Companies like Hon Hai Precision (Foxconn), WinWay, and MPI offer compelling value. 3. **China AI Chips (GPU/ASIC) - Long-Term Irreversible Trend**: Export controls are accelerating domestic substitution. Companies like Cambricon, with firm customer orders and SMIC's 7nm capacity support, are positioned to benefit from lower TCO (30-60% vs NVIDIA) and growing local cloud demand. 4. **Avoid Non-AI Semiconductors (Consumer/Auto/Industrial)**: These segments face a weak, structurally hindered recovery due to AI's resource "crowding-out" effect on capacity and supply chains. 5. **Memory - Severe Internal Divergence**: Strongly favor HBM (Hynix primary beneficiary) and NOR Flash (Macronix). Be cautious on interpreting price rises in DDR4/NAND as true demand recovery. The report emphasizes a 2026-2027 time window, stating the AI capital expenditure cycle is far from over. Key macro variables include persistent export controls and AI's systemic "crowding-out" effect on traditional semiconductor supply chains.

marsbit1 год тому

Morgan Stanley 2026 Semiconductor Report: Buy Packaging, Buy Testing, Buy China Chips, Avoid Traditional Tracks

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Circle：Sluggish Market? The Top Stablecoin Stock Continues to Expand

Circle, the issuer of the stablecoin USDC, reported its Q1 2026 earnings on May 11th, Eastern Time. Against a backdrop of weak crypto market sentiment, USDC's average circulation in Q1 was $752 billion, with a modest 2% sequential increase to $770 billion by quarter-end. New minting volumes declined due to the poor crypto market, but remained high, indicating demand expansion beyond crypto trading. USDC's market share remained stable at 28% of the total stablecoin market, while competition from Tether's USDT persists. A key highlight was "Other Revenue," which reached $42 million, more than doubling year-over-year, though sequential growth slowed to 13%. This revenue stream, including fees from services like Web3 software, the Cipher payment network (CPN), and the Arc blockchain, is critical for diversifying away from interest income. Circle's internally held USDC share increased to 18%, helping to improve gross margin by 130 basis points to 41.4% by reducing external sharing costs. However, profitability was pressured as total revenue growth slowed, primarily due to the significant weight of interest income, which is tied to USDC规模 and Treasury rates. Adjusted EBITDA was $133 million with a 19.2% margin. Management maintained its full-year 2026 guidance for adjusted operating expenses ($570-$585 million) and other revenue ($150-$170 million). The long-term target for USDC's CAGR remains 40%, though near-term volatility is expected. The article concludes that while Circle's current valuation of $28 billion appears reasonable after a recent recovery, further upside depends on the pace of stable币 adoption and potential positive sentiment from the advancement of regulatory clarity acts like CLARITY.

链捕手1 год тому

Circle：Sluggish Market? The Top Stablecoin Stock Continues to Expand

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