Crypto Market Trends from Pantera Capital. What Will Be Relevant in 2026

RBK-cryptoОпубліковано о 2025-12-26Востаннє оновлено о 2025-12-26

Анотація

Pantera Capital's partner, Joey Yu, outlines key crypto trends for 2026. Major developments include the integration of AI into consumer crypto services for analytics and autonomous trading, the growth of capital-efficient on-chain lending with AI-driven credit scoring, and the expansion of gold-backed stablecoins as a key RWA segment. Prediction markets will bifurcate into financial (DeFi-integrated) and cultural (community-focused) sectors. The x402 protocol will evolve into a mainstream crypto payment solution, with Solana leading in transaction volume. Privacy-as-a-Service offerings will emerge for enterprises, and the threat of quantum computing will push institutions to secure old Bitcoin holdings. The DAT company market will consolidate, and governance token models will be challenged by new equity-like structures. Hyperliquid is predicted to dominate the perpetual futures DEX market, while proprietary AMMs will become multi-chain and handle most of Solana's volume. Finally, major fintech firms will adopt stablecoins for cross-border payments.

"RBC-Crypto" does not provide investment advice, the material is published for informational purposes only. Cryptocurrency is a volatile asset that can lead to financial losses.

Partner of the research and investment division of Pantera Capital, Jay Yu, presented forecasts of key crypto trends for 2026. Among them are the integration of artificial intelligence into consumer crypto services, the growth of the stablecoin market, and the development of capital-efficient lending on the blockchain.

Blockchain Lending

A new stage of lending in the crypto industry is expected. These are applications that combine complex creditworthiness assessment (both on-chain and off-chain), flexible collateral terms, and analysis of user behavior using AI, packaged in a simple interface.

Segmentation of Prediction Markets

According to Yu's forecast, prediction markets will develop in two directions: financial, with an emphasis on integration with DeFi, the use of leverage and staking, and cultural - with a focus on local events, hobbies, and community participation.

Expansion of x402

The x402 protocol, initially created for micropayments, will begin to be used for regular crypto payments, essentially as a crypto equivalent of Apple Pay. It is expected that on a number of sites, over 50% of payment traffic will go through x402. In terms of transaction volume in this category, the Solana network will surpass Base.

AI as a New Interface

Autonomous traders based on artificial intelligence are still an experiment, but AI will be used to analyze trends, tokens, and wallets. These solutions will begin to be widely implemented in user applications.

Tokenized Gold

Gold-backed stablecoins will become one of the key instruments in the tokenized assets segment (real world assets, RWA), especially in the context of restrictions on physical ownership of the metal and declining trust in the dollar.

Quantum Threat to Bitcoin

The emergence of a technological precedent will force institutional companies to develop strategies to protect old bitcoins that have not been moved for many years from hypothetical quantum computer attacks.

Privacy as a Service

Solutions with a user-friendly interface for developers are expected to appear, which will simplify the implementation of confidential transactions, similar to how Wallet-as-a-Service services developed earlier. Companies will begin to offer Privacy-as-a-Service options for corporate clients.

DAT Companies

The market for DAT companies (digital asset treasury), which place cryptocurrency on corporate balance sheets, will shrink to two or three leaders in each segment. Mergers, closures, and a transition to structures resembling exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are expected.

Changes in Tokenomics

The model of governance tokens, which give the right to vote on protocol changes, will be called into question. In response, tokens that can be exchanged for a share in the project's capital will begin to appear, and a legal framework will be built to secure the right to participate in project governance through tokens.

Dominance of Hyperliquid

The Hyperliquid platform will maintain its leadership among decentralized exchanges for trading perpetual futures. The main source of growth will be HIP3 format markets - a mechanism that allows third-party teams to create their own derivative markets on the Hyperliquid base. To launch such instruments, it is enough to stake HYPE tokens and set suitable market parameters.

Also, the role of yield-bearing stablecoins will be strengthened on the platform, which will receive priority asset status (in particular through the HyENA protocol). At the same time, USDC from Circle will cede leadership on Hyperliquid to new stablecoins USDe from Ethena and native USDH.

Prop AMMs Will Become Multi-Chain

Proprietary AMMs will expand their reach to multiple blockchains and will account for more than half of the trading volume on Solana. In addition, they will begin to be used to value tokenized real assets.

On Solana, such mechanisms are already capturing a significant share of trading flow. Typical examples of Prop AMM on Solana include protocols like HumidiFi, as well as SolFi, ZeroFi and Obric - they already process large trading volumes through aggregators like Jupiter.

Unlike classic AMMs like Uniswap, proprietary ones use blockchain-embedded strategies of professional market makers, which allows for more active liquidity and narrow spreads. Such architecture is possible on Solana due to its high throughput, low fees, and support for frequent quote updates directly in the network.

Stablecoins for International Payments

Major fintech companies, including Stripe, Brex, Klarna and Ramp, will begin to massively use stablecoins in cross-border settlements. Networks like Tempo will become key gateways for the transition from fiat to cryptocurrency: they will accept fiat payments and convert them into stablecoins for subsequent settlements.

Trust Wallet users lost $7 million in cryptocurrency due to a hack

Broke the cycle. How the price of bitcoin changed over 10 years at Christmas

AI beat humans in a crypto trading tournament. What were the results

Пов'язані питання

QWhat are the key crypto trends predicted by Pantera Capital for 2026?

AKey trends include the integration of AI into consumer crypto services, growth of the stablecoin market, development of capital-efficient blockchain lending, expansion of prediction markets, tokenized gold as a key RWA, quantum threat concerns for Bitcoin, privacy-as-a-service solutions, consolidation of DAT companies, evolution of tokenomics, dominance of Hyperliquid in perp DEXs, proliferation of proprietary AMMs, and mass adoption of stablecoins for cross-border payments by fintech companies.

QHow is blockchain lending expected to evolve by 2026 according to the forecast?

ABlockchain lending is expected to enter a new phase with applications combining sophisticated credit assessment (both on-chain and off-chain), flexible collateral terms, and AI-powered user behavior analysis, all packaged into a simple user experience.

QWhat role is AI predicted to play in the crypto space by 2026?

AAI is predicted to become a new user interface, moving beyond experimental autonomous traders. It will be widely used for analyzing trends, tokens, and wallets, with these solutions being mass-integrated into consumer applications.

QWhy are gold-backed stablecoins expected to grow in importance?

AGold-backed stablecoins are expected to become a key tool in the tokenized real-world assets (RWA) segment, particularly due to restrictions on physical gold ownership and declining trust in the US dollar.

QWhat significant change is forecast for the stablecoin landscape on the Hyperliquid platform?

AOn Hyperliquid, yield-bearing stablecoins are expected to gain priority asset status (e.g., via the HyENA protocol), while USDC is predicted to lose its leadership position to new stablecoins like Ethena's USDe and the native USDH.

Пов'язані матеріали

Anthropic and OpenAI Have Single-Handedly Severed the Logic of Pre-IPO Stock Tokenization

The pre-IPO stock token market is experiencing significant turmoil following strong statements from AI giants Anthropic and OpenAI. Both companies have updated their official policies, declaring that any transfer of their company shares—including sales, transfers, or assignments of share interests—without prior board approval is "invalid" and will not be recognized in their corporate records. This means buyers in such unauthorized transactions would not be recognized as shareholders and would have no shareholder rights. A major point of contention is the use of Special Purpose Vehicles (SPVs), which are legal entities commonly used by pre-IPO token platforms to pool investor funds and indirectly acquire shares from employees or early investors. The companies explicitly state they do not permit SPVs to acquire their shares, and any such transfer violates their restrictions. They warn that third parties selling shares through SPVs, direct sales, forward contracts, or stock tokens are likely engaged in fraud or are offering worthless investments due to these transfer limits. This stance directly threatens the core model of many pre-IPO token platforms, which rely on SPV structures. The announcement revealed additional risks within this model, such as complex "SPV-within-SPV" layering that obscures legal transparency, increases management fees, and creates a chain reaction risk of invalidation. Following the news, tokens like ANTHROPIC and OPENAI on platforms like PreStocks fell sharply (over 20%). The market reaction highlights a divergence: while asset-backed pre-IPO tokens plummeted, purely speculative pre-IPO futures contracts, which are bilateral bets on future IPO prices with no claim to actual shares, remained relatively stable as they are unaffected by the transfer restrictions. The industry is split on the implications. Some believe the fundamental logic of pre-IPO token trading is broken if leading companies reject SPV-held shares, potentially causing a domino effect. Others, like Rivet founder Nick Abouzeid, argue that buyers of such unofficial tokens always knowingly accepted the risk of non-recognition by the company. The statements serve as a stark risk warning and a corrective measure for a market where valuations for some AI-related pre-IPO tokens had soared to irrational levels, far exceeding recent funding round valuations.

marsbit40 хв тому

Anthropic and OpenAI Have Single-Handedly Severed the Logic of Pre-IPO Stock Tokenization

marsbit40 хв тому

Anthropic and OpenAI Personally Sever the Logic of Pre-IPO Crypto-Stocks

The pre-IPO token market has been rocked by strong statements from Anthropic and OpenAI. Both AI giants have updated official warnings, declaring that any sale or transfer of their company shares without explicit board approval is "invalid" and will not be recognized on their corporate records. This directly targets Special Purpose Vehicles (SPVs), the common legal structure used by pre-IPO token platforms. These platforms typically use an SPV to acquire shares from employees or early investors, then issue blockchain-based tokens representing a claim on the SPV's economic benefits. Anthropic and OpenAI's position means that if an SPV's share purchase lacked authorization, the underlying asset could be deemed worthless, nullifying the token's value. Anthropic explicitly warned that any third party selling its shares—via direct sales, forwards, or tokens—is likely fraudulent or offering a valueless investment. The crackdown highlights risks in the popular SPV model, including complex multi-layered "Russian doll" SPV structures that obscure legal ownership, add fees, and concentrate risk. If one layer is invalidated, the entire chain could collapse. Following the announcements, tokens like ANTHROPIC and OPENAI on platforms like PreStocks fell sharply (over 20%). In contrast, purely speculative pre-IPO prediction contracts remained stable, as they involve no actual share ownership. The move is seen as a corrective measure amid a market frenzy where some pre-IPO token valuations (e.g., Anthropic's token hitting a $1.4 trillion implied valuation) far exceeded recent official funding rounds. Opinions are split: some believe this undermines the core logic of pre-IPO token trading if top companies reject SPVs, while others argue buyers always assumed this legal risk when accessing unofficial channels. The statements serve as a stark warning and a potential catalyst for market de-leveraging and clearer boundaries.

Odaily星球日报43 хв тому

Anthropic and OpenAI Personally Sever the Logic of Pre-IPO Crypto-Stocks

Odaily星球日报43 хв тому

The Waged Worker Driven to Poverty by AI Subscriptions

"AI Membership: The Hidden Cost Pushing Workers Toward 'Poverty'" The widespread corporate push for AI adoption is creating a hidden financial burden for employees. Companies, from giants like Alibaba to small firms, are mandating AI use, often tying token consumption to KPIs, but frequently refuse to cover the costs. Workers are forced to pay for subscriptions out of pocket to stay competitive and avoid being replaced. Front-end developer Long Shen spends up to 2000 RMB monthly on tools like Cursor and ChatGPT Plus, seeing it as a necessary 3% salary investment to handle 90% of his coding tasks. While it boosted his performance and led to promotions, he now faces idle time at work, pretending to be busy. Designer Peng Peng navigates strict company firewalls by using personal devices and accounts for AI image generation tools like Midjourney, spending hundreds monthly without reimbursement, while her boss demands faster, more numerous revisions. The pressure creates workplace anxiety and suspicion. Programmer Li Huahua, after a friend's experience of raised KPIs following AI success, fears being branded a "traitor" for using it yet worries about falling behind if she doesn't. The dynamic allows management to demand results without understanding the tools or covering expenses, treating employees like AI "agents." While some, like entrepreneur Jin Tu, find high value in paid AI, building entire systems and winning competitions, for most, it's a trap. Free tools like Kimi and Doubao are introducing fees, closing off alternatives. The initial efficiency gains individual advantage, but as AI becomes ubiquitous, the personal edge disappears, workloads increase, and a cycle of dependency begins. Workers like Long Shen realize they cannot maintain AI-generated code without AI, making stopping harder than continuing to pay. The tool promising liberation is instead becoming a compulsory, costly chain in the modern workplace.

marsbit1 год тому

The Waged Worker Driven to Poverty by AI Subscriptions

marsbit1 год тому

SK Hynix's Trillion-Won Empire: The Successors

"SK Hynix's Trillion-Won Empire and Its Heirs" explores the unconventional succession narrative within SK Group, South Korea's second-largest conglomerate, following SK Hynix's dramatic market rise. Unlike traditional chaebol scripts prioritizing the eldest son, ownership, and political marriages, Chairman Choi Tae-won's three children from his first marriage are charting distinct paths. The eldest daughter, Choi Yun-jeong, is considered the most visible candidate. With a background in biology, consulting, and a PhD, she holds executive roles at SK Bioscience and SK Inc.'s growth strategy unit, focusing on biopharma and new businesses. Her marriage is to an AI infrastructure entrepreneur, not a traditional chaebol heir. The second daughter, Choi Min-jeong, took a unique route by voluntarily serving as a South Korean naval officer, including a tour in the Gulf of Aden. She later worked on policy and strategy for SK Hynix in Washington D.C. before co-founding an AI-driven healthcare startup in San Francisco. She married a former U.S. Marine Corps officer, connecting the family to U.S. defense and policy networks. The son, Choi In-geun, who has Type 1 diabetes, followed a more classic preparatory path with a physics degree and a stint at SK E&S but left to join McKinsey's Seoul office. He remains publicly silent and holds no SK shares, defying the traditional "crown prince" archetype. Their paths unfold against the backdrop of their parents' high-profile, contentious divorce and a record-setting asset division lawsuit. The article argues that as SK Hynix becomes a geopolitical asset in the AI era, the conventional rules of chaebol inheritance are changing. The heirs are being groomed not simply to take over, but to navigate a complex global landscape defined by AI, biotech, geopolitics, and policy, forging legitimacy through their own expertise and networks rather than birth order alone.

marsbit1 год тому

SK Hynix's Trillion-Won Empire: The Successors

marsbit1 год тому

Торгівля

Спот
Ф'ючерси
活动图片