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ccn.comОпубліковано о 2026-01-20Востаннє оновлено о 2026-01-20

Анотація

Silver surged roughly 165% in 2025 and continues to hit record highs in early 2026, driven by industrial demand from green energy and electronics sectors. Bitcoin critic Peter Schiff warns that Bitcoin is poised for a catastrophic collapse mirroring silver’s rally—but in reverse. He argues Bitcoin lacks intrinsic value and is driven by speculation, unlike silver which has tangible utility. Crypto supporters dismiss his warning, citing Schiff’s long history of failed Bitcoin predictions. While silver benefits from supply shortages and real-world demand, Bitcoin faces macro pressures and has struggled to sustain breakouts despite brief rallies. The debate between traditional asset advocates and crypto believers continues amid market uncertainty.

Key Takeaways

  • Silver surged roughly 165% in 2025, driven by industrial shortages and soaring demand.
  • Peter Schiff argues Bitcoin will mirror silver’s rally—but in reverse, with a sharp collapse.
  • Crypto supporters dismiss the warning, pointing to Schiff’s long record of failed Bitcoin predictions.

As silver continues to print record highs, longtime gold advocate and Bitcoin critic Peter Schiff is once again sounding the alarm.

This time, he is warning that BTC is headed for a collapse that will mirror silver’s rise, only in reverse.

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Schiff Sounds the Alarm as Silver Soars

Silver climbed above $94 on Jan. 19, extending a surge that has reshaped the precious metals market over the past year.

Since late 2024, the metal has posted new highs with striking frequency, fueled by tight supply and growing industrial demand.

The rally has been dramatic. Silver rose about 165% in 2025 and is already up roughly 30% in the first three weeks of 2026 alone, adding an estimated $1.2 trillion in market value.

Schiff seized on the milestone to deliver another stark warning for Bitcoin holders.

“What’s happening with silver is about to happen with Bitcoin, only in reverse,” Schiff wrote on X . “Silver’s spectacular rise will usher in Bitcoin’s catastrophic collapse. Don’t say I didn’t warn you.”

The comment immediately reignited debate between traditional asset proponents and crypto supporters, a familiar battleground for Schiff, who has spent years criticizing Bitcoin as fundamentally worthless.

Why Silver Is Surging—and Bitcoin Isn’t

Silver’s rally has been driven less by speculation and more by real-world demand pressures.

The metal plays a critical role in solar panels, electric vehicles, and advanced electronics, sectors that have expanded rapidly as governments and corporations invest heavily in green energy and AI infrastructure.

Demand from data centers and semiconductor manufacturing has further strained supply, creating persistent deficits that have pushed prices higher.

Bitcoin, by contrast, has struggled to match silver’s momentum.

Despite a brief rally earlier this month that pushed BTC above $97,000, the asset has failed to sustain a breakout.

Broader market uncertainty, including renewed trade tensions sparked by President Donald Trump’s tariff threats, has kept risk assets under pressure.

While Bitcoin continues to attract institutional interest through ETFs and ongoing legislative efforts in Washington.

Its growing correlation with equities has limited upside during periods of macro stress.

A Familiar Warning From a Familiar Critic

Schiff’s bearish stance on Bitcoin is hardly new.

Over the years, he has repeatedly predicted BTC’s collapse—by some counts more than a dozen times—often urging investors to abandon the digital asset in favor of gold and silver miners.

Many of those calls have aged poorly. Bitcoin has gone on to set multiple all-time highs despite Schiff’s warnings, including repeatedly approaching levels he once said it would never reach.

Still, Schiff remains consistent in his core argument. He believes Bitcoin lacks intrinsic value, especially when compared to commodities like silver, which have clear industrial uses.

In his view, Bitcoin’s price is driven by hype and speculative excess rather than utility, making it vulnerable to a rapid unwind.

He has likened Bitcoin’s rise to historical bubbles, arguing that when sentiment turns, the downside will be swift and unforgiving.

Is Bitcoin Facing a Bigger Test?

Bitcoin now sits in a complex phase of its post-halving cycle. Historically, the year following a halving has delivered strong gains, but the current cycle has looked less decisive.

Institutional inflows have softened at times, retail enthusiasm has cooled, and macro risks—from tariffs to geopolitical tensions—continue to weigh on sentiment.

Still, the market has yet to experience the kind of cascading collapse that defined past downturns, such as the ICO bust of 2017 or the FTX implosion in 2022.

The sharp sell-off on Oct. 10 rattled confidence, but the market recovered, reinforcing the view among many crypto proponents that Bitcoin has matured.

Reactions to Schiff’s latest warning reflect that divide.

Supporters of precious metals point to silver’s tangible utility and supply constraints as evidence of lasting value.

Bitcoin advocates, meanwhile, dismissed Schiff’s comments, mocking his track record and accusing him of applying double standards—calling silver pullbacks “buying opportunities” while framing any Bitcoin dip as proof of failure.

For now, silver continues its historic run, and Bitcoin remains range-bound. Whether Schiff’s latest prediction proves prescient or joins his long list of missed calls will depend on how markets digest the next wave of macro and regulatory developments.

One thing is certain: the long-running clash between hard-money traditionalists and crypto believers is far from over.

=

BTC community mocks Peter Schiff’s failed Bitcoin prediction. Credit: X

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Пов'язані питання

QWhat is the significant surge in silver's price in 2025 and what are the primary drivers behind it?

ASilver surged roughly 165% in 2025, driven by industrial shortages and soaring demand from sectors like solar panels, electric vehicles, and advanced electronics.

QWhat is Peter Schiff's prediction for Bitcoin in relation to silver's recent performance?

APeter Schiff argues that Bitcoin will mirror silver's rally but in reverse, predicting a sharp collapse for Bitcoin as silver continues to rise.

QHow have crypto supporters typically responded to Peter Schiff's warnings about Bitcoin?

ACrypto supporters dismiss the warning, pointing to Schiff's long record of failed Bitcoin predictions and often mock his stance.

QWhat are the key fundamental differences cited between the price drivers of silver and Bitcoin?

ASilver's rally is driven by real-world industrial demand and supply constraints, while Bitcoin's price is seen by critics as driven more by speculation and hype, lacking the same intrinsic utility.

QWhat historical events are mentioned as examples of past Bitcoin downturns, and how does the current market phase compare?

APast downturns include the ICO bust of 2017 and the FTX implosion in 2022. The current phase is described as complex and less decisive post-halving, with macro risks weighing on sentiment, but without a cascading collapse so far.

Пов'язані матеріали

Stocks Fell Even More Violently Than Crypto, Where Did the Money Go?

From June to late July 2026, global stock markets, particularly technology and semiconductor stocks, experienced severe declines, with South Korea's KOSPI index facing historic circuit breakers and shedding 40% from its June peak. Key catalysts included SK Hynix's earnings miss despite record profits and competitive pressures from China's CXMT IPO. A global forced deleveraging event unfolded, devastating highly leveraged instruments like the 2x leveraged SK Hynix ETF, which lost over 80% of its value. Surprisingly, Bitcoin showed relative stability during this period, rising roughly 15% from its July low. The article clarifies this wasn't due to an inflow of equity flight capital but because Bitcoin had already undergone a significant correction in May and June, with U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs seeing record outflows. True safe-haven flows went to gold, severing Bitcoin's short-term "digital gold" narrative. The sell-off is characterized not as an AI story collapse but a liquidity-driven清算 of crowded leveraged positions, potentially halfway through according to some analysts. For substantial capital to return to Bitcoin, the article cites necessary conditions: eased global liquidity pressure, a soft-landing Fed rate cut, and regulatory clarity from the stalled U.S. CLARITY Act. The conclusion is that Bitcoin is not a current safe haven but a pre-cleared asset. Its decoupling from tech stocks highlights its potential future role as a non-correlated asset for institutional portfolios, positioning it favorably for when global capital reallocates post-crisis.

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"The Final Phase Before the New Cycle". What Will Happen to Bitcoin in August

"Bitcoin Faces Crucial Test in August: Experts Predict Consolidation or Further Decline" The price of Bitcoin (BTC) is expected to remain under pressure in August, with experts anticipating either consolidation within a narrow range or a potential drop below $60,000. Despite a double-digit recovery from its July low near $58,000, BTC ended the month trading around $63,500, still roughly 50% below its October 2025 peak of $126,200. Analysts cite several headwinds: a challenging macroeconomic environment with high US interest rates and persistent inflation, which makes fixed-income assets more attractive than speculative ones like crypto. Furthermore, competition for capital is intense, with many investors favoring AI-related stocks. This is reflected in significant outflows from US spot Bitcoin ETFs, with a record $4.5 billion leaving in June and a net outflow of $5.4 billion for the first half of the year. Historically, August is a weak month for crypto, with a median return of -7.49% from 2013 to 2025. Experts also note regulatory uncertainty in the US, particularly the stalled CLARITY Act, as a dampening factor. Despite the bearish near-term outlook, several experts view the current phase as the "last phase before a new Bitcoin cycle" begins, potentially in Q4 2024. This makes it a favorable time for accumulating Bitcoin for the long term. Key price levels to watch are support at $60,000-$61,000, with a break below $58,000 potentially leading to $53,000-$55,000. A move above $67,000 could target $70,000-$75,000, though this is considered a lower probability scenario.

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What Structural Changes Have Occurred in the Cryptocurrency Industry by 2026?

By 2026, the crypto industry is undergoing profound structural shifts, moving beyond price speculation towards deeper integration with the real-world economy. Major changes are driven by four key areas. First, stablecoins, now a $300B+ market, are evolving from crypto-native trading tools into real-world payment and B2B settlement backbones, extending business chains and creating complex accounting and tax obligations. Second, global regulation is maturing. Frameworks like the EU's MiCA are moving from legislation to active enforcement, determining market access. Anti-money laundering rules, such as the Travel Rule, see wider adoption but face enforcement and cross-border challenges. Third, AI Agents are emerging as autonomous transaction entities. Protocols like Coinbase's x402 enable machine-to-machine micropayments using stablecoins, necessitating new frameworks for transaction authorization, tax attribution, and audit trails. Finally, tax transparency is entering an implementation phase. Initiatives like the OECD's CARF, EU's DAC8, and the US Form 1099-DA are shifting reporting burdens to platforms, requiring them to reconcile on-chain data with user identity and tax residency information. Collectively, these trends signify that crypto compliance is becoming foundational infrastructure, requiring consistent data and control systems to meet cross-border operational, regulatory, and audit demands.

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