ETH/BTC down 8% – A rotation signal traders shouldn’t ignore?

ambcryptoОпубліковано о 2025-09-02Востаннє оновлено о 2025-09-03

Key Takeaways

ETH/BTC ratio breaks down 8% as spot flows diverge. Are we seeing the start of a structural rotation into Bitcoin?

There’s a subtle rotation playing out under the hood.

The ETH/BTC ratio ran into resistance around 0.043 on the 18th of August and is now retracing. In fact, the ratio is down nearly 8% in two weeks, marking its largest back-to-back drop since the April FUD.

That suggests recent Bitcoin [BTC] to Ethereum [ETH] flows are starting to unwind. Backing this, on-chain data shows a big ETH holder who bought 886k ETH would now get much less BTC if they sold, about 34k BTC.

Source: TradingView (ETH/BTC)

Simply put, the investor is facing a $177 million paper loss on this rotation.

As Bitcoin has outperformed Ethereum over this period, swapping their ETH now nets less BTC than they initially deployed. In real terms, 886k ETH now equals 34k BTC instead of the 36k they started with.

It’s a clear sign that Bitcoin’s on-chain momentum is outpacing Ethereum’s. The real question now is whether whales are rotating back into BTC after squeezing the upside out of the ETH/BTC rally.

Spot flows diverge: BTC dense, ETH sparse

Bitcoin dominance [BTC.D] is walking a tightrope.

After the mid-July bounce off 60% fizzled, BTC.D slid nearly 5% through August, ultimately retesting the 57% handle for the first time since Q1. Meanwhile, ETH.D ripped 50% higher into the July–August cycle.

That means smart money clearly took profits into that upside. That said, ETH.D has flipped into pullback mode, down 7% in just two weeks. The real signal, however, comes from Glassnode’s latest report.

Source: TradingView (ETH.D)

Glassnode points to a sharp spot divergence between BTC and ETH.

Cost Basis Distribution (CBD) shows BTC spot flows are stacked and dense, while ETH remains thin with air gaps. Translation: BTC is anchored by spot demand, while ETH price action looks more derivatives-driven.

The result? BTC is pulling ahead, while ETH bleeds out overleveraged longs, capping the upside.

In turn, that’s fueling smart money rotation back into BTC, showing this divergence in ETH/BTC ratio is structural, not a fluke.

Subscribe to our must read daily newsletter

Трендові криптовалюти

CitreaCTR

wrapped stUSDTWSTUSDT

Velodrome FinanceVELODROME

BrevisBREV

ZRX（0X）ZRX

PancakeSwapCAKE

Пов'язані матеріали

SKYAI hits monthly lows after 36% drop – Yet THIS group isn’t backing off

SKYAI plummeted 36.2% in 24 hours, hitting monthly lows, with its market cap falling to $238.26M. Despite a 70.85% surge in daily trading volume to $43.16M, the activity was driven by aggressive selling, not buying. Open Interest in derivatives dropped 36.65% to ~$69.66M, indicating traders closed leveraged positions. A modest positive exchange netflow of ~$340.75K signaled some holders moved tokens to exchanges, potentially for future sales. Buyers defended a key support zone around $0.168, preventing an immediate breakdown. However, technical indicators like MACD and Parabolic SAR remained bearish. The token's near-term direction depends on whether this support holds, allowing a potential recovery toward $0.335, or breaks, leading to further declines.

ambcrypto7 хв тому

SKYAI hits monthly lows after 36% drop – Yet THIS group isn’t backing off

ambcrypto7 хв тому

Humanity Protocol, Kelp DAO stolen funds commingle – Same attacker?

Investigations into the 2026 exploits of Kelp DAO and Humanity Protocol have revealed that stolen funds from both attacks were recently commingled, suggesting a connection between the attackers. Blockchain analyst ZachXBT identified the activity, where 15,403 ETH ($23.6 million) from the Humanity Protocol hack was moved to a new Ethereum address and then to the Bitcoin network, merging with proceeds from the Kelp DAO exploit. Over $8 million of these funds has been laundered using methods associated with groups like the Lazarus Group. The Kelp DAO attack drained about $292 million in April 2026, while Humanity Protocol lost around $32 million in June due to a compromised developer device. This commingling points to a shared external threat actor and highlights ongoing security risks in DeFi.

ambcrypto3 год тому

Humanity Protocol, Kelp DAO stolen funds commingle – Same attacker?

ambcrypto3 год тому

Ethereum ETFs see $12.85M outflows – Why ETH bulls face an uphill battle

Institutional demand for Ethereum (ETH) is weakening as investors reduce exposure to risk assets amid uncertain market conditions. U.S. spot ETH ETFs recently recorded $12.85 million in net outflows, extending a broader slowdown in fund demand despite cumulative net inflows remaining near $11 billion. This reduces institutional capital available to support ETH prices. Consequently, Ethereum now relies more on staking demand, layer-2 activity, and organic spot buying to stabilize prices. An increase in network demand could help absorb excess supply. However, if institutional demand does not recover, ETH faces prolonged consolidation and increased vulnerability to sentiment-driven price swings. On-chain analysis shows significant holdings moving to a new wallet. While not a direct sell signal, similar past movements have preceded liquidity events. If these funds are deposited to exchanges, it could reinforce bearish sentiment and selling pressure. In summary, ETH remains vulnerable due to weak institutional demand and a bearish market structure. Stronger spot demand is needed to offset selling pressure and restore sustained bullish momentum.

ambcrypto4 год тому

Ethereum ETFs see $12.85M outflows – Why ETH bulls face an uphill battle

ambcrypto4 год тому

2028: The Arrival of Recursive Self-Improvement (RSI)

**AI Recursive Self-Improvement (RSI): The Countdown to 2028 Begins** AI is no longer just a trained tool but is starting to rewrite its own evolutionary pace. According to Anthropic co-founder Jack Clark, there is a 60% probability that by the end of 2028, Recursive Self-Improvement (RSI) will become a reality. This means AI could autonomously design and build a more capable next-generation version of itself without any human researcher involvement—Claude 10 creating Claude 11, for instance. Supporting this timeline, Google DeepMind's CEO Demis Hassabis confirms that all leading AI labs are intensely focused on RSI, making it an industry-wide priority. He expresses profound concern, stating this potential is what keeps him awake at night. Concrete data underscores this acceleration: - METR evaluations show current top models like Claude are solving tasks up to the 16-hour limit of existing test frameworks. - In Epoch AI's challenging MirrorCode benchmark, Claude Opus 4.7 recreated complex software in hours for a fraction of the human cost. In one extreme test, AI autonomously coded for 19 days straight. - Anthropic reports over 80% of its codebase is now written by Claude, and researcher productivity has increased up to 8-fold since 2024. - OpenAI's policy blueprint highlights RSI as a major upcoming governance challenge. CEO Sam Altman reportedly hinted RSI might arrive within six months, potentially delaying OpenAI's massive IPO. The implication is an impending "intelligence explosion," where AI-driven progress outpaces human control. The central question is no longer if it will happen, but whether humanity is ready.

marsbit4 год тому

2028: The Arrival of Recursive Self-Improvement (RSI)

marsbit4 год тому

World Models, Metaverse, Digital Twins, Physical AI: Are They the Same Thing?

Title: World Models, the Metaverse, Digital Twins, Physical AI: Are They the Same Thing? The article clarifies that concepts like the metaverse, Web3, simulation platforms, digital twins, and Physical AI are not the same thing but are all part of the broader trend of blurring the lines between the digital and physical worlds. It positions "world models" as the foundational "cognitive layer" or "operating system" that enables AI to understand and simulate the world. Key distinctions are made: - The **Metaverse** is a destination for immersive social and economic experiences. World models could act as its "engine," generating interactive 3D content efficiently. - **Web3** focuses on decentralized ownership and economics (rules layer), operating on a different technical level than world models. - **Simulation Data Platforms** (e.g., for autonomous vehicles) are a 1.0 version, relying on manual design. World models represent a 2.0 version, using AI to generate realistic, varied scenarios autonomously. - **Digital Twins** create high-fidelity, real-time mirrors of physical systems (e.g., a factory). World models go a step further by enabling predictive simulation of future states. - **Physical AI** (robots, AVs) refers to AI that acts in the physical world. World models are a core component, providing the understanding and prediction needed for planning. A proposed hierarchy places world models at the cognitive layer, supported by infrastructure (compute, data) and supporting application tools (simulation, digital twins), action systems (Physical AI), user experiences (metaverse), and rules (Web3). In conclusion, while distinct, many of these previously hyped concepts may ultimately rely on advances in world model technology to fulfill their promises, as world models provide the essential cognitive foundation for simulating and interacting with complex environments.

marsbit4 год тому

World Models, Metaverse, Digital Twins, Physical AI: Are They the Same Thing?

marsbit4 год тому

Торгівля

Спот

Популярні статті

Як купити T

Ласкаво просимо до HTX.com! Ми зробили покупку Threshold Network Token (T) простою та зручною. Дотримуйтесь нашої покрокової інструкції, щоб розпочати свою криптовалютну подорож.Крок 1: Створіть обліковий запис на HTXВикористовуйте свою електронну пошту або номер телефону, щоб зареєструвати обліковий запис на HTX безплатно. Пройдіть безпроблемну реєстрацію й отримайте доступ до всіх функцій.ЗареєструватисьКрок 2: Перейдіть до розділу Купити крипту і виберіть спосіб оплатиКредитна/дебетова картка: використовуйте вашу картку Visa або Mastercard, щоб миттєво купити Threshold Network Token (T).Баланс: використовуйте кошти з балансу вашого рахунку HTX для безперешкодної торгівлі.Треті особи: ми додали популярні способи оплати, такі як Google Pay та Apple Pay, щоб підвищити зручність.P2P: Торгуйте безпосередньо з іншими користувачами на HTX.Позабіржова торгівля (OTC): ми пропонуємо індивідуальні послуги та конкурентні обмінні курси для трейдерів.Крок 3: Зберігайте свої Threshold Network Token (T)Після придбання Threshold Network Token (T) збережіть його у своєму обліковому записі на HTX. Крім того, ви можете відправити його в інше місце за допомогою блокчейн-переказу або використовувати його для торгівлі іншими криптовалютами.Крок 4: Торгівля Threshold Network Token (T)Легко торгуйте Threshold Network Token (T) на спотовому ринку HTX. Просто увійдіть до свого облікового запису, виберіть торгову пару, укладайте угоди та спостерігайте за ними в режимі реального часу. Ми пропонуємо зручний досвід як для початківців, так і для досвідчених трейдерів.

466 переглядів усьогоОпубліковано 2024.12.10Оновлено 2026.06.02

Обговорення

Ласкаво просимо до спільноти HTX. Тут ви можете бути в курсі останніх подій розвитку платформи та отримати доступ до професійної ринкової інформації. Нижче представлені думки користувачів щодо ціни T (T).