Expert Predicts What Will Happen To Bitcoin Price Amid The Miner Shift To AI

bitcoinistОпубліковано о 2026-04-19Востаннє оновлено о 2026-04-19

Анотація

Expert Charles Edwards warns that Bitcoin miners are rapidly pivoting to AI, which could negatively impact BTC's price and network security. Public mining firms expect Bitcoin revenue to drop from 90% to 30% in 2-3 years, driven by stock performance incentives—companies targeting over 80% AI revenue saw shares surge 500%. This shift reduces investment in new mining hardware, potentially weakening network security. Additionally, miners are selling BTC holdings aggressively, with over 32,000 BTC sold in Q1 2026, creating sell-side pressure. The halving rewards and low hash prices further squeeze profits, suggesting industry leaders lack long-term Bitcoin price confidence.

Charles Edward, founder of the digital asset hedge fund Capriole Investments, has warned that BTC miners are rapidly shifting to artificial intelligence (AI), raising concerns about the future of mining activity and its impact on the Bitcoin price. He described the trend as both unexpected and worrying based on statements from publicly listed Bitcoin mining companies about future revenue targets.

Bitcoin Price At Risk As Miners Pivot to AI

Edwards reported in an X post that every major public Bitcoin mining firm has announced plans to pivot toward AI services. According to the data he shared, these companies expect their Bitcoin revenue to fall sharply, from an average of about 90% to roughly 30% over the next two to three years.

Notably, Edwards pointed to stock market performance as one of the main signals behind the recent shift. He explained that companies that set aggressive AI revenue targets above 80% reportedly saw their share prices rise by an average of more than 500%. Meanwhile, firms that targeted less than 60% of their revenue to AI saw significantly weaker performance, with many posting negative returns over two years.

He also highlighted changes in mining hardware investment strategies among Bitcoin miners. Edwards stated that several companies are not planning to buy new Bitcoin mining equipment and instead intend to run their existing machines until the end of their lifespan while redirecting future spending into AI infrastructure.

His warning further included concerns about the long-term security of the Bitcoin network. He emphasized that mining companies provide the computing power that secures the network. As a result, Edwards argued that reduced investment in mining hardware, such as Application-Specific Integrated Circuits (ASICs), could weaken this security if fewer resources are committed to maintaining or expanding capacity.

Separately, the recent pivot to AI could affect the Bitcoin price, which has already come under pressure as public BTC miners increasingly sell their holdings. Moreover, with fewer miners actively accumulating the cryptocurrency, the reduced buy-side demand could significantly weigh on price performance over time.

Edwards also referenced the rise of quantum computing as an additional risk factor. He stated that advances in quantum computing could pose a serious challenge to Bitcoin’s cryptographic systems unless changes are made to the network’s code to address future technological threats.

Overall, he emphasized that the current shift is significantly different from past downturns in the Bitcoin mining sector. He noted that previous mining capitulation events usually involve about 20% to 30% of miners exiting the market. However, he noted that mining companies collectively valued at more than $100 billion are signaling a major move away from cryptocurrencies. According to him, this widespread shift into AI suggests that industry leaders do not currently expect strong long-term growth in the BTC price.

Public Bitcoin Miners Dump Thousands Of BTC In Q1

A recent report from TheEnergyMag, a research firm, revealed that public miners are increasingly selling off their BTC at a pace not seen since the final stages of the previous crypto bear market. The company noted that this selling activity has been fueled by a prolonged decline in mining revenue and economics, prompting operators to liquidate their holdings as many shift toward AI technology.

Additionally, Hashprice previously dropped to near all-time lows around $33 per PH/s, making it increasingly difficult for miners to turn a profit. The 2024 halving event, which cut block rewards, has also further shrunk miners’ earnings, while network difficulty is dramatically higher than it was in 2021.

According to the report, public miner companies such as MARA, Riot, Congo, CleanSpark, and Bitdeer have already collectively sold more than 32,000 BTC in the first quarter of 2026. The research firm noted that this figure surpasses total net Bitcoin sales across all four quarters of 2025, setting a new industry record.

BTC trading at $76,990 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com

Пов'язані питання

QAccording to Charles Edwards, what is the expected change in Bitcoin mining revenue for major public companies over the next 2-3 years?

AAccording to Charles Edwards, major public Bitcoin mining companies expect their Bitcoin revenue to fall sharply from an average of about 90% to roughly 30% over the next two to three years.

QWhat is one of the main reasons, as cited by Edwards, that is driving the shift towards AI for Bitcoin mining companies?

AOne of the main reasons for the shift is stock market performance. Companies that set aggressive AI revenue targets above 80% reportedly saw their share prices rise by an average of more than 500%.

QHow does Edwards believe the pivot to AI could affect the security of the Bitcoin network?

AEdwards argues that reduced investment in mining hardware, such as ASICs, could weaken the security of the Bitcoin network because mining companies provide the computing power that secures it.

QWhat additional technological risk factor, besides the shift to AI, did Edwards reference as a challenge to Bitcoin?

AEdwards referenced the rise of quantum computing as an additional risk factor, stating that advances in it could pose a serious challenge to Bitcoin’s cryptographic systems.

QHow many BTC did the named public mining companies reportedly sell in the first quarter of 2026, according to the article?

AAccording to the article, public miner companies such as MARA, Riot, Congo, CleanSpark, and Bitdeer collectively sold more than 32,000 BTC in the first quarter of 2026.

Пов'язані матеріали

Anthropic's IPO Launch: Commercial Miracle or Valuation Bubble?

Anthropic has confidentially filed for an IPO, led by Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs, potentially going public by October. Following its latest $650 billion funding round, its pre-IPO valuation stands at $965 billion, with projections reaching up to $2 trillion at listing, which would make it the highest-valued private company ever. The article, written by Fu Sheng, addresses skepticism that this represents an AI bubble akin to the 2000 dot-com crash. It argues the current situation differs fundamentally. Unlike the internet bubble era, which relied on speculative narratives with little revenue, Anthropic's valuation is backed by unprecedented, measurable financial performance. Key data points include: * **Revenue Growth:** ARR skyrocketed from $10 billion in early 2025 to $470 billion by May 2026, targeting $100 billion by year-end—a growth curve unmatched in business history. * **Profitability:** It achieved operating profitability in Q2 2026 with an estimated $5.6 billion profit. * **Efficiency:** With ~3,000 employees and ~$470 billion ARR, its revenue per employee exceeds $10 million. Products like Claude Code, launched less than a year ago, already generate $25 billion in annualized revenue. * **Enterprise Adoption:** It boasts a strong enterprise client base, with 8 of the Fortune 10 and over 1,000 large firms spending over $1 million annually on Claude. The valuation is framed using a traditional SaaS model (e.g., a 10x Price-to-Sales multiple on $100 billion revenue). The author contends the core question for analysts has shifted from "How big could this be?" to "How much is it earning and will earn next quarter?" The discussion extends beyond Anthropic to a broader paradigm shift: the transition from a "carbon-based" to a "silicon-based" economy. Companies are increasingly prioritizing investment in compute and AI capabilities over human resources, as these directly scale productivity and competitive advantage. Anthropic's IPO is thus positioned not just as a corporate milestone, but as a price anchor for this new economic era.

链捕手2 год тому

Anthropic's IPO Launch: Commercial Miracle or Valuation Bubble?

链捕手2 год тому

Near Returns to the AI Stage: Transformation into a Public Chain Due to 'Payroll Difficulties,' Agent and Privacy Emerge as New Growth Narratives

NEAR Returns to AI Origins: From Payroll Struggles to Blockchain, Now Focusing on AI Agents and Privacy NEAR Protocol's journey began not with grand blockchain ambitions, but from a practical hurdle: its AI startup founders, including Transformer paper co-author Illia Polosukhin, couldn't efficiently pay international developers in 2017. This led them to pivot and build a high-performance, scalable blockchain. After years navigating various crypto narratives like sharding and cross-chain interoperability, NEAR is now leveraging its AI roots to re-enter the AI arena. A key driver is its "NEAR Intents" layer, which abstracts complex cross-chain transactions. Users simply state their goal (e.g., swap BTC for ETH), and a solver network finds the optimal route. This system has processed over $20B in cross-chain volume, generating significant fee revenue. A major growth area is private transactions via "Confidential Intents/Swaps," which hide trade details until settlement to protect against MEV and front-running. Remarkably, private swaps recently accounted for over 40% of NEAR's transaction volume, highlighting strong demand but also potential regulatory scrutiny. With its AI-founder pedigree, NEAR is positioning itself at the intersection of blockchain, AI agents, and privacy, aiming to become infrastructure for the emerging agent economy while navigating the challenges of its rapid adoption.

marsbit5 год тому

Near Returns to the AI Stage: Transformation into a Public Chain Due to 'Payroll Difficulties,' Agent and Privacy Emerge as New Growth Narratives

marsbit5 год тому

Торгівля

Спот
Ф'ючерси
活动图片