Altcoin season index sits at 32: ‘Still in the gutter,’ believes expert

ambcryptoОпубліковано о 2026-04-07Востаннє оновлено о 2026-04-07

Анотація

In a recent analysis, CoinGecko highlighted that the altcoin market remains in a prolonged slump, with the Altcoin Season Index at 32, indicating continued Bitcoin dominance. Historically, capital rotated from Bitcoin to Ethereum and then to altcoins after Bitcoin reached a new all-time high (ATH). However, this cycle has diverged due to the influence of Bitcoin ETFs approved in 2024, which have concentrated institutional investment in Bitcoin rather than spreading to altcoins. Despite Bitcoin hitting an ATH of $126,000 in October 2025, altcoins have underperformed. Some in the crypto community anticipate an altseason, but key indicators suggest otherwise. Bitcoin's dominance remains strong, and altcoins like Dogecoin, Solana, and Cardano have not trended positively. Santiment’s Weighted Sentiment analysis shows Bitcoin as the only cryptocurrency with positive sentiment, while altcoins linger in negative territory. Additionally, the RSI for most tokens, including Bitcoin, is below the neutral 50-level, reflecting bearish market conditions. On-chain data remains pessimistic, contradicting optimistic analyst predictions for an imminent altseason.

In a recent YouTube stream, data aggregator CoinGecko noted that altcoins have remained in a slump for a sustained period of time.

The platform also analyzed previous cycles, highlighting a recurring pattern—capital always rotates from Bitcoin into Ethereum and then into other altcoins once Bitcoin hits a new all-time high (ATH).

Bitcoin’s all-time high of $126,000 has come and gone, but altcoins are still in the gutter.

AD

However, the current market isn’t following past patterns. Bitcoin reached its ATH of $126,000 back in October 2025, yet altcoins have still failed to outperform.

This change in pattern is notably because of the approval of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and other related products approved in 2024. For perspective, in the new cycle, money is coming in, but mostly from institutions via ETFs, and “tends to stay concentrated in Bitcoin.”

So, with the biggest concentration lying in the hands of Spot Bitcoin ETFs, the altseason does appear like a far-fetched dream.

CoinGecko brought up this discrepancy, noting,

It doesn’t trickle down into smaller tokens the way retail flows used to.

The weight of the situation

The CoinMarketCap Altcoin Index, sitting at 32 at the time of reporting, further suggests that the Bitcoin season is still in action.

Source: CoinMarketCap

However, others in the crypto community still believe that the altcoin season is “just around the corner.”

Source: X

If the altcoin season is actually about to happen, then Bitcoin dominance needs to weaken. Moreover, the top 10 altcoins trending in 90 days should include big names like Dogecoin, Solana, and Cardano.

Source: CoinMarketCap

This was further confirmed by Santiment’s Weighted Sentiment analysis. The chart clearly shows that Bitcoin is the only token with positive Weighted Sentiment, whereas other altcoins are below the 50-level mark in the negative zone.

Source: Santiment

But the RSI of all the tokens, including Bitcoin, lying below the 50-level mark, aka the neutral level, suggests that the overall market sentiment is in the sellers’ hands.

Source: Santiment

This was further confirmed by AMBCrypto’s recent analysis, which also suggests that analysts are in favor of an altseason, but the on-chain data looks pessimistic.


Final Summary

  • CoinGecko believes that altcoins are in the “gutter” after Bitcoin hit an ATH back in October 2025.
  • However, hope for an upcoming altseason remains strong among investors.

Пов'язані питання

QWhat is the current state of the altcoin market according to the article?

AThe altcoin market is in a prolonged slump, with the Altcoin Season Index sitting at 32, indicating it is 'still in the gutter' and has failed to outperform Bitcoin.

QWhat key factor does the article cite for the change in the traditional market pattern where capital rotates from Bitcoin to altcoins?

AThe approval of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and other related products in 2024 is the key factor. Institutional money flowing in via ETFs tends to stay concentrated in Bitcoin and does not trickle down into smaller altcoins like retail flows used to.

QWhat does the CoinMarketCap Altcoin Index value of 32 suggest about the current market season?

AAn Altcoin Index value of 32 suggests that the market is still in a 'Bitcoin season,' meaning Bitcoin is dominating the market performance and altcoins are not outperforming it.

QAccording to the article, what two conditions need to be met for an altcoin season to be considered happening?

AFor an altcoin season to happen, Bitcoin's dominance needs to weaken, and the top 10 altcoins trending over 90 days should include major names like Dogecoin, Solana, and Cardano.

QWhat does the Weighted Sentiment analysis from Santiment, as mentioned in the article, reveal about market sentiment for Bitcoin versus altcoins?

ASantiment's Weighted Sentiment analysis shows that Bitcoin is the only token with a positive sentiment score, while all other altcoins are in the negative zone below the 50-level mark.

Пов'язані матеріали

Arthur Hayes Steps Up Purchases of This Altcoin, Investing $2 Million Over the Past Five Days!

Arthur Hayes, the founder of BitMEX, has significantly increased his investment in $ENA, the native token of the Ethena ecosystem, by purchasing approximately 2 million dollars' worth over the past five days. His most recent transaction involved acquiring 10.9 million $ENA tokens, valued at around $985,000, bringing his total recent purchases to 22.64 million tokens. This buying activity has drawn renewed investor attention to Ethereum-based projects and the DeFi sector. Hayes is known for his macroeconomic analyses and positive outlook on the crypto market. His substantial investment in $ENA is being interpreted as a sign of his confidence in the long-term prospects of Ethereum and specific DeFi projects. Ethena is noted for developing synthetic dollar products on the blockchain, with its $ENA token used for governance and within its ecosystem. While such large-scale purchases by prominent figures are seen as a key market indicator, experts caution that they alone are insufficient to drive price increases. Multiple factors, including overall market conditions, liquidity, investor demand, and macroeconomic events, continue to influence price movements. Analysts suggest Hayes's actions may reflect sustained interest from institutional and large investors in Ethena, but they emphasize that investment decisions should not rely solely on whale activity. A thorough evaluation of a project's fundamentals, utility, and broader market trends remains essential.

cryptonews.ru42 хв тому

Arthur Hayes Steps Up Purchases of This Altcoin, Investing $2 Million Over the Past Five Days!

cryptonews.ru42 хв тому

AI Takes Over the Lab? Latest Research from USTC Puts It to the Test in the Real Physical World

This study from the University of Science and Technology of China presents a real-world stress test for AI in scientific research. Researchers developed a machine-readable, modular laboratory for catalysis, consisting of 45 automated workstations. They evaluated 48 configurations combining 6 agent frameworks and 9 large language models (LLMs) across 32 expert-defined research tasks, conducting 4,608 tests. The key findings reveal a significant gap between AI's planning ability and reliable physical execution. Only 3.3% of all generated workflows (151 out of 4,608) could be executed without human correction. The best-performing agent/LLM combination achieved a 28.1% success rate. In a five-round closed-loop experiment, the AI could adjust local parameters based on results but failed at higher-level scientific replanning, such as redesigning analytical methods or correcting persistent critical omissions. Maintaining logical integrity for long-sequence workflows (over 30 steps) also proved challenging. The research distinguishes three often-conflated AI capabilities: generating plausible experimental plans, creating physically executable workflows, and performing evidence-driven strategic replanning. Results show the first does not guarantee the second, and parameter tuning is not equivalent to scientific reasoning. The platform serves as both a "testing ground" to quantify AI's scientific aptitude and a potential "training ground." By forming a "plan-execute-feedback-replan" loop with real-world feedback, it can expose AI shortcomings and generate data for iterative improvement, moving toward true end-to-end autonomous discovery.

marsbit47 хв тому

AI Takes Over the Lab? Latest Research from USTC Puts It to the Test in the Real Physical World

marsbit47 хв тому

Торгівля

Спот
活动图片