SOL Returns to $100: After BSOL Hits Record Trading Volume, Will $115 Be the Next Target?

Опубліковано о 2026-08-26Востаннє оновлено о 2026-08-26

Анотація

After breaking through the two-month resistance zone at $78 to $79, SOL once touched $103.50 and has formed new support between $92 and $97. BSOL's daily trading volume reached $108.65 million, setting a new historical record. The $103.50 level serves as the confirmation point for continuing to look towards $115.

SOL has risen 7% in the past 24 hours, extending its weekly gain to 32%. This follows a price breakout above the crucial two-month resistance zone of $78-$79, marking the clearest structural repair since June.

After clearing $79, SOL first climbed to $88 and then reached $103.50. Sellers halted further gains at the peak, leading SOL to retrace to around $87. This tested whether buyers could hold the breakout.

Buyers ultimately re-established support in the $92-$97 range, preventing a full retracement to the original breakout zone of $79. Subsequently, buying momentum resumed, pushing SOL back above $100 to $101.12, bringing the previous high of $103.50 back into view.

A 4-hour candle close above $103.50 would indicate that supply pressure in this area has been absorbed, potentially extending the upward momentum to $115. If resistance is encountered again, market focus will shift back to $92-$97. A break below this level would bring $87 into focus.

BSOL Hits Record Daily Trading Volume

The Bitwise Solana Staking ETF (BSOL) achieved a record daily trading volume of $108.65 million. The previous daily high was approximately $60-80 million, with typical trading volumes ranging between $15 million and $40 million.

Over four trading sessions, BSOL accumulated $261 million in volume, averaging about $65.25 million per day. This suggests that trading activity had increased even before SOL's price surge, not just on a single day.

However, ETF trading volume only represents turnover among investors, not new fund inflows, and does not directly equate to spot SOL buying. While the record demonstrates improved ETF liquidity, whether new capital supports it still requires data on net inflows.

Key Levels

At the time of writing, SOL is trading at $101.98, still below the resistance zone of $103.16-$103.50. A confirmed break above $103.50 on the 4-hour chart would set the first target at $106.80, followed by $110.88, $112.70, and finally the psychological level of $115.

On the downside, $99.52 serves as an early warning level, corresponding to the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the recent move from $87.72. A breach of this level would put the $95.44 support to the test. Falling below this intermediate zone would imply that half of the recent gains have been eroded, damaging the short-term momentum.

Пов'язані матеріали

Pricing Risk Assets in 8 Hours: Tonight's PCE to Set the Discount Rate, Nvidia to Test Earnings Tomorrow Morning

"Pricing Risk Assets in 8 Hours: PCE to Set the Discount Rate Tonight, NVIDIA to Test Profits Tomorrow Morning" Risk asset prices hinge on two variables: the numerator (earnings expectations) and the denominator (the discount rate). Both will be recalibrated within eight hours. First, at 20:30 Beijing time, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis releases July PCE inflation data and the second estimate of Q2 GDP. Consensus expects mild core PCE growth, but a surge in key PPI components poses an upside risk. A hotter-than-expected print could push Treasury yields and the dollar higher, threatening the recent rally in Bitcoin (BTC) above $80K, which was fueled by falling yields. A benign reading would support risk assets. Market sentiment is already "greedy" (Fear & Greed Index at 74), making it vulnerable to disappointment. Second, around 04:20, NVIDIA reports its Q2 FY27 earnings. While consensus revenue of ~$91.85B slightly exceeds company guidance, the market has priced in a beat. The key will be the magnitude of the beat and, crucially, the Q3 guidance. As a bellwether for tech and AI narratives, NVIDIA's results will significantly impact overall risk appetite and AI-related crypto tokens. The combination creates four scenarios: 1) Benign PCE & strong NVIDIA guidance confirms the bullish trend. 2) Hot PCE & strong NVIDIA leads to conflicted signals and likely volatility for BTC. 3) Benign PCE & weak NVIDIA guidance pressures tech but offers some macro support for BTC. 4) Hot PCE & weak NVIDIA guidance presents a "double whammy," risking a sharp pullback in BTC toward the $75K-$76K support zone. The outcomes will set the tone for markets ahead of the upcoming Jackson Hole symposium.

marsbit11 хв тому

Pricing Risk Assets in 8 Hours: Tonight's PCE to Set the Discount Rate, Nvidia to Test Earnings Tomorrow Morning

marsbit11 хв тому

Bitcoin Plunges into Extreme Greed as Warning Signs Accumulate

The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has surged to 81, reaching "Extreme Greed" for the first time in 616 days (since December 17, 2024). This dramatic shift comes after a leap from a "Fear" reading of 41 just a week ago, and a capitulation-level low of 5 in February 2026. The sentiment spike followed a sharp Bitcoin rally, with BTC gaining over 24% in a week—its best weekly jump since 2024. The rally was triggered not by ETF news, but by unexpected remarks from the US Treasury about potentially doubling long-term bond buybacks, which caused bond yields to drop and caught many leveraged short traders off guard. This led to a massive $3 billion short squeeze, further fueling the price surge. Analysts note the market shows early signs of a new bull cycle, with Bitcoin eyeing a close above its 365-day moving average (~$83,000) for confirmation. However, the rapid ascent is raising red flags. Funding rates for leveraged long positions have hit a 20-month high, indicating the rally is fueled by debt. Meanwhile, short-term Bitcoin holders have realized profits of around $1.2 billion in recent days, exchange inflows have spiked to a multi-month high, and traders' unrealized profit has reached 20.5%—a level preceding a ~30% correction in early May 2026. While bullish indicators are strong, skeptics warn the market is showing classic signs of a speculative, leverage-driven peak.

cryptonews.ru13 хв тому

Bitcoin Plunges into Extreme Greed as Warning Signs Accumulate

cryptonews.ru13 хв тому

Why is XRP in the red now after a 50% weekly surge?

XRP fell 2.2% over 24 hours after a 49.4% surge in the previous week, moving back into negative territory. The drop coincides with major banks advancing blockchain-based payment solutions that address the need for prefunding in cross-border transfers, potentially competing with XRP's use case. JPMorgan Chase expanded its blockchain settlement system, Kinexys, to eight currencies, allowing clients to move and exchange funds around the clock without needing a separate crypto asset. Similarly, Citigroup operates a round-the-clock USD clearing network and offers Citi Token Services for tokenized deposits, aiming to speed up payments while reducing the amount of capital required upfront. While its 90-second settlement is slower than XRP Ledger's 3-5 seconds, using cash already held in a regulated bank may be more critical for companies. Furthermore, SWIFT has facilitated interoperability between different bank-issued tokenized deposits without a common cryptocurrency. In a recent pilot, HSBC and Standard Chartered completed a cross-border transaction using SWIFT's ledger to coordinate and settle obligations between their separate token systems. SWIFT reports that 17 banks across six continents are preparing for real transactions using this model. These developments in traditional finance present alternative, bank-integrated pathways for instant, cross-border value transfer, potentially impacting the demand and price trajectory for XRP.

cryptonews.ru21 хв тому

Why is XRP in the red now after a 50% weekly surge?

cryptonews.ru21 хв тому

Торгівля

Спот
活动图片