【重磅解读】 BAND拉升70%主力减仓,BTC现货交易量占比陡增

火币资讯Опубліковано о 2022-11-04Востаннє оновлено о 2022-11-07

Анотація

BTC价格弹性知足,酝酿价格回升。

1、BTC继续回升

日K线图显示,BTC价格在触及到布林线中轨以后开始反弹,典型的放量上行趋势增长确认中。近期,虽然有美联储加息利空出现,但是对BTC价格影响并不大。由于BTC放量运行状态始终没有太多改变,因此对反弹的判断不变。关注短线压力位22500美元的同时,注意上方到28308美元的大区间反弹盈利机会。

2、BTC投资者聚焦现货交易

BTC底部确认的时间不短延长以后,现货交易者的买卖热情也在不断升温,使得BTC价格上也出现了积极变化。从现货交易量与合约交易量的比值变化来看,数值上已经达到了11月3日的0.439。现货交易量与合约交易量比值在5月2日达到了0.082以后,目前的数值已经回到了0.439的高位,这相比2021年7月的0.41还要高一些。这说明,现货价格具备了低吸交易机会,投资者倾向于现货入市买入而不是合约交易。

3、ETH支撑有效

4小时K线图显示,ETH价格形态完好,近期价格回调期间放量出现在11月3日,反弹期间ETH触及到1600美元下方。ETH跟随BTC价格反弹上涨,目前合约仓位仍然处在短线低水平,可以确认投资者仍然热衷于现货交易,使得ETH价格具备了走强的基础。

4、BAND飙升主力出逃

BAND短线企稳回升,价格上涨速度较快,4小时K线中仅需要28小时就能够达到最高3.199美元。振幅方面,BAND短线波动达到了 183%。从主力操盘手法来看,6月9日的一次放量拉升试盘,价格波动达到了53%,而7月29的价格波动达到了35%,是第二次试盘拉升。11月3日的主力首次4小时图拉升BAND就上涨了14%,因此接下来价格上涨会更为顺利。

5、BAND主力减仓

实际上,本次主力拉升价格上涨以后,也同样提示了出货信号。 持币前10的主力持币从短线峰值87.07%下降到了低位85.73%。数值上,持币前10主力以减仓1.34个百分点完成了操盘动作。因此,本次主力仍然以拉升价格减仓交易为主要特征。特别是BAND达到峰值2.5美元以上的过程中,放量减仓迹象明显。

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