Why Bitcoin At $100K Is Just A “Matter Of Time”, Says Bloomberg Intelligence

newsbtcОпубліковано о 2022-08-09Востаннє оновлено о 2022-08-09

Анотація

Bitcoin follows what Senior Commodity Strategist for Bloomberg Intelligence, Mike McGlone, calls an “enduring trajectory”. The benchmark crypto is one of the best-performing assets in history, as the expert said...

Bitcoin follows what Senior Commodity Strategist for Bloomberg Intelligence, Mike McGlone, calls an “enduring trajectory”. The benchmark crypto is one of the best-performing assets in history, as the expert said in a recent report, and might be on track to record fresh gains in the second half of 2022.
At the time of writing, BTC’s price trades at $23,900 with a 3% profit over today’s trading session and a 2.4% profit over the past week. The cryptocurrency seems to be trending upwards on the back of a decrease in inflationary expectations for July’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) print.

Bitcoin BTC BTCUSDT

BTC’s price with important gains on the 4-hour chart. Source: BTCUSDT Tradingview This metric has been recording multi-decade highs forcing the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) to take measures by decreasing its balance sheet and hiking interest rates. Thus, creating a hostile economic environment for risk-on assets, such as Bitcoin and equities.

The cryptocurrency might benefit from deflationary forces, McGlone believes. Bloomberg’s Commodities Index, and the price of key commodities, such as Oil and Copper, are hinting at this trend.
In that sense, the experts expect assets with fixed supplies to rally. This could set Gold and Bitcoin to hit $2,000 and $100,000, respectively, in the long term.
McGlone believes that the benchmark crypto is becoming a more stable, and less risky asset. This could translate into BTC operating as a “high-beta version of the metal (Gold) and Treasury bonds”.


The price of Bitcoin and Gold might start “accelerating”, the report says, if the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil, a benchmark for oil pricing, follows the downside trend in commodities. McGlone wrote:
It’s a question of supply, demand and adoption in the next 14 years that should drive prices, and we see little reason to complicate what appear to be enduring trajectories, notable in advancing technology (…).
The Other Side Of The Coin, Why Bitcoin Could Sustain Its Gains
As seen below, the price of WTI oil broke above an important resistance level in 2021. McGlone noted that the price of Gold and oil have been historically inversely correlated.
Thus, why he seems convinced that oil is hinting at appreciation for the precious metal and its 2.0 version, Bitcoin. The Bloomberg Intelligence expert said:


Our bias is tilted toward more of the same pendulum (Oil down with Gold rising) swinging tendency for oil to continue downward in 2H. To the extent that sinking copper portend global deflationary trends and the potential for an end of Fed rate hikes, gold should gain underpinning to breach $2,000 an ounce.

Bitcoin BTC BTCUSDT

Source: Mike McGlone via Twitter Tags:

Пов'язані матеріали

BIT Research: Liquidity is Disappearing, Will Bitcoin Replay the Bottoming Pattern of 2022?

The crypto market is currently in an adjustment phase driven by policy expectations and liquidity shifts. Despite a brief rebound fueled by geopolitical easing and SpaceX's strong IPO performance, unexpectedly hawkish signals from new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh have removed anticipated easing support. Concurrently, stablecoin liquidity is shrinking, with insufficient new capital inflows, pushing the market into a typically quiet summer period. Pricing lacks catalysts for a sustained rally. Daily trading volume has significantly contracted, stablecoin growth has slowed markedly, and the supportive effect of Strategy's (formerly MicroStrategy) STRC preferred stock-financed Bitcoin purchases is fading. Amid policy uncertainty, seasonal weakness, and liquidity contraction, Bitcoin faces near-term downward pressure. Warsh's hawkish pivot and refusal to provide a clear policy outlook have increased risk premiums, historically unfavorable for Bitcoin. Technically, the trend remains bearish below $73,700, with $62,446 as critical support. A break below could accelerate declines, though a prolonged consolidation phase, similar to 2022's bottoming process, is possible. Liquidity is a core constraint. Current daily volume is around $500 billion, roughly 25% of the peak during the July-Oct 2025 rally. The 12-month growth rates for USDT and USDC have fallen to ~20%, with 6-month growth near zero, indicating weak new inflows. Bitcoin ETF and Strategy-driven inflows have also weakened, with a 30-day rolling net outflow. With inflation at 4.2% above the Fed's target, combined hawkish policy, seasonal factors, and liquidity shortages challenge Bitcoin's ability to hold above $60,000. However, this adjustment phase may be forming a cyclical low this summer, potentially setting the stage for the next bull cycle.

marsbit19 хв тому

BIT Research: Liquidity is Disappearing, Will Bitcoin Replay the Bottoming Pattern of 2022?

marsbit19 хв тому

Who Makes the Best Use of Claude Code? The Answer Might Not Be Programmers

Claude Code Usage Report Summary (Based on ~400k sessions) Core Finding: In agentic programming with Claude Code, a clear division of labor has emerged: humans primarily decide *what* to build (planning decisions), while Claude decides *how* to build it (execution decisions). Key Insights: 1. **Effectiveness is not limited to programmers.** In code-generation tasks, success rates for users in non-technical fields (law, finance, management, research) are nearing those of software engineers. What matters most is the user's domain expertise and understanding of the problem to be solved. 2. **Domain expertise drives success and efficiency.** Sessions where users exhibited "expert" proficiency in the task's domain saw verified success rates double compared to "novice" sessions. Experts also delegated more work per instruction, with Claude executing more actions and producing more output. 3. **AI is amplifying, not replacing, domain knowledge.** Claude Code lowers the *implementation* barrier, not the *judgment* barrier. The value of knowing the "what" and "why" is increasing relative to just knowing the "how" to code. 4. **Usage is evolving.** Over a 7-month period (Oct '25 - Apr '26), the share of sessions for debugging halved, while use for software operations, data analysis, and non-code writing roughly doubled. The estimated economic value of typical tasks increased by ~25%. Conclusion: The data suggests coding agents are making programming background less critical for completing technical tasks. However, they reward and amplify deep domain understanding. The ability to successfully direct an AI agent stems more from mastery of a specific field than from coding skill itself. The primary gains come from being competent in a domain; deep specialization adds only marginal additional advantage. This may signal a shift where software creation becomes integrated into various professions.

marsbit54 хв тому

Who Makes the Best Use of Claude Code? The Answer Might Not Be Programmers

marsbit54 хв тому

Торгівля

Спот
Ф'ючерси
活动图片