面对特朗普上台造成的暴力愉悦,如何在动荡中寻找自己的优势?

Odaily星球日报Опубліковано о 2025-01-21Востаннє оновлено о 2025-01-21

Анотація

每一次重大社会经济变革的背后,都源于“熵的收割”

原文标题:The Violent Delight

原文作者:DoveyWan,primitivecrypto 创始人

原文编译:zhouzhou,BlockBeats

编者按:本文探讨了金融民粹主义政治化的影响,将其比作双黑洞系统,展示了社会的扭曲与混乱。通过以加密交易者为例,强调成功来源于持续的努力与自我认知。指出技术和社会变革正在推动新秩序的形成,未来的领袖将是能够跨越东西方界限、玩转全球思维与民粹主义游戏的创新者。

以下为原文内容(为便于阅读理解,原内容有所整编):

在过去的 24 小时里,我们见证了两个历史性时刻。TikTok 成为了美中持续新冷战中的附带损害,而美国总统推出了自己的 meme 币,这种货币曾被认为是一个边缘化的领域,并且是诈骗的温床。

这是地缘政治紧张局势与金融民粹主义巧合地在同一天碰撞的缩影。我对我们行业的未来充满信心,认为它是最具元主权和全球无许可实验的领域,但我想提醒大家在这一周期的这个阶段保持谨慎,因为许多暴力愉悦的迹象在回响着过去周期中暴力结局的发生。

政治化的金融民粹主义

我们所看到的,除了 TRUMP 的暴力愉悦之外,在东方,USDT 与人民币的汇率(在岸人民币)达到了历史最高溢价,反映了大陆对场外交易的强烈需求。这也是这一周期中,首次出现大量中国零售投资者 FOMO,比之前的炒作如比特币、NFT、Ordinal 等还要多。

上个周期中,Defi 和 Gamefi 吸引了全球的流动性,而 NFT 则更多是西方流动性,随后才是东方流动性;在这一周期,链上 meme 币最初主要在 Base 和 Solana 上发行,属于以美国零售为主的资产,但随着 TRUMP 的出现,全球流动性开始趋同。

面对特朗普上台造成的暴力愉悦,如何在动荡中寻找自己的优势?

本地 P2P 场外交易 USDT/CNY 价格

在西方:Moonshot 被大量用户涌入 Solana 所淹没,登上了应用排行榜的顶部,这一模式让人想起上个周期,当时 Moonpay 看到了大量美元法币存款通过 ETH 的入口直接流入 OpenSea。

面对特朗普上台造成的暴力愉悦,如何在动荡中寻找自己的优势?

Coinbase 退出 SOL 导致提款严重延迟,这正如我早前预料的那样,中心化交易所在长期内将充当链上经济的 ATM。同时,类似于上个周期 DeFi 爆发和 NFT 狂潮加速了 ETH 扩容解决方案,Phantom 钱包经历了每分钟超过 8, 000, 000 次的请求激增,一个市值 30 亿的钱包基础设施没能预见到这一波激增。

我们无可否认地处于一个牛市,但只有少数几种山寨币达到了新的历史最高点,这既是行业成熟的标志,也是上游市场疲软的体现,正如我去年所指出的。新的特朗普统治无疑会创造机会,但当市场过度依赖少数领军人物的操控时,持续性将面临风险。

面对特朗普上台造成的暴力愉悦,如何在动荡中寻找自己的优势?

双黑洞系统背后的扭曲星空

当金融民粹主义被政治化时,它就像一个双黑洞系统——两个巨大的引力源在强大力量的舞蹈中相互作用。正如这一宇宙现象通过极端的引力透镜扭曲周围的星空,甚至将时空本身拉入混乱,我们也正在目睹着这个世界的不安定扭曲。社会的不满情绪在激增,紧张局势触手可及,熵值也达到了历史新高。历史证明,暴力的愉悦往往会以暴力的结局收场,但这一次,我们有机会有意识地选择一条替代的货币轨道/资源分配路径,或许能够提供一种更和平的解决方案。

错失 100 倍机会

在我进入这个行业的 10 年里,我从未经历过「一夜暴富」,我错过了无数次 100 倍的机会,但这没关系,快速、大额回报的诱惑无可否认,但可持续的成功源于自我意识和了解自己的游戏规则。

从长远来看,市场将会提供下一个 100 倍的机会,迎合你的优势,只要你不断积累。这也是我在面对 ManoppoMarco 作为加密投资者的第一次 100 倍错失时,给出的建议。

面对特朗普上台造成的暴力愉悦,如何在动荡中寻找自己的优势?

如果你的自然优势在于作为 meme 币 PvP 玩家或拥有敏捷反应的动量交易者,拥抱它并不断精进你的优势。以 0x Wangarian Darryl 和他的 Pigeon 账号为例。尽管一些人把他当作「富二代的虚拟角色扮演者」,认为他只是在「抛售别人」,但那些了解他背景和过往记录的人知道,他对系统化交易执行和市场分析有着极大的热情,和任何专注的地下交易者一样。

对于那些将 meme 币转化为「轻松八位数」胜利的战壕战士们,我们不应忽视他们背后付出的巨大努力。无数个在链上的不眠之夜,不断的侦察,以及对自己技艺的坚定执着,才是这些改变人生结果的真正推动力。

我对这些战壕战士怀有深深的敬意。加密依然是最后一个领域,在这里,只需一台电脑、坚韧不拔的毅力和深刻的洞察力,任何人都能实现财务转型。它是一个功绩导向的战场,努力和技能依然能够重写个人的成长轨迹。

但如果这不是你的优势,追逐暴力的愉悦可能就是一场自我毁灭的游戏。财富不会「轻易而得」,除非它与你的优势相符。理解你是谁,玩什么游戏,属于哪个战壕,是个人成长的基础。市场有它的节奏,但成功来自于找到自己的旋律,并自信地跟随它舞动。

不以暴力结局

从 19 世纪的「笔比剑更强」到 21 世纪初的「软件正在吞噬世界」,我们现在正处于变革性趋势的交汇点:

  • 二进制代码演变为货币代码

  • 机器程序重塑社会契约

  • 人类语言成为编程语言

每一次重大社会经济变革的背后,都源于「熵的收割」——创造新秩序,通常以新的价值供应链形式出现,从根本上改变了人类的协调方式(无论是经济还是政治)。

工业革命通过机械化程序重新定义了社会契约;互联网的兴起以及密码学保护的私人财产(即原生互联网货币)将二进制代码转变为货币代码。如今,我们正步入一个以人类语言本身为编程语言的时代,这赋予个体力量,让他们不仅成为「 10 倍人」,甚至成为「 100 倍人」。

未来已经开始显现,尽管其分布并不均匀。那些敢于踏上炒作曲线左侧的人,能够整合东西方的全球化思维,参与超主权的民粹博弈,他们将崛起为那个时代的主角,定义属于自己的传奇篇章。

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