Must-Watch Events Next Week｜CLARITY Act to Clear Senate Hurdle; December CPI Data to Be Released (1.12-1.18)

marsbitОпубліковано о 2026-01-11Востаннє оновлено о 2026-01-11

Анотація

Key Events for Jan 12-18: U.S. December CPI data release on Jan 13; Senate Banking Committee to review the CLARITY Act (crypto market structure bill) on Jan 15; multiple Fed speeches scheduled throughout the week. Other notable events: Binance updates cross-margin collateral ratios and lists CharacterX (CAI) on Jan 12; Aster Phase 4 airdrop claims open Jan 14; BSC mainnet Fermi hard fork activates Jan 14; Coinbase supports MKR to SKY migration from Jan 12-14; Semler Scientific and Strive merger vote on Jan 13; BitMine annual shareholder meeting on Jan 15; UK stablecoin regulatory sandbox applications close Jan 18.

Key Events to Watch Next Week

January 13

US December CPI will be released at 21:30 on January 13;

January 14

Aster will open Phase 4 airdrop queries on January 14;

January 15

The US Senate Banking Committee has scheduled the review of the crypto market structure bill for January 15;

BitMine plans to hold its annual shareholders meeting on January 15, 2026, to elect 8 directors and amend the company's articles of association;

Federal Reserve Dynamics

  • January 13 (Tuesday) 01:30, 2027 FOMC voter, Atlanta Fed President Bostic to speak;
  • January 13 (Tuesday) 01:45, 2027 FOMC voter, Richmond Fed President Barkin to speak;
  • January 13 (Tuesday) 07:00, Permanent FOMC voter, New York Fed President Williams to speak;
  • January 13 (Tuesday) 23:00, 2028 FOMC voter, St. Louis Fed President Musalem to speak;
  • January 14 (Wednesday) 05:00, 2027 FOMC voter, Richmond Fed President Barkin to speak;
  • January 14 (Wednesday) 22:50, 2026 FOMC voter, Philadelphia Fed President Paulson to speak on economic outlook;
  • January 14 (Wednesday) 23:00, Fed Governor Milan to speak in Athens;
  • January 15 (Thursday) 01:00, 2026 FOMC voter, Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari to speak; 2027 FOMC voter, Atlanta Fed President Bostic to speak;
  • January 15 (Thursday) 03:00, Fed to release the Beige Book on economic conditions;
  • January 15 (Thursday) 03:10, Permanent FOMC voter, New York Fed President Williams to deliver opening remarks at an event;
  • January 15 (Thursday) 21:35, 2027 FOMC voter, Atlanta Fed President Bostic to speak;
  • January 16 (Friday) 01:40, 2027 FOMC voter, Richmond Fed President Barkin to speak on Virginia's economic outlook;

From January 12 to January 18, more industry events worth watching are detailed below.

January 12

Binance to update cross-margin collateral asset ratios on January 12, 2026

Odaily Planet Daily News Binance Cross-Margin will update the collateral ratios for assets including ARB, ADA, CFX, TRX, ASTER, XPL, ZEC, etc., at 06:00 (UTC) on January 12, 2026. The update is expected to take about 30 minutes. Users should note that adjustments to collateral ratios will affect the margin level in Cross-Margin Pro mode; please monitor closely to avoid potential liquidation risks.

Binance Alpha to list CharacterX (CAI) on January 12

Odaily Planet Daily News Binance Alpha will list CharacterX (CAI) on January 12. Eligible users can claim the CAI airdrop on the Alpha event page using Binance Alpha points after trading begins. Specific rules and more details will be announced separately. Users can follow Binance's official channels for further updates.

Coinbase to support MKR migration to SKY, suspends related services from January 12

Odaily Planet Daily News Coinbase Markets announced that it will support the migration of Maker tokens from MKR to SKY from January 12 to 14, 2026, with a conversion ratio of 1 MKR : 23,520 SKY. MKR trading and transfers will be suspended during this period. Users who do not wish to convert automatically must withdraw MKR to a self-custody wallet before January 12.

January 13

US Bureau of Labor Statistics: US December CPI to be released on January 13

Odaily Planet Daily News The US Bureau of Labor Statistics officially announced that the US December Consumer Price Index (CPI) will be released at 21:30 Beijing time on January 13, including the US December unadjusted CPI year-on-year, seasonally adjusted CPI month-on-month, seasonally adjusted core CPI month-on-month, unadjusted core CPI year-on-year, and other data.

Semler Scientific's shareholder meeting for merger with Strive to be held on January 13; merged entity to hold nearly 13,000 BTC

Odaily Planet Daily News Semler Scientific founder Eric Semler posted on X platform that Semler Scientific has proposed its shareholders vote in favor of the merger with Strive. The special shareholder meeting will be held on January 13. Upon approval, SMLR shareholders will receive ASST shares at an exchange ratio of 21.05 times. The merged entity will hold nearly 13,000 BTC, placing it among the top five publicly listed companies with BTC as a primary strategic reserve. This move aims to enhance Strive's financing capabilities in the digital credit field and maximize long-term shareholder value. Eric Semler will join Strive's board.

January 14

BSC mainnet Fermi hard fork upgrade expected to activate on January 14

The BSC mainnet Fermi hard fork upgrade is expected to activate at 10:30 on January 14, 2026. This upgrade will shorten the block interval from 750 milliseconds to 450 milliseconds to improve network throughput and transaction processing efficiency.

Aster to open Phase 4 airdrop queries on January 14

Odaily Planet Daily News The query opening date for Aster Phase 4 airdrop is January 14, 2026, and the claim window opening date is January 28, 2026.

January 15

US Senate Banking Committee schedules review of crypto market structure bill for January 15

Odaily Planet Daily News The legislative landscape for the US cryptocurrency industry has reached a critical turning point. The Senate Banking Committee has officially scheduled the review of the "Digital Asset Market Transparency Act" (referred to as the CLARITY Act, also known as the crypto market structure bill) for January 15, 2026 (Thursday). Committee Chairman Tim Scott, a Republican from South Carolina, announced this decision after a series of intense closed-door meetings in early January. Senator Scott emphasized that the committee will proceed with a formal vote regardless of difficulties. Republican leadership views this deadline as a strategic necessity, racing against time to complete legislative work before the January 30 federal government critical spending deadline, which could otherwise trigger another government shutdown. The committee hopes that through next Thursday's vote, the bill can be submitted to the full Senate for consideration while the current administration maintains a pro-crypto momentum. (financefeeds)

BitMine plans to hold annual shareholders meeting on January 15, 2026, to elect 8 directors and amend articles of association

Odaily Planet Daily News NYSE American-listed Ethereum treasury company Bitmine Immersion Technologies announced that it will hold its annual shareholders meeting in Las Vegas on January 15, 2026. The meeting will elect 8 directors for a one-year term. Additionally, a proposed amendment to the articles of association to increase the number of authorized shares of common stock, the 2025 Comprehensive Incentive Plan, and a special performance compensation arrangement for the Executive Chairman are expected to be approved at the annual shareholders meeting. (PRNewswire)

Aster Phase 3 airdrop claim to conclude on January 15

Odaily Planet Daily News Aster posted on X platform that the Phase 3 airdrop is now open for claiming. The claiming period is from 20:00 (UTC+8) on December 15, 2025, to 20:00 (UTC+8) on January 15, 2026.

January 16

None

January 17

None

January 18

UK opens regulatory sandbox for local stablecoin issuers; application deadline January 18

Odaily Planet Daily News The UK Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) recently opened a regulatory sandbox for local stablecoin issuers wishing to test their stablecoin solutions. The application deadline for this sandbox is January 18.

Пов'язані питання

QWhat is the key date for the US Senate Banking Committee to review the CLARITY Act?

AThe US Senate Banking Committee has scheduled the review of the CLARITY Act (Crypto Market Structure Bill) for January 15, 2026.

QWhen will the US December CPI data be released and what time?

AThe US December Consumer Price Index (CPI) data will be released on January 13, 2026, at 21:30 Beijing Time (UTC+8).

QWhat significant upgrade is expected for the BSC mainnet on January 14?

AThe BSC mainnet Fermi hard fork upgrade is expected to activate on January 14, 2026, at 10:30, which will reduce the block interval from 750 milliseconds to 450 milliseconds to improve network throughput and transaction processing efficiency.

QWhich company's merger, if approved, will result in a new entity holding nearly 13,000 BTC?

AIf the merger between Semler Scientific and Strive is approved at the special shareholders meeting on January 13, 2026, the new entity will hold nearly 13,000 BTC, making it one of the top five public companies holding BTC as a primary treasury reserve.

QWhat is the deadline for applications to the UK FCA's regulatory sandbox for local stablecoin issuers?

AThe application deadline for the UK Financial Conduct Authority (FCA)'s regulatory sandbox for local stablecoin issuers is January 18, 2026.

Пов'язані матеріали

Suspected 4th Coldcard attack wave sweeps 389 Bitcoin: Galaxy’s Thorn

Coldcard hardware wallet users are facing a new wave of coordinated attacks targeting a firmware flaw, with researcher Alex Thorn flagging 218 recent transactions moving approximately 389 Bitcoin from potentially impacted addresses. The attack pattern shows a high rate of transactions targeting unique victim addresses, differing from previous waves. The vulnerability, which causes affected devices to generate weaker wallet seeds, is estimated to have impacted over 1,100 wallets, leading to around $90 million in Bitcoin stolen. Thorn advises affected users who control their keys may attempt to move funds with a higher-fee transaction before the attacker's transactions are confirmed.

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Bitcoin Miners Are Waving the White Flag, But Their Stocks Are Soaring

Bitcoin miners are capitulating as evidenced by a sustained drop in network hash rate and a record-steep 19.9% decline in mining difficulty, signaling the shuttering of unprofitable machines. However, in a significant divergence from historical patterns, the stocks of publicly traded mining companies have soared, with one major player gaining over 430% in the past year, even as BTC's price fell roughly 46%. This surge is largely attributed to these companies pivoting toward the more lucrative AI narrative. Simultaneously, miners face a structural squeeze. Daily block reward revenue in BTC terms has hit a new all-time low following the latest halving, with current dollar-denominated daily revenue around $30 million compared to a longer-term average of ~$40 million. Fee revenue remains negligible, covering less than one block's subsidy over a 28-day average and accounting for only about ten minutes of the network's daily security budget. This capitulation cycle is unique: miner stress and crypto price weakness have decoupled due to alternative revenue streams (AI), while the long-term reliance on increasing bitcoin prices to offset shrinking subsidies continues, with fee income still far from filling the impending gap.

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Will the Fed Definitely Raise Interest Rates in September? How Will Crypto and U.S. Stocks Withstand the Pressure?

The market's expectation for a September Fed rate hike surged dramatically in early August, jumping from under 50% to over 80% within a week. This shift followed a contentious July FOMC meeting, where a 9-3 vote to hold rates revealed growing dissent from hawkish members advocating for an immediate hike to combat persistent inflation. The primary catalyst for this repricing is rising oil prices, driven by renewed geopolitical tensions around the Strait of Hormuz, which threaten global supply. Energy costs directly influence inflation metrics, making the upcoming July CPI report (due August 12th) a critical data point. If it shows inflation reaccelerating, the probability of a September hike will solidify. For Bitcoin and crypto assets, this is typically bearish news. Bitcoin continues to behave as a high-beta, liquidity-sensitive risk asset. A rate hike raises the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets and could drive capital toward money markets, pressuring crypto prices in the short term. However, historical patterns suggest that if a hike is perceived as the end of a tightening cycle rather than the start, any negative price impact may be brief. U.S. stocks, particularly crypto-linked equities like Coinbase and growth-oriented tech stocks, are also vulnerable. Higher rates increase discount rates in valuation models, putting pressure on high-multiple companies. This coincides with a pivotal tech earnings season where investor focus has shifted from massive AI capital expenditure to tangible revenue and cash flow generation. Companies with negative cash flow and weak growth narratives could face heightened volatility if borrowing costs rise in September. In summary, a September Fed hike has evolved into a mainstream market scenario. Key factors to watch are oil prices, the July CPI report, and Fed communications, which will determine the final decision and its impact on volatile crypto and equity markets.

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A 'Overlooked' Market Event: Joint US-Japan-South Korea Intervention, Rare US Treasury Involvement, and Bessent's Quiet 'Market Rescue'?

Summary: The United States, Japan, and South Korea executed their largest coordinated foreign exchange intervention in nearly 30 years. The action targeted depreciation pressure on the Japanese yen and South Korean won. This move is seen as a significant effort by the US to stabilize the financial markets of its key allies and prevent the spillover of risks. Key details: * Japan reportedly intervened on July 30 using approximately 8.45 trillion yen (about $52.8 billion). South Korean authorities also intervened that day, selling dollars to support the won. * Notably, the US Treasury Department intervened directly in yen markets for the first time in roughly 30 years. The New York Fed, reportedly acting on behalf of the Treasury, sold euros to buy yen via Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley on July 31. Analysts view the use of the euro-yen pair as a way to alleviate yen pressure without adding selling pressure to the US dollar. * Prior to the action, the New York Fed conducted "rate checks" on both USD/JPY and EUR/JPY, a newer signaling tool that falls between verbal and physical intervention. The intervention is interpreted as going beyond traditional currency stabilization. Analysts, such as Michael Hartnett of Bank of America, suggest it resembles a "Price Keeping Operation" for the AI era. The core US objectives are perceived to be: 1. Preventing rapid yen depreciation from triggering a sharp rise in Japanese government bond yields. 2. Containing financial stress from spreading across Asian markets like South Korea and Japan. 3. Reducing the risk of disorderly capital flows impacting the US bond market. This coordinated action underscores the importance of Japan and South Korea as critical partners in the US semiconductor and AI supply chain. Stabilizing their financial markets is seen as vital to mitigating risks to the broader tech industry and the US market itself. The intervention coincides with market pressures, including the KOSDAQ index hitting a low since October 2022. While seen as a move to control volatility, some analysts caution it may not fundamentally reverse existing market trends.

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In early August 2024, market expectations for a September Federal Reserve rate hike surged dramatically, from below 50% to over 80%, driven by renewed inflation concerns. This shift followed a contentious July FOMC meeting where a 9-3 vote to hold rates revealed a growing hawkish faction advocating for an immediate hike, citing prolonged above-target inflation. The key catalyst is escalating conflict near the Strait of Hormuz, which has pushed oil prices up approximately 20% in July, threatening to reignite inflation. The next critical data point is the July CPI report on August 12th; a hot reading could solidify hike expectations. For crypto assets, particularly Bitcoin, this represents near-term pressure. Bitcoin continues to exhibit high-beta, risk-on characteristics, making it sensitive to tightening liquidity and higher opportunity costs. However, historical precedent suggests that if a hike is perceived as the cycle's end rather than its start, the negative impact may be brief, with markets quickly pivoting to anticipate future rate cuts. U.S. stocks, especially crypto-linked equities like Coinbase and high-valuation tech stocks, face amplified volatility. Higher rates increase discount rates in valuation models, pressuring growth stocks. This coincides with a pivotal tech earnings season where investor focus has shifted from massive AI capital expenditures to demonstrable revenue and cash flow generation. Companies with negative cash flows and weak growth narratives could see severe pressure if a September hike materializes, as financing costs would rise. Key indicators to watch include oil prices, upcoming inflation data, and Fed commentary at events like the Jackson Hole symposium.

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