MORPHO上线Solana后测试关键阻力位——突破能维持吗?

ambcryptoОпубліковано о 2026-07-11Востаннє оновлено о 2026-07-11

Анотація

Morpho (MORPHO) 代币已于7月9日正式在Solana网络上线,并开始在Raydium和Jupiter等去中心化交易所交易。受此消息推动,代币价格在24小时内上涨8.34%,日交易量激增105%,持仓量增长超18%,显示出短线上涨势头。此前,渣打银行曾给出60美元的目标价。 从技术分析看,自4月以来,MORPHO价格一直在一个区间内(大致介于1.64美元至2.28美元之间)盘整。近期,价格从6月23日的低点1.59美元反弹约43%,至当前约2.28美元,RSI指标也支持这一上涨动能。然而,累积/派发指标自3月以来的下行趋势,表明在盘整期间仍存在持续的抛售压力。 目前,价格已尝试突破区间上沿并回踩。但值得警惕的是,自5月以来类似的突破尝试已失败两次,每次价格都被打回1.60美元附近的低点。因此,尽管短期动量偏多,但多头仍需谨慎对待可能出现的趋势反转。若日收盘价能明确站上5月下旬的高点2.42美元,将成为强劲的看涨信号。否则,在当前价位买入的投资者需做好止损计划,以防突破再次失败。

Morpho [MORPHO] 于7月9日星期四正式在Solana上线。官方公告称,该借贷协议代币现已在Raydium和Jupiter等去中心化交易所开放交易,并通过Sunrise实现了全面集成。

受此消息推动,代币价格大幅上涨。24小时内上涨了8.34%,日交易量增长105%,未平仓合约增加略高于18%

这些交易量和投机兴趣的趋势表明,短期上涨行情可能已经开始。一周前,有报道称渣打银行预测Morpho的目标价为60美元

现在的问题是,这种势头能否持续。

MORPHO长期展望

来源:TradingView上的MORPHO/USDT

固定范围成交量分布工具以及MORPHO自4月份以来的价格走势都突显了一个相似的事实。该山寨币一直在区间内交易,但可能已接近实现看涨突破。

RSI指标当然也同意这一点。推动价格从1.59美元上涨43%至当前2.28美元的近期上涨势头始于6月23日。

另一方面,A/D指标(累积/派发线)正艰难地从局部低点回升。自3月份以来,成交量指标的下降趋势表明,即使在价格盘整期间,持续的卖压依然存在。

这个交易区间是从1.64美元到2.28美元。成交量分布工具显示的价值区域高点和低点略有不同,分别在1.59美元和2.13美元。无论如何,指标和区间形态显示了MORPHO可能开启反转的区域。

交易者的行动呼吁——等待

来源:TradingView上的MORPHO/USDT

一次看涨的区间突破并回踩高点作为支撑已经发生,这本应是一个清晰的买入机会。然而,自5月以来,同样的情景已经上演了两次。

每一次,MORPHO的多头都被打回到1.60美元的局部低点,之后才准备好推动另一次上涨。

因此,尽管短期动能和成交量指标有利于继续上行,但多头应警惕突然的趋势逆转。

日线收盘价若能站上2.42美元(即5月下旬的摆动高点),将是一个非常明确的看涨信号。在当前市场价格买入的投资者,如果尝试性突破再次失败反转(如同前两次那样),应当有清晰的退出计划。


最终总结

  • Morpho 60美元的预测以及代币在Solana网络上开放交易,有助于提振市场情绪。
  • 当前的区间形态和成交量趋势表明,2.20-2.42美元区域是一个关键的供应区。

Трендові криптовалюти

Пов'язані питання

QMorpho (MORPHO) 在 Solana 上正式启动后,关键的短期市场表现指标有哪些?

AMorpho 在 Solana 上正式启动后,其代币价格在24小时内上涨了8.34%,日交易量激增了105%,未平仓合约(Open Interest)增加了超过18%。这些指标共同指向短期上涨趋势的开始。

Q文章中提到标准渣打银行对 Morpho 的长期价格预测是多少?

A文章中提到,标准渣打银行对 Morpho 的长期价格预测是达到60美元。

Q根据技术分析,MORPHO 自四月以来主要在什么价格区间内盘整?

A根据技术分析,自四月以来,MORPHO 主要在1.64美元至2.28美元的价格区间内盘整。成交量剖面工具显示的价值区域高低点则分别为1.59美元和2.13美元。

Q文章认为什么是明确的看涨意图信号?为什么交易者目前应该采取'等待'策略?

A文章认为,如果MORPHO价格日线收盘价能够明确站上2.42美元(即五月底的波动高点),这将是一个极强的看涨意图信号。交易者目前应采取'等待'策略,是因为自五月以来,类似的突破并回踩支撑的看涨场景已经上演过两次,但每次价格都回落至1.60美元附近的低点。因此,尽管短期指标看好,但突破失败的风险依然存在。

Q目前阻碍MORPHO价格上涨的关键供应区域位于哪里?

A根据当前的价格区间形态和成交量趋势,2.20美元至2.42美元的区域是关键供应区域(即阻力区),价格上涨至此会遇到较大的卖压。

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