¿Ha Comenzado una Temporada de Altcoins? Esto Es Lo Que Dice el Índice de Temporada de Altcoins

bitcoinistОпубліковано о 2026-06-03Востаннє оновлено о 2026-06-03

Анотація

Recientemente, algunos altcoins han experimentado fuertes subidas, impulsando la idea de un posible "alt season" o temporada de altcoins. Sin embargo, el Índice de Temporada de Altcoins, que mide el rendimiento de los 100 principales altcoins frente al Bitcoin durante 90 días, se sitúa actualmente en una puntuación de 36, muy por debajo del umbral de 75 necesario para confirmar el comienzo de dicha fase. Además, el dominio de Bitcoin en el mercado cripto ha vuelto a aumentar, superando el 59.88%, lo que contradice la tendencia típica de un alt season, donde su dominio suele caer drásticamente. Los datos sugieren que los repuntes actuales son rallyes puntuales y que, para que comience una verdadera temporada alcista de altcoins, Ethereum, su líder histórico, tendría que empezar a superar el rendimiento de Bitcoin. Por lo tanto, según el índice y el dominio de BTC, todavía no ha comenzado un alt season.

Recientemente, se han producido rallys en algunas altcoins, y Ethereum también ha experimentado cierta recuperación, lo que impulsa la idea de una temporada alt. Con casos como Hyperliquid alcanzando nuevos máximos históricos, esto ha llevado a que algunas de las 100 principales altcoins por capitalización de mercado superen el rendimiento de Bitcoin durante este tiempo. A medida que más altcoins continúan superando el rendimiento de Bitcoin, ¿significa esto que ha comenzado otra temporada alt? Este informe examina lo que dicen los datos.

El Índice de Temporada de Altcoins se Sitúa en una Puntuación de 36

El Índice de Temporada de Altcoins históricamente ha sido el índice que indica cuándo el mercado de criptomonedas ha entrado en una temporada alt. Según el índice, mide el rendimiento de las 100 principales altcoins en comparación con el de Bitcoin durante un período de 90 días y luego lo representa en una puntuación de 1 a 100 para mostrar cuándo el mercado ha entrado en una temporada alt.

Históricamente, cuanto más alta es la puntuación, mayor es la probabilidad de que el mercado de criptomonedas esté experimentando una temporada alt. Normalmente, esto significa que el rendimiento superior de Bitcoin se ha estancado y su dominio sobre el resto del mercado de criptomonedas ha caído drásticamente.

Actualmente, el Índice de Temporada de Altcoins se sitúa en una puntuación de 36, según datos del sitio web Coinglass. Además, el dominio de Bitcoin comenzó a recuperarse nuevamente durante el fin de semana, superando el 59.88% para el domingo. Naturalmente, ninguno de estos datos augura una temporada alt.

Desglosando los Datos para una Temporada Alt

Con el Índice de Temporada de Altcoins tan bajo en 36, significa que el mercado en realidad no está experimentando una temporada alt. Por lo general, una temporada alt comenzaría con una puntuación superior a 75. Esto significaría que el 75% de las 100 principales altcoins están teniendo un mejor rendimiento que Bitcoin en un período de 3 meses para que esto suceda.

Además, el dominio de Bitcoin sobre el mercado de criptomonedas ha seguido aumentando en lugar de disminuir. Esta es una señal de que el mercado en realidad no se está moviendo hacia una temporada de altcoins. Esto solo sucedería cuando el dominio de Bitcoin comience a caer y el dominio de las altcoins comience a aumentar.

Dados los datos, esto sugiere que los rallys de algunas altcoins son solo repuntes puntuales. Ethereum también está teniendo un rendimiento inferior en comparación con Bitcoin durante este tiempo, y al ser el líder histórico de la temporada de altcoins, Ethereum tendría que comenzar a superar el rendimiento de Bitcoin para desencadenar la próxima temporada alt.

La capitalización de mercado de las altcoins flaquea | Fuente: Crypto Total Market Cap Excluding BTC en TradingView.com

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Пов'язані питання

Q¿Qué es el Índice de Temporada de Altcoins y cómo funciona?

AEl Índice de Temporada de Altcoins es una herramienta que mide el rendimiento de las 100 principales altcoins frente al de Bitcoin durante un período de 90 días. El resultado se representa en una puntuación del 1 al 100, donde una puntuación alta indica una mayor probabilidad de que el mercado esté experimentando una temporada de altcoins, significando que el dominio de Bitcoin ha disminuido.

QSegún el artículo, ¿qué puntuación muestra actualmente el Índice de Temporada de Altcoins y qué significa?

AActualmente, el Índice de Temporada de Altcoins muestra una puntuación de 36. Esta puntuación baja indica que el mercado no está en una temporada de altcoins, ya que típicamente se necesitaría una puntuación superior a 75, lo que significaría que el 75% de las principales altcoins superan a Bitcoin en rendimiento.

Q¿Qué tendencia se observa en el dominio de Bitcoin según los datos del fin de semana mencionados?

ASegún los datos del artículo, el dominio de Bitcoin se recuperó durante el fin de semana, superando el 59.88%. Esta tendencia alcista en el dominio de Bitcoin es contraria a lo que ocurriría al inicio de una temporada de altcoins, donde dicho dominio debería caer drásticamente.

Q¿Por qué el artículo sugiere que los rallies recientes de algunas altcoins no indican el inicio de una temporada de altcoins?

AEl artículo sugiere que los rallies recientes son solo rallies puntuales o aislados. Para que comience una verdadera temporada de altcoins, se necesitaría que el Índice supere el 75, que el dominio de Bitcoin caiga y, crucialmente, que Ethereum (el líder histórico de estas temporadas) comience a superar el rendimiento de Bitcoin, algo que no está sucediendo según los datos presentados.

Q¿Qué papel desempeña Ethereum según el artículo en el contexto de una posible temporada de altcoins?

ASegún el artículo, Ethereum es el líder histórico de las temporadas de altcoins. Para desencadenar la próxima temporada, Ethereum tendría que comenzar a superar el rendimiento de Bitcoin. Sin embargo, en el momento del análisis, Ethereum está teniendo un rendimiento inferior al de Bitcoin, lo que es otro factor que no apunta al inicio de una temporada de altcoins.

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