Паттерны скользящих средних с высоким винрейтом

VC.ruОпубліковано о 2022-10-12Востаннє оновлено о 2022-10-12

Анотація

В этой статье мы рассмотрим паттерны скользящих средних с высоким винрейтом, где будут работать МА в сочетании с базовыми техниками ТА.

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1) Шорт на первой консолидации после пробоя поддержки и разворота тренда MA

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Когда основные уровни поддержки пробиты и MA на малых таймфреймах начинают разворачиваться (подталкивая цену вниз), мы часто можем шортить первую консолидацию после пробоя с высоким винрейтом.

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На примере 1(а) мы видим, что BTC теряет основную поддержку, мы ждем консолидации после пробоя, затем открываем шорт непосредственно перед тем, как скользящие средние следуют за ценой - далее происходит продолжение движения вниз:

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Пример 1(b). DOT теряет уровень поддержки и скользящие средние на малых таймфреймах толкают цену вниз. Мы ждем первоначальной консолидации после пробоя и открываем шорт прямо перед тем, как за ценой последуют скользящие средние. Чем круче угол скользящих средних, следующих за ценой, тем больше шансов, что она прорвется дальше. В данном случае вниз:

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Если скользящие средние, следующие вниз за ценой, становятся начинают флетить (выравниваются, становятся плоскими), открывать короткие позиции не лучшая идея – вот почему мы открываем шорты только на начальном пробое после того, как поддержка сломана/тренд развернулся.

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2) Лонг на первом прорыве ключевого уровня сопротивления (если скользящие средние на низких таймфреймах выровнялись и сделали ретест поддержки)

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Мы часто можем лонговать первую консолидацию крупного прорыва сопротивления, если:

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- MA на низких таймфреймах выровнялись;

- МА на высоких таймфреймах не давят вниз под слишком крутым углом.

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Пример 2(а) Цена пробивает ключевое сопротивление, и все MA на одинаковых таймфреймах выглядят подходящими для разворота. Затем мы можем взять лонг на первой консолидации после прорыва и ждать, пока MA последуют за ценой и подтолкнут ее выше:

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Пример 2(b). Прорыв ключевого сопротивления, ретест и МА на дневке выравниваются - мы берем лонг на первой консолидации.

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Дополнительно: памп до 1D MA200 (если мы изучили теорию MA, мы увидим, что MA 200 не готова к развороту, так что памп будет скорее всего сдут - при хороших навыках можно шортить подобные фитили):

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Пример 2(c). Снова прорыв ключевого сопротивления, MA разворачиваются и происходит ретест. Мы лонгуем первую консолидацию и ждем, пока скользящие средние последуют за ценой и подтолкнут ее:

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Обладая этими знаниями, мы можем устанавливать оповещения на графиках, которые будут уведомлять нас о пробоях ключевых уровней и таких образом входить на первой консолидации.

_{Nik Crypto для vc.ru.}

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