Stablecoin Crime Wave? $141B In Illicit Activity Reported This Year

bitcoinistОпубліковано о 2026-02-20Востаннє оновлено о 2026-02-20

Анотація

In 2025, approximately $141 billion in stablecoins was reportedly acquired by illicit actors, largely due to their predictable value and fast transaction speeds. Sanctions-related networks accounted for about 86% of these illicit flows, with $72 billion tied to a Russian ruble-pegged token. These networks also showed connections to China, Iran, North Korea, and Venezuela. Stablecoins were heavily used in guarantee marketplaces and human trafficking operations, where payment certainty and liquidity were prioritized. While scams and ransomware often start in Bitcoin or Ether, funds are frequently converted to stablecoins during laundering. The stablecoin market capitalization exceeded $270 billion in early 2026, dominated by Tether’s USDT ($180B) and Circle’s USDC ($70B), which together control over 90% of the market.

In 2025, about $141 billion in stablecoins reportedly ended up in the hands of illicit actors. Much of this activity was funneled through a few networks that favored stablecoins for their predictable value and quick transfers.

Much of that movement is tied to a small number of networks that use stablecoins for their speed and price stability. That does not mean widespread criminal use across all stablecoins. It points to concentrated channels where these tokens meet a specific need: moving value reliably outside regular banking rails.

Sanctions Linked Networks Drive The Bulk Of Flows

According To TRM Labs, sanctions-related flows made up roughly 86% of detected illicit crypto transfers last year. Around $72 billion of the stablecoin total traced back to a ruble-pegged token linked to Russian networks.

These networks are not isolated. Reports note overlaps with entities tied to China, Iran, North Korea, and Venezuela, which shows how stablecoins can act as bridges between different sanctioned systems.

The mechanics are simple: price stability matters when you need predictable settlement and low volatility risk. Stablecoins offer that.

Guarantee Marketplaces And Human Trafficking Rely On Stablecoins

Volume on certain marketplaces surged, mostly in stablecoins. Some escrow and guarantee sites — which act like middlemen for high-value transfers — saw tens of billions of dollars flow through their systems.

Reports note these venues are almost totally stablecoin-denominated, which raises red flags about their role in moving funds tied to illicit trade. Chainalysis and others have also pointed to sharp increases in flows to networks connected to human trafficking and escort services, and those operations leaned heavily on stablecoins for payments.

In these cases, payment certainty and liquidity matter more to the buyers and sellers than the chance of gains.

Different Types Of Crime Use Different Paths

Scams, ransomware, and thefts often start in Bitcoin or Ether and then shift into stablecoins later in the laundering chain. That pattern is common because attackers want an asset that holds value while they move it through fewer hands.

BTCUSD now trading at $67,833. Chart: TradingView

Market Cap

Meanwhile, the global stablecoin market has grown into a multi‐hundred‐billion‐dollar sector, with total market capitalization topping roughly $270 billion in early 2026.

According to data tracking site Stablecoin.com, the combined value of all major stablecoins consistently sits above the mid‐hundreds of billions mark, with fiat‐backed coins accounting for most of that total.

Two issuers dominate the sector. Tether’s USDT leads by a wide margin, with a market cap often reported at around $180 billion or more, and representing more than two‐thirds of the total stablecoin market.

Source: Stablecoin.com

Circle’s USD Coin (USDC) sits in second place with a market cap often above $70 billion, jointly holding over 90% of stablecoin capitalization when combined with USDT.

Smaller stablecoins like Ethena USDe, DAI, and PayPal USD make up a much smaller portion of the market but signal ongoing diversification among providers, the data tracker said.

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

Пов'язані питання

QHow much in stablecoins reportedly ended up in the hands of illicit actors in 2025?

AAbout $141 billion in stablecoins reportedly ended up in the hands of illicit actors in 2025.

QWhat percentage of detected illicit crypto transfers last year were sanctions-related, according to TRM Labs?

ASanctions-related flows made up roughly 86% of detected illicit crypto transfers last year.

QWhich two stablecoin issuers dominate the market and what is their combined market share?

ATether's USDT and Circle's USD Coin (USDC) dominate the market, jointly holding over 90% of the stablecoin market capitalization.

QWhat is a key reason illicit actors use stablecoins for transactions, according to the article?

AIllicit actors use stablecoins for their predictable value, quick transfers, and price stability, which provides reliable settlement with low volatility risk.

QBesides sanctions evasion, what other types of illicit activities are increasingly using stablecoins for payments?

AStablecoins are also heavily used for payments in illicit activities such as operations on guarantee marketplaces, human trafficking, and escort services.

Пов'язані матеріали

How Does Codex Use a Computer? Three Entry Points and Permission Boundaries

This article explains the three primary methods for Codex to interact with a computer, each with distinct use cases, permission boundaries, and trust levels. **1. Computer Use:** This offers the broadest access, allowing Codex to visually control and interact with the graphical user interface of authorized macOS/Windows apps, system settings, and even iOS simulators. It's ideal for tasks lacking APIs or structured tools, such as operating legacy software or multi-app workflows. However, it's the slowest method and has the widest permission scope, requiring careful supervision for sensitive actions. **2. Chrome Extension:** This grants Codex access to the user's logged-in Chrome browser state, including cookies, profiles, and open tabs. It's best for tasks requiring user identity across websites like Gmail, LinkedIn, Salesforce, or internal dashboards. Its key advantage is multi-tab control for complex workflows. While more powerful for browser-based tasks than Computer Use, it carries higher sensitivity as actions are performed under the user's identity. **3. In-App Browser:** This is a browser isolated within the Codex thread, separate from the user's personal browsing data. It excels in web development and debugging scenarios—previewing local servers, testing responsive layouts, or annotating designs directly on the page. Its isolation is a strength for development but a limitation for tasks requiring login sessions. The core principle is to choose the narrowest, safest, and most structured interface for the task. Use plugins or MCPs first, resort to visual control (Computer Use) only for GUI-dependent tasks, employ the Chrome extension for identity-reliant browser work, and prefer the In-App Browser for isolated development. **Appshots** are clarified as a fourth, complementary tool for *inputting* context—capturing a screenshot of a window to point Codex to something—rather than a method for Codex to *act*. Together, this layered approach highlights a key to AI agent productization: not granting unlimited permissions, but constraining them within clear boundaries for specific tasks while preserving user oversight.

marsbit23 хв тому

How Does Codex Use a Computer? Three Entry Points and Permission Boundaries

marsbit23 хв тому

The "Iron Rule" of Chip Equipment Is Being Broken

For years, the semiconductor equipment industry followed an unwritten "iron rule": suppliers offered steep discounts for new tool introductions (Design-in) and faced consistent price pressure during repeat orders, especially during market downturns. This long-standing buyer's market dynamic is now being upended. Recently, SK Hynix's primary equipment suppliers have reportedly requested a 3-4% price *increase*, a nearly unprecedented move. This shift is driven by a severe supply-demand imbalance fueled by the AI compute boom. Securing equipment has become an urgent arms race as chipmakers' expansion speed dictates their ability to fulfill massive AI chip orders. Key areas feeling the strain include: **TCB (Thermal Compression Bonding) Equipment:** Demand is exploding, driven by the simultaneous needs of HBM4 memory stacking, AI chip Chip-on-Substrate (C2S), and logic Chiplet Chip-on-Wafer (C2W) packaging. Players like Hanmi Semiconductor, Hanwha Semitech, and ASMPT are receiving major orders. While hybrid bonding is seen as the future, TCB remains the pragmatic choice for HBM4 mass production, with its lifecycle extended by relaxed specifications and ongoing technological upgrades. **Test Equipment Bottlenecks:** Ironically, AI-driven shortages are now crippling test equipment manufacturing. Critical components like FPGAs, Driver ICs, and CPUs face severe shortages and extended lead times (up to 52 weeks for FPGAs), as AI data center and server vendors prioritize supply. This creates a paradoxical cycle: AI chip shortages drive fab expansion, which requires more test equipment, whose production is delayed because its key parts are diverted to make AI chips. The industry is entering a broad, AI-powered upcycle. SEMI forecasts global semiconductor equipment sales to hit a record $156 billion by 2027, fueled by investment in advanced logic/foundry, HBM-driven DRAM, and advanced packaging (like CoWoS). Major players like TSMC, SK Hynix, and Micron are aggressively ramping capital expenditure. In conclusion, leading equipment vendors are no longer just selling tools; they are selling the critical capability to deliver AI-era capacity. Pricing power is shifting decisively to those with indispensable technology in key process nodes like advanced logic, HBM, and advanced packaging, rewriting the industry's traditional power structure.

marsbit36 хв тому

The "Iron Rule" of Chip Equipment Is Being Broken

marsbit36 хв тому

Торгівля

Спот
Ф'ючерси
活动图片