LINK 7天内价格上涨 10%、还能继续突破下去吗

金色财经Опубліковано о 2024-08-15Востаннє оновлено о 2024-08-15

  • 由于需求旺盛和鲸鱼囤积,LINK 的价格在过去一周飙升了 10%。

  • 过去两周,价值超过 1.1 亿美元的 LINK 代币已从交易所撤出,表明投资者情绪看涨。

  • 尽管价格上涨,但 LINK 的 CMF 表明可能出现回调,代币可能跌至 14 美元以下。

LINK 是Chainlink的原生代币,在过去两周的整体市场复苏过程中,其需求激增。

该资产的价格在过去七天里飙升了 10%,并继续受到鲸鱼的关注,他们不断将LINK 代币添加到他们的持有量中。

Chainlink 鲸鱼关注买入信号

自 7 月 4 日以来,LINK 的交易所净流量一直为负。自那时起,价值超过 1.1 亿美元的 LINK 代币已从交易所撤出。

资产的交易所净流量衡量加密货币进出交易所的数量差额。当记录到负净流量时,从交易所提取的代币/硬币多于存入的代币/硬币。这是一个看涨信号,表明抛售活动减少。

相反,交易所净流量为正表明存入交易所的代币/硬币多于取出的代币/硬币。这表明投资者正准备出售,这可能导致资产价值下跌。

jJOtv6Q0DholAR8anKJME3tXK6YbDTdRS0IRmyet.jpeg

根据数据,截至7月16日,价值800万美元的LINK代币已从交易所提现。

回顾两周,LINK 鲸鱼加大了增持力度。93 个新钱包共从领先交易所币安提取了 1275 万个 LINK 代币,价值约 1.67 亿美元。

负 MVRV 比率促使 LINK 鲸鱼囤积

此外,持有 100,000 至 1,000,000 个代币的 LINK 鲸鱼“在过去两周内集体购买了超过 1000 万美元的 LINK,总额约为 1.2 亿美元”。

oEYfr8BFyt67fgeZ0UIxzkDFepkq0QJAy6laKyeG.jpeg

LINK 鲸鱼最近购买了更多代币,因为该资产被低估了。这可以从其市值与实际价值 (MVRV) 比率与各种移动平均线的比率中看出。

例如,LINK 的 30 天和 90 天移动平均线的 MVRV 比率分别为 -4.43% 和 -10.85%。

41VxRXIqkEG18EhHdbbltUbZaOBdAhWULNm1KQtG.jpeg

该指标衡量资产当前价格与获得该资产所有硬币或代币的平均价格之间的比率。

当其价值低于零时,表明该资产的市场价值低于所有流通代币的平均购买价格。当这种情况发生时,该资产被称为被低估。

从历史上看,负的 MVRV 比率提供了买入机会,因为资产被视为低于其成本基础进行交易。因此,交易者可以以较低的价格买入并希望以更高的价格卖出。

LINK 价格预测:面临回吐近期涨幅的风险

尽管 LINK 的价值在过去一周内飙升了两位数,但其 Chaikin 资金流 (CMF) 仍然被困在零线以下并继续呈下降趋势。

该指标衡量资金如何流入和流出资产。当资产价格上涨而 CMF 下跌时,就会形成看跌背离。

这种分歧表明足够的购买压力不足以支撑价格上涨;资产可能出现回调。所以投资者仍需保持警惕,密切关注市场动态和潜在风险。

Трендові криптовалюти

Пов'язані матеріали

The Crypto Industry Enters the 'Show Me' Era: Vision Alone Is No Longer Enough

The crypto industry has entered a "Show Me" era, where grand visions and white papers are no longer sufficient to gain traction. This shift is driven by increased skepticism, high-profile bad actors, and notably, the serious entry of traditional finance (TradFi) institutions like BlackRock, Fidelity, and JPMorgan Chase, which are launching real, scaled products such as tokenized funds and blockchain-based settlement. This raises the bar for what constitutes a credible project. The communication dynamic has fundamentally changed. The focus is no longer on "what you are building" but on "what you have built and who is using it." Startups must now provide a "proof stack": verifiable data like mainnet transaction volume and active wallets, genuine partnerships with signed contracts, and evidence of organic product-market fit from real users, not just investors. Announcements must be backed by concrete, chain-verifiable evidence. For communication strategies, this means leading with proven facts and hard data—even if modest—rather than speculative narratives. A compelling story must be grounded in demonstrated results. While vision remains important, the balance has inverted from 80% vision/20% substance to the opposite. This higher threshold ultimately benefits builders with genuine traction, filtering out noise and allowing their real signals to stand out clearly. The "Show Me" era is a permanent maturation, demanding that communication strategies prove value, not just promise it.

链捕手8 хв тому

The Crypto Industry Enters the 'Show Me' Era: Vision Alone Is No Longer Enough

链捕手8 хв тому

Meta Follows the Trend into Prediction Markets: Can It Avoid Repeating the Failure of the Metaverse?

Meta, the tech giant behind Facebook, has reportedly formed a team to develop "Arena," a new application focused on prediction markets. Users would use platform points to place bets on outcomes in politics, sports, and global events. This move follows Meta's massive, nearly $900 billion, losses from its heavily-invested metaverse division, Reality Labs. The prediction market industry is already showing strong demand, with leading platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket facilitating hundreds of billions in annual volume. Meta, with its 3.56 billion daily active users across its apps, possesses the unprecedented scale to bring this niche activity to a mainstream audience, similar to its past success in cloning features like Stories and Reels. However, Arena faces significant hurdles. Meta plans to start with a points-based system to avoid strict financial regulations, but this may dilute the core incentive of accurate prediction that real-money markets provide. More critically, Meta enters the space with a major trust deficit stemming from its past regulatory battles, notably the failed Libra/Diem stablecoin project, and its controversial history with political content and misinformation. The prediction market sector itself is under increasing regulatory scrutiny, with recent CFTC actions including fines and the first-ever insider trading case. While Meta's vast user base offers a unique opportunity to expand the market, its success hinges on navigating complex regulations and rebuilding the credibility necessary for a platform dealing with sensitive topics like elections. The outcome could range from Meta dramatically growing the industry to Arena becoming a high-profile regulatory target before it can scale.

Foresight News26 хв тому

Meta Follows the Trend into Prediction Markets: Can It Avoid Repeating the Failure of the Metaverse?

Foresight News26 хв тому

Stock Soars 1200% on First Day, 80s Sales Engineer's Reversal: From Selling FRP to a Fortune of 29 Billion

On its first day of listing, Zhenbao Technology (stock code "N Zhenbao") surged by 1207%, marking itself as the second "ten-bagger" new stock of the year on the STAR Market. The closing price of 585 yuan propelled it into the top 20 of the A-share market by stock price. Dubbed the "first share of semiconductor consumables," the company is backed by a comprehensive shareholder list including National Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund Phase II, SMIC, BOE, and YMTC. Zhenbao's business model focuses on supplying critical consumable components like silicon rings and quartz parts to semiconductor fabs. Unlike expensive core equipment with low repurchase rates, these consumables require frequent replacement as long as production lines are running, generating stable recurring revenue—a key reason for its high market valuation. Founder Wang Bing, an 80s-born former sales engineer, built the company by identifying a supply chain vulnerability: foreign monopolies on high-purity materials led to high costs and unstable deliveries for domestic fabs. Zhenbao's strategy emphasized reliability and speed over absolute top-tier performance, offering products at about 50% of the price with 80% of the performance but 100% on delivery and responsiveness. To achieve this, the company vertically integrated its operations across "raw materials + components + surface treatment," ensuring supply chain control and cost reduction. Its clientele now spans major domestic fabs like BOE and Huahong, as well as international players like SK Hynix and Texas Instruments. However, risks accompany its rapid expansion. The IPO raised approximately 1.605 billion yuan primarily for capacity expansion, which will bring significant annual depreciation costs, potentially impacting future profitability. The company's growth is heavily reliant on sustained high levels of fab expansion, making it vulnerable to the semiconductor industry's cyclical downturns. Other concerns include high accounts receivable (70.83% of revenue at one point in 2025), heavy reliance on its top five customers (over 70% of sales), and questions about the stability and authenticity of its R&D investments, evidenced by volatile R&D headcount and unusual spikes in R&D energy consumption. While the "consumables story" commands a premium, long-term valuation will depend on maintaining high capacity utilization and healthy cash flow conversion.

marsbit32 хв тому

Stock Soars 1200% on First Day, 80s Sales Engineer's Reversal: From Selling FRP to a Fortune of 29 Billion

marsbit32 хв тому

Warsh Deals a Heavy Blow to the 'Dollar Devaluation Trade'! Gold Crashes, Bitcoin Slumps, How Long Can the Chip Frenzy Hold?

The "dollar devaluation trade" that dominated Wall Street this year is rapidly unraveling, driven by a hawkish pivot from Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh and a surging U.S. dollar. This double pressure has triggered a sharp sell-off in non-yielding assets. Gold broke below $4,000 an ounce, silver tumbled below $60, and Bitcoin fell under $60,000, with all retreating significantly from their earlier 2025 peaks. The dollar index hit a 14-month high. Warsh's emphasis on price stability has solidified market expectations for aggressive rate hikes, increasing the opportunity cost of holding assets like precious metals. Concurrently, massive fund flows are rotating out of metals and cryptocurrencies into the semiconductor sector, providing a temporary boost to stocks like Micron and SK Hynix. However, analysts warn this chip rally shows signs of a speculative top. Extreme volatility, with semiconductor stocks seeing trillion-dollar swings, is historically characteristic of major market turning points. Factors like month-end rebalancing, a flood of new equity issuance, and insider selling further signal potential exhaustion. While Micron's strong earnings briefly stemmed selling, it may offer a favorable exit point for remaining chip bulls. The sustainability of the semiconductor frenzy is now in serious doubt as the broader market reprices assets around a stronger dollar and tighter monetary policy.

华尔街日报40 хв тому

Warsh Deals a Heavy Blow to the 'Dollar Devaluation Trade'! Gold Crashes, Bitcoin Slumps, How Long Can the Chip Frenzy Hold?

华尔街日报40 хв тому

Micron Shuts Up the Bears, Makes India's 'Buffett' Regret: Sold Too Early, Missed Out on $2 Billion

Indian value investor Mohnish Pabrai, a disciple of Warren Buffett, revealed his costly mistake of selling shares in Micron Technology too early. He initially invested in 2017, holding it for six years and building a position as large as 77% of his portfolio, based on a thesis that the memory chip industry would consolidate into a stable oligopoly of Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron. However, he sold his entire stake in September 2023, fearing oversupply after Samsung announced production expansion. Shortly after his exit, demand for high-bandwidth memory (HBM) surged with the rise of AI, and Micron's stock price skyrocketed over 15 times in two years. Pabrai estimates this premature sale cost him roughly $20 billion in potential gains. He expressed similar regret over selling his investment in SK Hynix too soon, stating he violated his own principle of holding companies forever. Reflecting on these errors, Pabrai emphasized his core investment checklist principles: avoiding leverage, focusing on the durability of a company's competitive moat, and assessing management's character. Despite these personal trading missteps, his long-term view on the remaining memory chip leaders remains bullish, advising current holders not to sell as "the party is just getting started." He concluded by sharing his philosophical outlook, prioritizing character over wealth, and his goal to donate his entire fortune before his passing.

marsbit2 год тому

Micron Shuts Up the Bears, Makes India's 'Buffett' Regret: Sold Too Early, Missed Out on $2 Billion

marsbit2 год тому

Торгівля

Спот
Ф'ючерси

Популярні статті

Як купити LINK

Ласкаво просимо до HTX.com! Ми зробили покупку ChainLink (LINK) простою та зручною. Дотримуйтесь нашої покрокової інструкції, щоб розпочати свою криптовалютну подорож.Крок 1: Створіть обліковий запис на HTXВикористовуйте свою електронну пошту або номер телефону, щоб зареєструвати обліковий запис на HTX безплатно. Пройдіть безпроблемну реєстрацію й отримайте доступ до всіх функцій.ЗареєструватисьКрок 2: Перейдіть до розділу Купити крипту і виберіть спосіб оплатиКредитна/дебетова картка: використовуйте вашу картку Visa або Mastercard, щоб миттєво купити ChainLink (LINK).Баланс: використовуйте кошти з балансу вашого рахунку HTX для безперешкодної торгівлі.Треті особи: ми додали популярні способи оплати, такі як Google Pay та Apple Pay, щоб підвищити зручність.P2P: Торгуйте безпосередньо з іншими користувачами на HTX.Позабіржова торгівля (OTC): ми пропонуємо індивідуальні послуги та конкурентні обмінні курси для трейдерів.Крок 3: Зберігайте свої ChainLink (LINK)Після придбання ChainLink (LINK) збережіть його у своєму обліковому записі на HTX. Крім того, ви можете відправити його в інше місце за допомогою блокчейн-переказу або використовувати його для торгівлі іншими криптовалютами.Крок 4: Торгівля ChainLink (LINK)Легко торгуйте ChainLink (LINK) на спотовому ринку HTX. Просто увійдіть до свого облікового запису, виберіть торгову пару, укладайте угоди та спостерігайте за ними в режимі реального часу. Ми пропонуємо зручний досвід як для початківців, так і для досвідчених трейдерів.

1.1k переглядів усьогоОпубліковано 2024.12.13Оновлено 2026.06.02

Як купити LINK

Обговорення

Ласкаво просимо до спільноти HTX. Тут ви можете бути в курсі останніх подій розвитку платформи та отримати доступ до професійної ринкової інформації. Нижче представлені думки користувачів щодо ціни LINK (LINK).

活动图片