Phantom taps Kalshi to offer regulated prediction markets in wallet

cointelegraphОпубліковано о 2025-12-12Востаннє оновлено о 2025-12-12

Анотація

Cryptocurrency wallet Phantom has partnered with regulated prediction market Kalshi to integrate event-based trading directly into its wallet interface. The new feature, Phantom Prediction Markets, will allow users to trade tokenized positions on real-world events in politics, economics, sports, and culture without leaving the app. This move aligns with a broader trend, as major crypto exchanges like Gemini and Coinbase are also entering the prediction market space. However, the industry faces regulatory challenges, exemplified by Connecticut's recent cease-and-desist orders against several platforms, including Kalshi, which is now legally challenging the state's actions.

Crypto wallet application Phantom has partnered with regulated prediction market Kalshi to bring event-based trading directly inside its wallet interface, signaling a deeper convergence between onchain finance and real-world outcome betting.

The companies said Friday that the integration would allow Phantom users to discover trending events, track live odds and place bets without leaving their wallets.

A new feature called Phantom Prediction Markets would allow users to trade tokenized positions that reference Kalshi’s event markets across politics, economics, sports and culture.

“By integrating a layer of tokenized positions referencing Kalshi’s regulated event markets with Phantom, users can trade what they care about in real time,” said Phantom CEO Brandon Millman.

Source: Phantom

Crypto exchanges eye US prediction markets

Phantom’s move comes as major crypto trading platforms race to enter the US prediction markets business.

On Thursday, Gemini Titan, an affiliate of the crypto exchange Gemini, received a designated contract market license from the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Gemini said it plans to enter the prediction markets space.

The exchange said that it would allow users to access event contract trading on its web platform. Following its announcement, Gemini shares went up by nearly 14% in after-hours trading.

On Nov. 19, tech researcher Jane Manchun Wong, known for discovering in-development features on Big Tech websites, claimed that crypto exchange Coinbase is working on a prediction market. Wong shared screenshots apparently showing the unreleased platform.

Citing anonymous sources, Bloomberg reported that Coinbase plans to announce the launch of its prediction markets and tokenized equities.

A Coinbase spokesperson previously told Cointelegraph that they company will hold a livestream on Wednesday to showcase new products. However, the spokesperson did not mention prediction markets or tokenized stocks.

Related: Polymarket trading figures are being double-counted: Paradigm

Prediction markets face regulatory pushback

While prediction markets have gained popularity in the US, the state of Connecticut has recently taken a stance against certain platforms.

On Dec. 4, the Connecticut Department of Consumer Protection (DCP) sent cease and desist orders to Robinhood, Kalshi and Crypto.com, alleging that they were conducting unlicensed online gambling. However, Kalshi immediately took action a day later.

The prediction market platform sued the DCP, arguing that its event contracts are lawful under federal law.

Connecticut federal court judge Vernon Oliver stated in an order that the DCP must refrain from taking enforcement action against Kalshi. This temporarily stops the DCP’s cease and desist order against Kalshi.

Magazine: Koreans ‘pump’ alts after Upbit hack, China BTC mining surge: Asia Express

Пов'язані матеріали

Can a Hair Dryer Earn $34,000? Deciphering the Reflexivity Paradox in Prediction Markets

An individual manipulated a weather sensor at Paris Charles de Gaulle Airport with a portable heat source, causing a Polymarket weather market to settle at 22°C and earning $34,000. This incident highlights a fundamental issue in prediction markets: when a market aims to reflect reality, it also incentivizes participants to influence that reality. Prediction markets operate on two layers: platform rules (what outcome counts as a win) and data sources (what actually happened). While most focus on rules, the real vulnerability lies in the data source. If reality is recorded through a specific source, influencing that source directly affects market settlement. The article categorizes markets by their vulnerability: 1. **Single-point physical data sources** (e.g., weather stations): Easily manipulated through physical interference. 2. **Insider information markets** (e.g., MrBeast video details): Insiders like team members use non-public information to trade. Kalshi fined a剪辑师 $20,000 for insider trading. 3. **Actor-manipulated markets** (e.g., Andrew Tate’s tweet counts): The subject of the market can control the outcome. Evidence suggests Tate’sociated accounts coordinated to profit. 4. **Individual-action markets** (e.g., WNBA disruptions): A single person can execute an event to profit from their pre-placed bets. Kalshi and Polymarket handle these issues differently. Kalshi enforces strict KYC, publicly penalizes insider trading, and reports to regulators. Polymarket, with its anonymous wallet-based system, has historically been more permissive, arguing that insider information improves market accuracy. However, it cooperated with authorities in the "Van Dyke case," where a user traded on classified government information. The core paradox is reflexivity: prediction markets are designed to discover truth, but their financial incentives can distort reality. The more valuable a prediction becomes, the more likely participants are to influence the event itself. The market ceases to be a mirror of reality and instead shapes it.

marsbit26 хв тому

Can a Hair Dryer Earn $34,000? Deciphering the Reflexivity Paradox in Prediction Markets

marsbit26 хв тому

First Day Review of "Musk's WeChat" XChat: Even Worse Than Expected

Elon Musk's much-anticipated "WeChat-like" app, XChat, has officially launched after multiple delays. The initial review reveals a product that falls short of expectations, offering an experience largely similar to X Platform's (formerly Twitter) direct messages, despite being marketed as an encrypted communication tool. Key observations from the first-day test include: 1. The app's promoted "end-to-end encryption" and its claimed relation to Bitcoin's architecture were criticized by experts as a superficial attempt to capitalize on crypto buzz, with no real technical connection. 2. Musk's vision of an ad-free "secure communication system" is technically met, but only because the app is currently extremely basic, featuring only a single chat interface. 3. A promised anti-screenshot feature appears inconsistent; it works in X Platform group chats but fails within the XChat app itself, where screenshots still capture avatars. 4. The app supports 45 languages and has a 16+ age rating, indicating a broader tolerance for content compared to WeChat's 13+ rating. 5. A puzzling login process requires users to verify the email associated with their X account. 6. The touted encryption" feels minimal in practice, with its presence only indicated by a simple "Encrypted - Yes" label on messages. 7. Disappearing message timers for groups can be set from 5 minutes to 4 weeks, with the timer starting upon being read by a user. 8. Group invite links are shared with X Platform groups. 9. Group size limits are planned to be increased, aiming for 1000 members, a move that has drawn user criticism. 10. The app offers 8 different colored icons, and its chat bubbles are notably similar to WeChat's. Message deletion options mimic Telegram's. Crucially, many pre-announced features like importing X contacts, integrating Grok AI, X Money payments, and Cashtags are not yet available. The initial release is seen as a bare-bones and underwhelming first step.

Odaily星球日报1 год тому

First Day Review of "Musk's WeChat" XChat: Even Worse Than Expected

Odaily星球日报1 год тому

Торгівля

Спот
Ф'ючерси
活动图片