LINK Has Fallen More Than Half From Its High, But Someone Quietly Hoarded 100 Million Tokens During the 'October 11 Crash'

marsbitОпубліковано о 2026-01-29Востаннє оновлено о 2026-01-29

Анотація

Based on in-depth on-chain analysis, 48 wallets were identified holding nearly identical amounts of LINK (around 2 million each), all created between August and November 2025 and receiving funds from the same Coinbase hot wallet. These wallets, showing highly synchronized accumulation pattern, are believed to belong to a single entity that acquired approximately 100 million LINK (10% of total supply) during this period. The entity executed a carefully designed strategy to avoid market impact, leveraging the October 10 market crash—caused by API failures and panic selling—to accumulate during high liquidity. Most wallets (39) were created in October and November, coinciding with a sharp drop in exchange balances. Possible buyers include institutional players like BlackRock or JPMorgan, given their strategic interest in tokenization and use of Chainlink's infrastructure. Chainlink Labs is less likely due to contradictory public positioning. The scale and precision suggest institutional involvement rather than individual speculation. This accumulation—amounting to exactly 1/10 of total supply—implies long-term strategic intent, potentially preparing for future utility in financial infrastructure. While bullish, it also introduces concentration risk. The event marks one of the most significant on-chain patterns in LINK's history.

According to in-depth on-chain data analysis, while researching the top 100 wallets by LINK holdings, I discovered an unusual pattern.

Multiple wallets hold almost exactly the same amount of LINK, approximately 2 million tokens each, and hold no other assets. Initially, I identified 8 to 9 such wallets, but further investigation revealed these were just the tip of the iceberg.

Ultimately, I found a total of 48 wallets with nearly identical LINK balances and highly consistent transaction patterns. Based on this consistency, I believe they are all controlled by the same entity.

In other words, between August 2025 and January 2026, a certain entity accumulated approximately 100 million LINK, accounting for 10% of its total supply.

Clearly, this entity went to great lengths to remain hidden. Its accumulation strategy was meticulously designed to avoid drawing attention or affecting the market price.

Why Conclude These Wallets Belong to the Same Entity?

Several key pieces of evidence support this:

· Each wallet holds about 2 million LINK.

· All wallets were created between August and November 2025.

· All purchases originated from the same Coinbase hot wallet address: 0xA9D1e08C7793af67e9d92fe308d5697FB81d3E43.

The most compelling evidence is the transaction heatmap comparison. The heatmaps of these wallets are strikingly similar, executing a similar number of LINK transactions on the same dates, following the same accumulation rhythm.

There are slight timing differences: wallets created later made larger initial purchases, while earlier ones were more gradual. But after the initial period, all wallets began making consistent purchases on the same dates each month.

For example, observing wallets 54, 55, and 56, the August data is slightly different, but the transaction behavior from September to January is almost completely synchronized. This pattern repeats across all 48 wallets, as if operating on the same schedule.

Why Did the Market Not React to the Accumulation of 10% of the Supply?

The answer is simple: the entity竭力 (strived) to avoid disturbing the market.

They used anonymous wallets with no public institutional links and structured their purchases in batches to avoid sudden spikes in demand. The goal was clear: accumulate LINK discreetly without triggering market follow-ups or speculation.

To achieve this, they leveraged a rare market event.

The Market Crash of October 10th

According to Raoul Pal, market makers were unable to access APIs at that time, causing a severe imbalance in the crypto market. Simultaneously, tariff concerns triggered panic selling, flooding the order books with sell orders. With a lack of buyers to absorb them, the market went into a free fall.

To prevent a complete collapse, trading platforms were forced to intervene, placing a significant number of buy orders to absorb the selling pressure, thereby accumulating a large inventory of crypto assets.

In the weeks following the crash, these assets were gradually released back into the market throughout October and November, creating sustained selling pressure and unusually abundant liquidity.

This was the perfect timing for discreet accumulation.

The entity behind these wallets used this liquidity window to heavily absorb LINK while avoiding pushing up the price. It is worth noting that 39 of the 48 wallets were created precisely in October and November, the period of highest liquidity.

Two Possible Motives

First, opportunistic accelerated accumulation. The entity saw the market crash as a rare chance to speed up its accumulation progress, a process that might otherwise have taken many more months.

Second, an emergency strategic reserve. The entity may have had an urgent need to acquire LINK and used the liquidity to complete its position discreetly, avoiding price volatility. Whether this urgency stemmed from strategic needs or external pressure is currently unclear.

Impact on Exchange Balances

The buying spree from the new wallets highly coincides with the sharp drop in LINK balances on exchanges shown by CryptoQuant data from October to November.

This decline corresponds exactly to the creation of 39 new wallets, each accumulating about 2 million LINK during this period.

Who Could Be the Entity Behind This?

The range of possibilities for an entity accumulating 10% of the LINK supply is significantly narrowed.

Chainlink Labs

Low probability. Chainlink officially holds about 300 million LINK as non-circulating supply, which is publicly labeled and accounted for in planning. Furthermore, Chainlink has publicly announced weekly buybacks of $1 million worth of LINK; secretly hoarding nearly $1 billion worth of LINK simultaneously would contradict its public stance.

However, the timing is noteworthy: accumulation began on August 11, 2025, just 4 days after the announcement of the Chainlink reserve mechanism, which might have signaled long-term optimism to the outside world.

BlackRock

This is one of the more plausible speculations. With $14 trillion in assets under management, BlackRock has repeatedly stated that tokenization is the future of financial markets. Its BUIDL fund, exceeding $3 billion, heavily relies on Chainlink's CCIP, Proof of Reserve, and data services.

Holding 100 million LINK could help it secure a strategic position in tokenization infrastructure. Relative to its size, this allocation is not large but is significant. Secret accumulation also makes sense; announcing a large purchase upfront would significantly drive up the price.

JPMorgan Chase

Also a strong possibility. This trillion-dollar asset bank is rapidly expanding its blockchain division (Kinexys, formerly Onyx) and has become one of the most active traditional institutions in the field of tokenized assets and cross-chain finance.

Its tokenized money market, fund flow projects, and multiple public chain settlements in 2025 all rely on Chainlink's CCIP, runtime environment, and oracle data streams. Holding 100 million LINK could help establish a strategic position in interoperability and oracle infrastructure between its permissioned chains and public chains, ensuring priority access, staking rewards, and reducing dependency risks.

Interestingly, JPMorgan's actions around the October 10th crash are worth pondering. Just days before the crash, the bank issued a bearish report, warning of the vulnerability of crypto-related stocks amid geopolitical risks. Although the crash was primarily caused by external factors, the combination of the bearish report and the subsequent liquidity vacuum leads to speculation that large institutions might have taken the opportunity to build positions discreetly.

Financial Infrastructure Institutions (e.g., DTCC, SWIFT)

Low probability. Such institutions typically do not hold strategic token reserves. More importantly, if Chainlink is to become a core part of their future infrastructure, it is unlikely that DTCC or SWIFT would tolerate an unknown entity controlling 10% of the LINK supply—this would pose an unacceptable systemic risk.

Another detail is worth noting:

All 48 wallets were created between August and November 2025, with the last one established on November 20th—just two days before SWIFT's activation of the new ISO 20022 standard, a project in which Chainlink is a participant.

The coincidence in timing, while not conclusive evidence of causality, is hard to ignore. If LINK is to play an important role in future financial communication, settlement, or interoperability infrastructure, establishing a strategic reserve beforehand is undoubtedly a reasonable long-term布局 (layout).

For institutions aiming for long-term integration rather than short-term speculation, locking in supply early reduces execution risk, mitigates price impact, and lessens dependence on future market liquidity.

High-Net-Worth Individuals

Extremely low probability. 100 million LINK is worth over $1 billion. The number of individuals who can mobilize capital of this magnitude is极小 (extremely small), and concentrating it into a single crypto asset without a clear strategic purpose is even rarer.

My View

I believe this is almost certainly the work of a large institution. Without deep market knowledge and institutional-grade execution capability, it is impossible to accumulate 10% of the supply without moving the price.

Increasing purchases during the high-liquidity period following the October 10th crash particularly points to institutional behavior. They knew high liquidity allowed frequent buying without raising the price. This level of coordination is far beyond the capability of the average individual investor.

It is also noteworthy that the accumulation amount is exactly 100 million LINK, precisely one-tenth of the total supply. This shows the scale was intentionally set, not randomly accumulated, reflecting a long-term strategic intent for the project.

Accumulating 100 million LINK is unlikely to be for speculative purposes alone. It预示着 (suggests) the token may have practical application scenarios in the future. The entity seems to be preparing for a future where Chainlink underpins critical financial infrastructure and is building reserves accordingly.

Until the entity's identity is revealed, uncertainty remains. But the fact that a single entity may have accumulated 10% of the LINK supply for future use is significantly bullish in itself.

What Happens Next?

If the buyer is a large institution, the subsequent impact could be very positive. Other asset management companies and infrastructure providers might scramble to build their own LINK reserves, but replicating this slow, discreet accumulation process is almost impossible. Latecomers may be forced to buy at high prices, significantly driving up the price.

At the same time, concentration risk cannot be ignored. Controlling 10% of the supply implies significant influence, and with the entity's intentions unclear, its future actions remain a key variable.

The following points are clear:

· This accumulation is real.

· Its strategy is highly sophisticated.

· The scale involved is extraordinary.

Whether this is early positioning by a large institution or something else, it is one of the most noteworthy on-chain patterns in LINK's history.

Трендові криптовалюти

Пов'язані питання

QWhat key evidence suggests that the 48 wallets are controlled by a single entity?

AThe key evidence includes: each wallet holds approximately 2 million LINK; all wallets were created between August and November 2025; all purchases originated from the same Coinbase hot wallet address (0xA9D1e08C7793af67e9d92fe308d5697FB81d3E43); and their transaction heatmaps are strikingly similar, showing nearly identical trading patterns and accumulation rhythms on the same dates.

QHow did the entity manage to accumulate 100 million LINK (10% of supply) without significantly impacting the market price?

AThe entity used anonymous wallets with no public institutional links and structured their purchases in batches to avoid sudden spikes in demand. They capitalized on the high liquidity window following the October 10 market crash, where panic selling and exchange interventions created abundant sell-side liquidity, allowing them to accumulate large amounts without driving up the price.

QWhich two major traditional financial institutions are considered the most likely candidates behind this accumulation, and why?

ABlackRock and JPMorgan are the most likely candidates. BlackRock, with its $14 trillion AUM, has emphasized tokenization as the future of financial markets and relies heavily on Chainlink's services for its BUIDL fund. JPMorgan, a trillion-dollar bank, is rapidly expanding its blockchain division and uses Chainlink's CCIP and oracle services for tokenized assets and cross-chain finance. Both have the resources, strategic interest, and need to accumulate LINK discreetly to avoid price impact.

QWhat was the significance of the October 10 market crash in relation to the accumulation strategy?

AThe October 10 crash created a rare liquidity event due to API failures at market makers and panic selling, resulting in a flood of sell orders and minimal buy-side support. Exchanges intervened by placing large buy orders to absorb the selling pressure, accumulating crypto inventory. This inventory was gradually released over October and November, providing sustained selling pressure and abundant liquidity, which the entity used to accelerate its accumulation without affecting the price.

QWhy is it unlikely that this accumulation was done by a high-net-worth individual or for purely speculative purposes?

AAccumulating 100 million LINK (worth over $1 billion) requires immense capital and institutional-grade execution to avoid price impact. The coordinated, structured approach across 48 wallets, the precise timing to exploit market liquidity, and the strategic scale (exactly 10% of supply) suggest long-term strategic intent for future utility in financial infrastructure, not short-term speculation. Few individuals have both the resources and the expertise to execute such a operation.

Пов'язані матеріали

After Three Consecutive Quarters of Decline, Can the Crypto Market Find a Window for Stabilization in Q3?

The cryptocurrency market has just concluded its worst-performing quarter since 2022, with total capitalization dropping 12.6% to $2.1 trillion. All core metrics indicate capital is leaving the sector, not just rotating within it. Bitcoin fell 14.2% and Ethereum dropped 25.4% in Q2, breaking their previous correlation with US tech stocks. A key driver is the reversal in US spot Bitcoin ETF flows, which saw a net outflow of approximately $4.67 billion in Q2, including a record monthly outflow near $4.5 billion in June. While recent data suggests long-term holders are accumulating again, sustained ETF outflows mean continued selling pressure. Market focus is now singularly on the Federal Reserve. The upcoming July FOMC meeting is seen as the most critical event for Q3. A dovish signal could support Bitcoin reclaiming a $68,000-$84,000 range, while a hawkish stance might establish a new trading band around $50,000-$56,000. Additionally, regulatory uncertainty persists, with the progress of the crucial *CLARITY Act* stalling in the Senate, reducing its perceived 2026 passage probability to 40-45%. Despite the broad downturn, a few sectors showed growth. Prediction markets saw nominal volume surge 48.7% year-over-year to $113.8 billion, and tokenized collectibles transaction volume rose 143% quarterly to $1.4 billion. The Real-World Asset (RWA) tokenization sector also continued steady growth, now representing ~$28.1 billion in on-chain value. The market's foundation for an extreme crash appears limited, with Bitcoin price hovering near its 200-week moving average. However, the trading paradigm has shifted from narrative-driven speculation to decisions based on price action, policy developments, and interest rate expectations, making a broad sentiment-driven rally unlikely in the near term.

marsbit1 год тому

After Three Consecutive Quarters of Decline, Can the Crypto Market Find a Window for Stabilization in Q3?

marsbit1 год тому

BIT Trading Moment: BTC Still Suppressed by Weekly 200 EMA, Rejection May Restart Decline; Storage and Semiconductors that Surged Last Night Begin Falling in Evening Trading

**Crypto & Stock Market Wrap: Bitcoin Tests Resistance, Stocks Retreat After AI Surge** Bitcoin consolidates around $66,000, facing key resistance near $68,000—an area seen as a major psychological and technical hurdle where previous rallies have failed. Analysts note the cryptocurrency is caught between its 200-week moving average (~$63,333) and 200-week EMA (~$68,328). A clear break above $68k is needed to signal a stronger bullish trend, while a rejection could lead to a retest of $63k support. Market sentiment remains cautious, with low futures open interest pointing to a low-liquidity rebound rather than a full bull market. Bitcoin spot ETFs saw another $203 million inflow. US stock futures pointed lower after a strong Tuesday session led by a massive rebound in semiconductors and memory stocks. The rally was fueled by renewed optimism about AI-driven hardware demand, with Micron, SanDisk, and SK Hynix surging. However, those gains reversed in pre-market trading. Super Micro Computer (SMCI) soared over 20% after hours on strong guidance and a record backlog. Other standouts included Rocket Lab and nuclear energy plays Oklo and X-Energy. Rising oil prices (Brent above $91) and climbing Treasury yields (10-year near 4.64%), however, are reigniting inflation concerns and acting as a headwind for equities. In Asia, markets were mixed. South Korea's KOSPI pared early gains to close slightly higher as semiconductor stocks like SK Hynix gave back initial surges. Japan's Nikkei edged lower as the yen hit a fresh 38-year low against the dollar, raising fears of potential market intervention. Key events to watch include the Samsung Galaxy launch, AMD's AI event, and a slew of major tech earnings from Alphabet, Tesla, and IBM after the close on Wednesday, followed by the ECB meeting and Intel's earnings on Thursday.

marsbit1 год тому

BIT Trading Moment: BTC Still Suppressed by Weekly 200 EMA, Rejection May Restart Decline; Storage and Semiconductors that Surged Last Night Begin Falling in Evening Trading

marsbit1 год тому

Former CFTC Chairman, Circle President Tarbert: Preaching Long-Termism While Cashing Out $30 Million Himself

Former CFTC Chairman and Circle President Heath Tarbert has consistently advocated for a long-term vision in public, urging patience from investors as Circle’s stock price has fallen significantly from its peak. However, it has been revealed that since Circle’s IPO, Tarbert has continuously sold his CRCL shares through pre-arranged trading plans, cashing out approximately $30 million, without making any public market purchases. This contrast between his public messaging and personal actions has drawn criticism. Tarbert joined Circle in July 2023 as Chief Legal Officer, leveraging his regulatory experience to help guide the company through its IPO and expansion. Despite promoting stablecoins as long-term infrastructure, he established a 10b5-1 trading plan just before Circle went public, leading to substantial stock sales over the following year. In March 2026, he initiated another plan to sell more shares. His career trajectory highlights a pattern of moving between high-level regulatory roles and influential positions in the financial sector. After resigning as CFTC Chairman in early 2021, he joined Citadel Securities as Chief Legal Officer just 27 days later, during a period of intense regulatory scrutiny for the firm. He later joined Circle, aiding its efforts to navigate regulatory challenges for its public listing. While Tarbert's expertise in policy and compliance is valuable to companies like Circle, his actions—advocating long-term confidence while personally divesting—raise questions about the alignment between his public statements and his private financial decisions, leaving investors who followed his advice to bear the market risks.

marsbit1 год тому

Former CFTC Chairman, Circle President Tarbert: Preaching Long-Termism While Cashing Out $30 Million Himself

marsbit1 год тому

Gate Research Institute: The 'Wall Street-ization' Wave of Crypto Financial Products – Competition or Integration?

The article titled "Gate Research Institute: Are Crypto Financial Products Sparking a 'Wall Street' Wave—Competition or Convergence?" explores the evolving relationship between the crypto ecosystem and traditional finance (TradFi). The piece begins by reflecting on Bitcoin's original 2009 vision of decentralization, disintermediation, and moving away from banks. It then contrasts this with the 2024 landscape, where key crypto assets like Bitcoin are increasingly held through Wall Street products like ETFs issued by giants like BlackRock. The article questions whether this signifies that TradFi is systematically taking over the rights to issue, price, custody, and distribute crypto financial assets. The core argument is that this is not a zero-sum takeover but rather a bidirectional convergence where each side addresses the other's weaknesses. Crypto offers 24/7 global markets, programmable settlement, and open access but lacks compliant channels, institutional-grade custody, deep fiat liquidity, and mainstream distribution. TradFi possesses these but is constrained by legacy systems, limited operating hours, and slow settlement. Two primary convergence paths are highlighted: * **Path A (CEX to TradFi):** Exemplified by Gate, which has progressed from offering tokenized stocks and CFDs to providing direct, real stock trading (US, Hong Kong, South Korea) within its platform, using USDT. * **Path B (TradFi to Crypto):** Exemplified by Robinhood, which has integrated crypto trading, acquired exchanges like Bitstamp, and is moving traditional assets like stocks onto the blockchain via tokenization and its own Layer 2. Both paths are ultimately competing to become the next-generation, unified financial account—a "super account" where users can seamlessly trade cryptocurrencies, stocks, ETFs, RWA (Real World Assets), and tokenized treasury products in one interface. The growth of RWA and tokenized treasuries (e.g., BlackRock's BUIDL) is presented as the asset-layer fusion, providing stable, yield-bearing assets on-chain and acting as a bridge between the two worlds. In conclusion, the "Wall Street-ization" of crypto is framed as a mutual transformation. Decentralized ideals persist in the protocol layer, while at the application layer, a more efficient, global, and accessible unified capital market is emerging from this convergence. The future competition lies not between crypto exchanges and stockbrokers, but between platforms vying to offer the most comprehensive asset coverage, liquidity, and user experience within a single account.

marsbit1 год тому

Gate Research Institute: The 'Wall Street-ization' Wave of Crypto Financial Products – Competition or Integration?

marsbit1 год тому

Торгівля

Спот

Популярні статті

Як купити LINK

Ласкаво просимо до HTX.com! Ми зробили покупку ChainLink (LINK) простою та зручною. Дотримуйтесь нашої покрокової інструкції, щоб розпочати свою криптовалютну подорож.Крок 1: Створіть обліковий запис на HTXВикористовуйте свою електронну пошту або номер телефону, щоб зареєструвати обліковий запис на HTX безплатно. Пройдіть безпроблемну реєстрацію й отримайте доступ до всіх функцій.ЗареєструватисьКрок 2: Перейдіть до розділу Купити крипту і виберіть спосіб оплатиКредитна/дебетова картка: використовуйте вашу картку Visa або Mastercard, щоб миттєво купити ChainLink (LINK).Баланс: використовуйте кошти з балансу вашого рахунку HTX для безперешкодної торгівлі.Треті особи: ми додали популярні способи оплати, такі як Google Pay та Apple Pay, щоб підвищити зручність.P2P: Торгуйте безпосередньо з іншими користувачами на HTX.Позабіржова торгівля (OTC): ми пропонуємо індивідуальні послуги та конкурентні обмінні курси для трейдерів.Крок 3: Зберігайте свої ChainLink (LINK)Після придбання ChainLink (LINK) збережіть його у своєму обліковому записі на HTX. Крім того, ви можете відправити його в інше місце за допомогою блокчейн-переказу або використовувати його для торгівлі іншими криптовалютами.Крок 4: Торгівля ChainLink (LINK)Легко торгуйте ChainLink (LINK) на спотовому ринку HTX. Просто увійдіть до свого облікового запису, виберіть торгову пару, укладайте угоди та спостерігайте за ними в режимі реального часу. Ми пропонуємо зручний досвід як для початківців, так і для досвідчених трейдерів.

1.1k переглядів усьогоОпубліковано 2024.12.13Оновлено 2026.06.02

Як купити LINK

Обговорення

Ласкаво просимо до спільноти HTX. Тут ви можете бути в курсі останніх подій розвитку платформи та отримати доступ до професійної ринкової інформації. Нижче представлені думки користувачів щодо ціни LINK (LINK).

活动图片