60% доминирование биткоина может встряхнуть рынок альткоинов — аналитик

cryptonews.ruОпубліковано о 2024-05-30Востаннє оновлено о 2025-01-30

  • Бенджамин Коуэн определил сценарий, который может спровоцировать волатильность рынка альткоинов.
  • Доминирование биткоина выше 60% может спровоцировать ответную реакцию со стороны альткоинов.
  • Показатель доминирования биткоина близок к критическому сопротивлению.

Аналитик криптовалют Бенджамин Коуэн считает, что доминирование биткоина на рынке криптовалют вскоре может спровоцировать волатильность альткоинов. В недавнем посте на X Коуэн подчеркнул текущий уровень доминирования биткоина, спрогнозировав потенциальный результат и то, как он может повлиять на более широкий рынок.

Probably see a spike back above 60% #BTC dominance soon.

Not saying it will hold 60% for long before going back below it.

You could even argue that for #ALT / #BTC pairs to get a relief bounce, first dominance may need to get that spike above the 60% threshold. pic.twitter.com/OlrUihTzkE

— Benjamin Cowen (@intocryptoverse) January 30, 2025

На момент публикации Коуэна доминирование Bitcoin составляло 59,68%. В настоящее время эта цифра не сильно изменилась. Данные TradingView показывают небольшое снижение до 59,61% на относительно спокойном рынке криптовалют. Коуэн предполагает, что 60% доминирование Bitcoin может стать катализатором, который вызовет сдвиг в повествовании о рынке криптовалют.

Связанный: Доминирование биткоина отражает паттерн 2020/2021: что это может означать?

В своем посте Коуэн пояснил, что доминирование Bitcoin не может долго удерживаться выше 60%. Однако, возможно, ему придется протестировать этот регион, чтобы вызвать значительное движение на рынке альткоинов. По словам криптоаналитика, скачок доминирования Bitcoin выше 60% вызовет облегченный отскок в парах ALT/BTC, что привнесет ожидаемую волатильность на рынок криптовалют.

По теме: Рост альткоинов на фоне снижения доминирования биткоина: лидируют DeFi и токены ИИ

Важно отметить, что доминирование Bitcoin выросло с начала 2024 года. Метрика отскочила от минимума в 56,6% в первую неделю января и с тех пор имеет тенденцию к росту. Исторические данные показывают, что текущее значение доминирования Bitcoin совпадает с декабрьским всплеском, за которым последовал спад, поскольку альткоины выросли в цене.

Повторение этой модели может сигнализировать о новом всплеске альткоинов. Однако время может иметь решающее значение, учитывая текущие настроения в криптоиндустрии после событий в Соединенных Штатах. Многие в криптосообществе ожидают пересмотра крипторегулирования в США.

Пов'язані матеріали

Want to Get Freebies from Robinhood Chain? Which Ecosystem Projects Are Worth Watching?

**Title: Want to Get the Robinhood Chain Airdrop? Which Ecosystem Projects Are Worth Watching?** **Summary:** Robinhood Chain, a key part of Robinhood's push into Layer 2, aims to build a comprehensive ecosystem covering stock tokens, RWAs, perpetual contracts, and spot trading. With its mainnet launch on July 2, 2026, came a 90-day gas fee waiver for swaps, cross-chain transactions, and Perp trading. While the ecosystem's TVL was still modest at around $76.73 million as of July 6, 2026, several early projects present potential opportunities. Key projects highlighted include: * **Arcus:** A stock token and crypto DEX built by dYdX Labs and Robinhood Crypto, focusing on spot and perpetual contracts. Future ARCUS tokens are expected to prioritize the existing dYdX community. * **Lighter:** A ZK-powered decentralized perpetual and spot exchange deployed on Robinhood Chain. It has committed $11 million worth of LIT tokens to the Robinhood community, with users earning points (and double points via Robinhood Wallet) for trading, convertible to LIT. * **Morpho:** Integral to the newly launched "Robinhood Earn" program in the US, where user-supplied USDG stablecoins are lent out via Morpho vaults, targeting a 7% APY. * **Rialto:** An on-chain spot exchange supporting crypto, stocks, ETFs, and commodities. It will initially list over 90 Robinhood stock tokens and uses a "propAMM" system where market makers provide quotes from their own inventory. * **Arrakis:** A non-custodial, on-chain market maker protocol for token issuers to manage concentrated liquidity on DEXs. * **Meridian:** A platform on Robinhood Chain focusing on RWA perpetual contracts and prediction markets, settled in USDe. It rebranded from Ethereal and had previously planned to allocate 15% of its future governance tokens to ENA stakers. * **Native:** An on-chain price discovery and execution system recently deployed on Robinhood Chain, though the team has stated there are no current plans for a token launch. The article emphasizes that this is not investment advice and urges participants to conduct their own research (DYOR).

Foresight News4 хв тому

Want to Get Freebies from Robinhood Chain? Which Ecosystem Projects Are Worth Watching?

Foresight News4 хв тому

How UmexGain Integrates New Technologies Into Its Service

UmexGain continuously integrates new technologies to enhance its platform and user experience. It provides advanced analytical instruments, including modern charts and technical indicators, for comprehensive market assessment. The company also offers a diverse and expanding range of assets, from traditional stocks and currencies to digital assets, enabling varied investment strategies. UmexGain's innovation extends to cross-device accessibility, modern payment solutions, and regular feature updates based on user feedback. This focus on combining technology, functionality, and ease of use allows the company to deliver a seamless, high-tech service for its clients.

TheNewsCrypto7 хв тому

How UmexGain Integrates New Technologies Into Its Service

TheNewsCrypto7 хв тому

End of Correction or Continuation of Trend: Technical Structure Review of BTC and HYPE | Guest Analysis

**Weekly Technical Analysis: BTC & HYPE Structure Review** This analysis covers the multi-timeframe technical structure for Bitcoin (BTC) and HYPE. **Bitcoin (BTC) Analysis:** BTC's correction from its May 6 high has formed a clear four-segment pattern on the daily chart. The market is currently in a (3-4) rebound phase. The key determinant for the short-term trend is the endpoint of this rebound ("Endpoint 4"): * **Path 1 (Preferred Scenario):** If the rebound surpasses the $65,700 resistance, subsequent pullbacks are less likely to break the key support at $57,820 (July 1 low). This would suggest a transition into a consolidating range, building energy for a potential bullish reversal. * **Path 2:** Failure to reach $65,700, or even $64,500, increases the probability of a breakdown below $57,820, continuing the downtrend. The 4-hour chart shows a completed five-wave decline from June 15, culminating in a momentum divergence at the low, which supported the recent bounce. **BTC Weekly Outlook & Strategy (Jul 6-12):** * **Core View:** Focus on the high point of the daily rebound from $57,820. * **Key Levels:** * Resistance: $64,500-$65,700; $67,300; $69,500-$71,000. * Support: $60,950-$62,300; $57,820; $55,000. * **Strategy:** * **Mid-term:** Maintain ~20% short position. Consider increasing shorts to <50% if price stalls in the $65,700-$67,300 zone with confirming model signals. * **Short-term:** Use 30% capital for swing trades between support/resistance. * **Plans:** * **Plan A (Short):** Enter shorts (~30%) if price is rejected at $65,700-$67,300. * **Plan B (Long):** Enter longs (~15%) only if price breaks above $65,700 first, then pulls back and finds support near $57,820. **HYPE Analysis:** The rebound from the June 25 low has developed a seven-segment structure on the 4-hour chart. Price is approaching the historical high zone near $76.94. Internal models have triggered top warnings, suggesting caution against chasing the rally and highlighting near-term pullback risks. **HYPE Weekly Outlook & Strategy:** * **Core View:** Observe price action in the $75-$76.94 resistance area. * **Key Levels:** * Resistance: $75-$76.94; $80. * Support: $68; $65.5; $60.5-$61.5. * **Strategy:** Prioritize profit-taking and risk management. If holding longs, consider moving stop-loss to ~$68 to protect gains. Close positions promptly on signs of a downturn. **Trade Recap:** A recent short-term long trade in HYPE, entered at $64 based on model buy signals and exited at ~$70.55 on sell signals, yielded a profit of approximately 10.23%. **General Risk Management:** Always set an initial stop-loss. Move stop-loss to breakeven at +1% profit, and trail it upwards by 1% for every subsequent 1% gain to lock in profits. *Disclaimer: Market conditions change rapidly. All analysis, models, and strategies presented are for educational/log purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. Trade at your own risk.*

Odaily星球日报13 хв тому

End of Correction or Continuation of Trend: Technical Structure Review of BTC and HYPE | Guest Analysis

Odaily星球日报13 хв тому

Bitcoin’s ‘greatest evolution’ lies beyond the protocol: Michael Saylor

Michael Saylor predicts Bitcoin's most significant evolution over the next decade will not stem from protocol changes but from the expansion of its surrounding financial ecosystem. He emphasizes that Bitcoin's stability is a strength, and while halving events will tighten supply, future price growth will be driven primarily by institutional capital from spot ETFs, corporate treasuries, sovereign wealth funds, and other large financial entities. Saylor also cautions about risks like "paper Bitcoin," custodial centralization, and regulatory scrutiny but remains optimistic, expecting Bitcoin to be more widely held, institutionalized, and integrated by 2036. This outlook comes alongside MicroStrategy's continued aggressive accumulation of Bitcoin, growing its holdings significantly despite market volatility and criticism.

ambcrypto50 хв тому

Bitcoin’s ‘greatest evolution’ lies beyond the protocol: Michael Saylor

ambcrypto50 хв тому

Is Anyone Still Buying in the Crypto Market? Unpacking 3 Common Watch-and-Wait Mentalities Today

Is Anyone Still Buying in the Crypto Market? Unpacking 3 Common Wait-and-See Mindsets This article analyzes the current cautious sentiment in the crypto market, distilled from conversations with sophisticated investors. The author identifies three dominant investor mindsets: 1. **Satisfied with Current Holdings:** Many retain a long-term belief in digital assets but see no immediate catalyst for significant price appreciation. They hold positions to avoid missing a future surge but allocate minimal new capital or attention. A shift requires a new, observable catalyst or a rotation from other portfolio areas. 2. **Waiting for Lower Prices:** This reflects not just short-term timing but a belief about crypto's total addressable market and upside potential. It could change if key perceived cycle bottoms pass without a crash, a major bullish event occurs (e.g., sovereign adoption), or price rebounds trigger FOMO-driven buying. 3. **High Opportunity Cost of Allocation:** The core question is comparative growth. With AI-related equities appearing to offer relentless, high-speed growth, justifying marginal investment into assets without similar perceived momentum is difficult. A slowdown in the AI trade could potentially mark a bottom and trigger capital reallocation into crypto. In conclusion, while long-term conviction persists for many, near-term marginal capital flows are constrained by these beliefs. The author suggests the market may be closer to a bottom than a top, but the current climate is defined by this wait-and-see approach, awaiting a catalyst to reignite broader investor commitment.

marsbit1 год тому

Is Anyone Still Buying in the Crypto Market? Unpacking 3 Common Watch-and-Wait Mentalities Today

marsbit1 год тому

Торгівля

Спот
活动图片