Биткоин удерживает Shiba Inu (SHIB) от дальнейшего падения

cryptonews.ruОпубліковано о 2024-03-06Востаннє оновлено о 2024-09-06

В течение последнего месяца популярный мемкоин Shiba Inu (SHIB) застрял в достаточно узком диапазоне от $0,00001462 до $0,00001304. От снижения криптовалюту оберегает высокий коэффициент корреляции с биткоином (BTC)

Разбираемся, как биткоин (BTC) поддерживает Shiba Inu (SHIB) и существуют ли для мемкоина риски просадки.

Биткоин спасает Shiba Inu

Сейчас движения цены Shiba Inu тесно связаны с поведением биткоина, коэффициент корреляции — 0,94. Такой высокий уровень корреляции с главной криптовалютой помогает SHIB избежать значительного снижения.

В последние шесть месяцев мемкоин стабильно повторяет за динамикой BTC. Когда корреляция активов ослабевает, цена Shiba Inu падает. Когда корреляция усиливается — цена растет. Сейчас эта тенденция играет ключевую роль в предотвращении падения Shiba Inu.

Корреляция Shiba Inu с биткоином. Источник: TradingView

Недавние колебания рынка вызвали беспокойство среди инвесторов SHIB. Тем не менее пока биткоин удерживает позиции, серьезное падение мемкоина видится маловероятным.

Тем временем по самому токену Shiba Inu сейчас преобладает медвежий настрой. Цена застряла в стагнации, и из-за этого в последнюю неделю настроения рынка по активу стали отрицательными. Инвесторы начинают терять уверенность, что может усилить медвежье давление.

При условии сохранения корреляции с BTC медвежий сентимент рынка вряд ли способен привести к резкому падению SHIB.

Настроение инвесторов Shiba Inu. Источник: Santiment

Редакция BIC рассказывала, что команда Shiba Inu поделилась планами запуска L3-блокчейна и нескольких новых токенов. Все подробности читайте в нашей статье.

Прогноз SHIB: нужен прорыв

На момент написания этого анализа SHIB торгуется по $0,00001337, за сутки прибавив в цене 1%. Мемкоин устойчиво держится выше критически важного уровня поддержки на $0,00001304. Вероятно, в ближайшее время токен продолжит двигаться в боковике.

Тем не менее если корреляция с биткоином сохранится, а настроения инвесторов улучшатся, Shiba Inu получит шанс отскочить от этой поддержки и протестировать $0,00001462. Сопротивление на этом уровне уже тестировалось ранее, но безуспешно. Последний раз, в конце августа, криптовалюта потеряла 12% за три дня после неудачной попытки прорыва. Успешное преодоление этого уровня станет сигналом к восстановлению.

Анализ цены Shiba Inu. Источник: TradingView

Однако если корреляция SHIB и BTC ослабнет, можно ожидать более серьезного падения мемкоина. В рамках такого сценария приктовалюта рискует просесть до $0,00001141. Эта отметка станет самой низкой ценой для Shiba Inu за последние шесть месяцев и опровергнет любой бычий тезис.

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