【重磅解读】BTC空头大回血，LINK酝酿反弹

火币资讯Опубліковано о 2022-11-08Востаннє оновлено о 2022-11-10

Анотація

BTC多空比大幅度回撤，下跌酝酿中。

1、BTC破位下跌

短期的30分钟K线图显示，BTC的下跌速度很快，并且持续放量时间较长，超过了3个小时，使得价格轻松回撤到2万美元以下。实际上，本次BTC短线回撤相比11月3日的价格回调更为明显，预示着短线多空平衡正在被快速打破。这说明，BTC或将在短期内打破2个月内的多空平衡，向下确认突破方向。

2、BTC多空比显著下降

BTC多空比显著下降到了11月8日的0.882以后，数值为近期低点，同时也是2021年11月3日以后的最低数值。多空实力变化较快，同时与BTC价格的破位下跌联动，预示着价格短期向下的倾向更为显著。

消息面，受FTT11月7日的提币挤兑潮影响，111月8日 FTT 一度闪崩，未来 FTX 可能还要面临考验。同时，BTC受利空影响，合约多空比下降和币价大幅度回撤，都体现了投资者短期交易倾向的重大变化。

3、ETH多头爆仓增加

仅从多头爆仓的规模来看，近期ETH多头的爆仓数量持续减少的过程中，在11月8日达到了短线峰值3.54万枚ETH。这表明，行情突然加速回落后，多头爆仓达到了5300万美元以上，预示着ETH价格以较快速度走弱。接下来的交易日中，还需要注意价格回调风险，关注1200美元上方的支撑效果。

4、LINK主力交易增长

LINK近期价格表现相对强势，横盘期间并未持续明显的回撤表现。日K线图显示，LINK价格达到了5月份以来的峰值水平。虽然价格并未向上突破，但是价格表现明显强于多数主流币。据此判断，可关注近期价格的表现较好。

5、LINK主力交易占比较大

LINK在交易所的交易数量稳定增长，使得占比总代币供应量的比值持续回升。数值上，从2021年3月开始，LINK的交易占比从低水平的0.07附近回升到2022年11月的0.1附近。同时，2022年峰值交易占比最高达到了0.11。从这个意义上看，LINK的换手相当充分，尤其近半年来的交易占比高位运行，LINK换手率增加，低成本或可支撑LINK价格稳定回升。

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