【重磅解读】仍有16.7万BTC从鲸鱼账户流出,ENS、QNT加速攀升

火币资讯Опубліковано о 2022-10-14Востаннє оновлено о 2022-10-17

Анотація

BTC巨鲸持币仍然发散,价格走向受制于美联储加息预期,调整仍然延续。

1、BTC小幅反弹

BTC 的4小时K线图中显示,价格以及处在短线反弹状态。BTC持续回落期间触及到最低18190美元以后,很快出现了技术性反弹。反弹速度很快,BTC重新回到1.9万美元以上,目前运行在19802美元附近。这表明,BTC虽然走势较弱,但是仍然在区间内运行。BTC在反弹阶段放量有限,也表明行情走强的可能性不是很高。

2、BTC巨鲸持币仍然发散

从主力的持币方向来看,近期鲸鱼账户的地址数变化数量不大,仍然为持续下降后的低位运行。10月13日的数据显示,巨鲸地址数维持在2115个,数量为3月21日以来最低位。3月21日,持币数量大于1000枚BTC的巨鲸地址数为2282个,目前仍然减少了167个,折合成BTC数量为16.7万枚。因此,目前来看BTC处在低位调整阶段,同时主力还未出现增持迹象。

消息面方面,美国通胀率美国劳工部10月13日公布的数据,今年9月美国消费者价格指数(CPI)同比增长8.2%,较8月份上升0.4%,高于美国经济学家的预期。美国核心通胀率达到40年来最大增幅。通胀率的大幅上升表明,美联储今年以来的五次加息对缓解通胀压力几乎没有起到什么作用。因此,加息预期仍然较强,美元上涨和BTC回调的预期仍然存在,目前BTC的反弹或许不会持续太久。

3、ETH布林线开始扩张

日K线方面, ETH价格与BTC同步触底反弹,价格短期内完成了反转形态。探底期间,ETH最低达到了1190美元的低位,成交量短时间内回升后,ETH换手率有限。价格仍然在区间内震荡。预期ETH向上空间较高,但是价格回升需要整体市场走强支撑。特别是BTC成功筑底才能可能进一步推升ETH价格。

4、ENS强势突破

ENS价格在24小时内涨幅扩大至18.2¥,为市值前100的币种里涨幅最高的币种。交易量方面,ENS的日K线对应的成交量有效放大,为前一日的5倍以上,因此日K线收盘涨幅多达23.8%。实际上,在价格处在明确的回升状态期间,ENS从6月份触底以后累计涨幅达到了135%。预期价格仍然可以挑战前期高位27美元,因此持币仍然可以继续获得收益。

5、QNT稳步拉升

QNT近期7天涨幅扩大至23%,价格维持强势表现。从持币数量上看,持币前100以内的主力并未持续减仓迹象,预示着QNT的价格上涨趋势仍然可能延续。尽管价格从40美元回升到最高171美元,累计涨幅达到了327%,目前仍然是QNT加速上涨的阶段。

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