Ethereum: Are investors preparing for ETH 2.0 as exchange balances hit four-year lows?

AmbcryptoОпубліковано о 2022-07-24Востаннє оновлено о 2022-07-24

Анотація

Ethereum balances on exchanges reached a four-year low in what could have been termed a surprise.

Ethereum [ETH] balances on exchanges reached a four-year low in what could have been termed a surprise. According to data from the leading analytics platform, Glassnode, the total number of ETH held on exchanges remained under 20 million. Glassnode recorded this number in the late hours of Friday, 22 July.

Source: Glassnode

The last time ETH had such exchange balances was in July 2018. During the period, ETH exchange balances were about 19.93 million. In the wake of this happening, investors may be preparing for the Ethereum 2.0 network upgrade. Also, Vitalik Buterin’s mention of the 100,000 transactions per second possibility after the merge could have influenced investors’ action. However, it is not only that. The exchange balance reductions have also been matched with something else.

Over and out

Similarly, the exchange outflow volume of the Ethereum chain has been massive over the past few days. The metric hit a 13-month All-Time high (ATH). At press time, it was 602.618— a figure it had not reached since June 2021.

Source: Glassnode

This action further proves the assumption that investors do not plan to hold their ETH on centralized exchanges as the Consensus Layer launch draws closer. So, how has this affected the ETH price movement?

Action meets preparedness

While the ETH trading volume had increased 2.98% over the last 24 hours, its price had dipped slightly. After trading as high as $1,638 on 22 July as per CoinMarketCap, ETH has now left the $1,600 zone. At the time of this writing, the ETH price traded at $1,580.

Besides this price drop, what else has been happening to ETH?

A look at Santiment data showed that the daily active ETH addresses had increased. As of 19 July, it was 487,070. However, it had surged to 536,750 at press time. The network activity had also increased from 17 July till today (23 July).

Source: Santiment

On the daily four-hour chart, it seems that ETH still has the potential to rise from its current price. The Directional Movement Index (DMI) revealed that buyers might have the edge. However, the -DMI line (red) looks remarkably close to meeting the +DMI (green), showing that a bearish sentiment is also possible.

Source: TradingView

Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) maintained some neutrality, swinging between 56 and 57 regions. However, it still provides an edge for buyers. With this, ETH price movement might be yet undecided. However, more investor action could be the game changer that sets it in a specific direction.

Пов'язані матеріали

Gate Research Institute: Analysis of Chart Patterns and Breakout Trading Strategies

Gate Research Institute: Chart Pattern Analysis and Breakout Trading Strategies Chart patterns are crucial tools in technical analysis for observing market supply and demand shifts, trend continuations, and reversals. This analysis involves a comprehensive evaluation of trend, volume, support/resistance, time cycles, and breakout validity, not just rote pattern recognition. Patterns are broadly categorized into reversal patterns (e.g., Double Tops/Bottoms, Head and Shoulders) and continuation patterns (e.g., Flags, Triangles, Rectangles). An effective breakout, key for trading, requires clear support/resistance, prolonged consolidation, a prevailing trend backdrop, and volume confirmation. However, breakouts are not guaranteed, as false breakouts are common. Risk must be managed through position sizing, stop-loss orders, pullback confirmations, and profit-taking in stages. Key pattern types discussed include: * **Rectangle Patterns:** Indicate market indecision within parallel support and resistance, with breakouts projecting a move equal to the pattern's width. * **Flag & Pennant Patterns:** Short-term continuation patterns following sharp price moves ("flagpoles"). * **Triangle Patterns:** Symmetrical, Ascending (bullish bias), and Descending (bearish bias) triangles, representing consolidation before a directional move. * **Head and Shoulders Patterns:** Major reversal patterns signaling trend exhaustion. The article details breakout trading strategies, defining valid breakouts by price closing beyond a key level with increased volume and minimal immediate re-entry into the prior range. It contrasts range trading with breakout trading and outlines entry methods (immediate entry, pullback entry, scaling in), stop-loss placement (based on pattern failure), and profit-taking techniques (target-based, structure-based, trend-following). It further classifies breakout outcomes: 1. **Valid Breakouts:** Strong, sustained moves in the breakout direction. 2. **Pullback Breakouts:** Price breaks out, retests the breakout level as support/resistance, then resumes the trend—offering a lower-risk entry. 3. **False Breakouts:** Price briefly breaches a level but quickly reverses back into the prior range, a common risk managed by strict stop-losses. Key validation tools for breakouts include volume analysis, the principle of support/resistance role reversal, and momentum indicators like ATR, Moving Averages, Bollinger Bands, and RSI. In conclusion, while chart patterns and breakout analysis provide a structured framework, their effectiveness relies on multiple confirming factors—trend context, volume, and proper risk management. They should be integrated into a broader trading system rather than used as standalone signals.

marsbit7 хв тому

Gate Research Institute: Analysis of Chart Patterns and Breakout Trading Strategies

marsbit7 хв тому

Joseph Chalom: Ethereum is Becoming the "Settlement Layer of Trust" for Global Finance

In a speech titled "The Industrialization of Trust," Sharplink CEO Joseph Chalom (former BlackRock digital assets head) discussed the future transformation of global finance. Drawing from 20 years at BlackRock, where he led the launch of Bitcoin/ETH ETFs and tokenized funds, Chalom highlighted the immense hidden costs of establishing trust in traditional finance—estimated at over $9.3 trillion annually in the US alone due to fragmented systems, multi-day settlements, and countless reconciliations. He argued that Ethereum is emerging as the global financial "settlement layer for trust," with its robust, decentralized infrastructure securing over $300 billion in on-chain assets and most stablecoins and tokenized assets. The future, he stated, will be driven by three accelerating pillars: stablecoins (evolving beyond crypto gateways to become efficient cross-border payment rails), tokenized assets (enabling 24/7 trading and reshaping capital markets), and DeFi (providing automated, accessible financial services). A potential game-changer, Chalom added, is the fourth pillar: "Agentic Finance," where AI agents autonomously execute programmable financial transactions via smart contracts and stablecoins. He envisions individuals soon having AI-powered "CFOs in their pockets" to optimize idle capital and manage tokenized portfolios. This shift, facilitated by Ethereum's trustless settlement, could multiply on-chain transaction volume 1000x within a year, moving finance toward a seamless, digitized future.

marsbit7 хв тому

Joseph Chalom: Ethereum is Becoming the "Settlement Layer of Trust" for Global Finance

marsbit7 хв тому

STRC Severely Unpegged, What Risks Is the Market Pricing In?

The article analyzes the recent significant de-pegging of Strategy's perpetual preferred stock, STRC, whose price fell to approximately $89, far below its $100 face value. This discount has pushed its simple yield to around 12.9%, creating a paradox. The stock was designed as a high-yield instrument trading near par, and Strategy maintains an 11.5% annual dividend, even recently switching to semi-monthly payments to support the price. The author explores several reasons why the high yield hasn't attracted enough buying pressure to restore the par value. A key factor is potential reverse deleveraging from carry trades, where leveraged investors may be forced to sell due to margin calls as the price falls, creating a self-reinforcing downward spiral. Additionally, the tokenization and integration of STRC into DeFi protocols (like Apyx, Saturn, Pendle) have introduced faster, more transparent, and potentially more volatile price adjustment mechanisms through leverage and yield-splitting products. The emergence of a competing product, Strive's SATA, offering a 13% yield with daily dividends, has also changed the yield benchmark, challenging STRC's unique high-yield narrative. Furthermore, the market is questioning the distinction between Strategy's substantial Bitcoin reserves, which provide long-term balance sheet coverage, and the certainty of stable near-term cash flow for dividends. Ultimately, the price dip represents a stress test for this type of BTC-backed, high-yield financing tool. The future path of STRC depends on whether Strategy acts to reinforce the $100 peg (e.g., by adjusting dividends), whether DeFi-related leverage unwinds further, and how investors ultimately price the risks of leverage, competition, and cash flow uncertainty against the offered yield.

marsbit18 хв тому

STRC Severely Unpegged, What Risks Is the Market Pricing In?

marsbit18 хв тому

LIT Token Hits Six-Month High: How Long Can the Buyback Flywheel Keep Burning Fuel?

The LIT token of decentralized perpetual exchange Lighter surged to a six-month high above $1.90 on June 18th, with a market cap of $425 million. After a price correction earlier this year, the recent rebound is attributed to its core "buyback flywheel" mechanism. All protocol fee revenue is used for programmatic, hourly market buybacks of LIT. Since its TGE in December 2025, approximately 15 million LIT (6% of circulating supply) has been repurchased for around $21 million. Additional price support comes from the LLP (Lighter Liquidity Pool), where providers must stake LIT worth 10% of their deposited USDC, locking significant token supply. However, challenges persist. Trading volume has declined amidst a sluggish market, with total volume at $1.68 trillion, significantly lower than leading competitor Hyperliquid's $4.37 trillion. While Lighter focuses on perpetual contracts, RWA, and Pre-IPO markets, Hyperliquid has expanded into prediction markets and boasts a U.S. spot ETF, attracting institutional investment and influencer endorsements like from Arthur Hayes. In contrast, LIT currently lacks similar high-profile backing. With 75% of LIT's total 1 billion supply still locked (team and investor tokens begin a 3-year linear unlock in December 2026), there is no immediate unlock selling pressure. The token's future performance hinges on sustaining trading volume growth, successful product iteration, and executing its transparent buyback strategy against a dominant competitor.

Foresight News38 хв тому

LIT Token Hits Six-Month High: How Long Can the Buyback Flywheel Keep Burning Fuel?

Foresight News38 хв тому

Торгівля

Спот
Ф'ючерси
活动图片