Анализ цены биткоина

cryptonews.ruОпубліковано о 2025-07-03Востаннє оновлено о 2025-09-04

Биткоин заметно упал после достижения своего исторического максимума в этом году. Цена BTC ненадолго опустилась ниже $110 000, что вызвало опасения о возможном давлении на рынок.

Разбираемся, что происходит на рынке биткоина (BTC) и чего ждать от цены криптовалюты.

Биткоин в безопасности

Риски на рынке биткоина снижаются. По данным Bitcoin Vector, сигнал Risk-Off ослабевает, переходя к низкому уровню риска. Это говорит о стабилизации рыночных условий после недель волатильности.

Биткоин также вышел из ценового сжатия, которое сохранялось с момента достижения исторического максимума в $124 500. Восстановление выше $110 000 подтвердило окончание этой зоны сжатия. С ослаблением сопротивления BTC теперь может двигаться вверх, увеличивая шансы на восстановление в ближайшие недели.

Сигнал Risk-Off для биткоина

Ончейн-данные подтверждают этот прогноз. Из 19,91 млн BTC в обращении только около 2,73 млн монет утеряны. Это всего 13,71% от предложения, что значительно ниже уровня, обычно связанного с медвежьими рынками, где потери превышают 50% от циркулирующего биткоина.

Это говорит о том, что биткоин далек от капитуляции. Несмотря на недавние падения цен, большинство держателей остаются в прибыли, демонстрируя устойчивость. Небольшое количество монет в убытке отражает уверенность инвесторов, что предполагает, что BTC имеет прочную основу для противостояния давлению продаж и поддержания восходящего тренда в ближайшем будущем.

Цена BTC продолжит расти

На момент написания биткоин торгуется по $111 600, чуть ниже сопротивления $112 500. Актив отскочил от $108 000 ранее на этой неделе, демонстрируя обновленную силу. Удержание выше $110 000 обеспечивает стабильность, давая BTC основу для дальнейшего восстановления на фоне текущих рыночных давлений.

Если текущий импульс сохранится, биткоин, вероятно, продолжит рост. Прорыв выше $112 500 может открыть путь к $115 000, укрепляя бычьи настроения. Этот шаг подтвердит улучшение рыночной структуры и сигнализирует о новой попытке восстановления.

Риски сохраняются, если продажи возобновятся. Если биткоин не удержит импульс, цена может упасть до $110 000. При более глубокой коррекции она рискует снизиться до $108 000, что вызовет беспокойство у инвесторов из-за возможной краткосрочной слабости.

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