Биткоин демонстрирует признаки охлаждения после неудачной попытки преодолеть $120 000

cryptonews.ruОпубліковано о 2025-01-30Востаннє оновлено о 2025-07-31

После очередного отката от психологически важной отметки $120 000 биткоин вступает в фазу консолидации, которая, по мнению аналитиков, может создать фундамент для нового роста во второй половине 2025 года с потенциальными целями до $150 000.

Фаза перегрева подходит к концу

Согласно анализу CryptoQuant, представленному экспертом Crypto Dan, краткосрочные держатели BTC (от 1 дня до 1 недели) демонстрируют снижение активности, что указывает на нормализацию перегретых рыночных условий:

Текущий период перегрева (отмечен жёлтым) менее интенсивен по сравнению с аналогичными фазами в марте-октябре 2024 и январе-апреле 2025 годов
Коррекция может оказаться менее глубокой благодаря умеренному характеру последнего роста (с $108 000 1 июля до $123 128 13 июля)
Ключевой уровень поддержки сейчас формируется около $117 500

Подготовка к следующему рывку

Несмотря на текущую паузу, технические индикаторы свидетельствуют о потенциальном накоплении энергии для нового импульса:

Анализ Titan of Crypto показывает:
- Сужение полос Боллинджера
- Снижение волатильности
- Компрессия индекса RSI
  Эти факторы традиционно предшествуют сильным ценовым движениям
Прогноз Али Мартинеса на основе CVD (Cumulative Value Days Destroyed):
- Следующая вершина может достичь $149 679
- Индикатор отражает баланс сил между покупателями и продавцами

Риски и текущая ситуация

Настораживающие сигналы:

Биржевые резервы BTC достигли месячного максимума, что может указывать на подготовку к продажам
Давление со стороны краткосрочных инвесторов способно временно ослабить тренд

На момент публикации биткоин торгуется на уровне $117 546 (-0.4% за сутки), демонстрируя типичную для фазы консолидации боковую динамику.

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