根据亚瑟·海耶斯的说法,民主党人将在11月大选前如何诱导股市反弹

币界网Опубліковано о 2024-08-12Востаннє оновлено о 2024-08-12

币界网报道:

加密货币资深人士Arthur Hayes表示,民主党人可能会在总统选举前偷偷印制美元,引发股市反弹。

在一篇新文章中,这位BitMEX创始人表示,如果股市蓬勃发展,卡玛拉·哈里斯的总统竞选活动可能会得到大幅提振。

但日元套息交易的解除引发了上周6.4万亿美元的全球股市暴跌,标准普尔500指数经历了自2022年以来最糟糕的交易日。

在日本,大批投资者借入廉价日元,将资金投资于股票等具有高增长潜力的风险资产,以产生利润。但当日本央行上个月底加息时,日元升值,促使投资者出售风险资产,购买日元并偿还借款。

对日元需求的增加推动日元走高,迫使更多投资者解除头寸,因为日元升值可能会侵蚀他们的收益。随着人们在恐慌中出售资产,这种动态导致了更大的抛售压力。

海耶斯表示,哈里斯可以通过指示财政部长珍妮特·耶伦在一项秘密行动中救助日本投资者来阻止股市暴跌,该行动涉及美联储使用日元作为抵押品向日本银行(BOJ)贷款美元。

海耶斯表示,此次行动将允许日本央行通过印制更多货币来借入美元,从而控制日元的价值。对于美国来说,海耶斯认为,新印制的美元将引发股票和债券市场的反弹,使哈里斯更有可能赢得选举。

“最重要的是,由于美联储印制美元,美国股票和债券价格[上涨]。另一个好处是,日本银行可以用新发现的日本国债抵押品发行无限量的日元计价贷款。这种交易使美国和日本的体系重新膨胀。”

不要错过任何一个节拍-订阅以直接将电子邮件提醒发送到您的收件箱查看价格行动在X、Facebook和Telegram上关注我们冲浪每日Hodl Mix

生成的图像:Midjourney

Пов'язані матеріали

OpenAI's "Most Open" Move: Codex No Longer Exclusively Favors GPT

OpenAI has significantly opened up its Codex programming agent by introducing a "model provider" configuration layer that allows users to connect it with various open-source models, not just its proprietary GPT. Through a configuration file or a simple `--oss` command-line flag, Codex can now route requests to local services like Ollama or LM Studio, or to third-party APIs such as Mistral or DeepSeek. This move is seen as one of OpenAI's most "open" steps, potentially lowering costs and enhancing privacy for developers who can run code generation offline. However, integration isn't seamless for all models. Codex primarily uses OpenAI's newer Responses API, while many open-source models rely on the older Chat Completions interface. This creates compatibility issues, especially for advanced features like function calling. The developer community is already building "routing" or adapter layers (e.g., CC Switch, LiteLLM) to translate between these protocols, enabling hybrid setups where GPT handles planning and open-source models handle execution. Analysts interpret this as a strategic shift for OpenAI: from competing solely on model superiority to controlling the platform and interface standards. By making Codex a flexible, pluggable entry point for AI-assisted programming, OpenAI aims to become the central hub in the developer toolchain ecosystem, even as users gain the freedom to switch underlying models.

marsbit47 хв тому

OpenAI's "Most Open" Move: Codex No Longer Exclusively Favors GPT

marsbit47 хв тому

When 500 Million People Abandon ChatGPT

ChatGPT's Global AI Assistant Market Share Drops Below 50% Three and a half years after its groundbreaking launch, ChatGPT faces a pivotal moment. While it remains the largest AI assistant globally, its market share has fallen below 50% for the first time, reaching 46.4% as of May, according to Sensor Tower's 2026 AI landscape report. Google's Gemini (27.7%) and Anthropic's Claude (10.3%) are now its main competitors, with Grok, Perplexity, and others also gaining ground. The market has evolved from awe and initial adoption into a phase of product comparison, ecosystem integration, and commercialization. User behavior has matured significantly. Loyalty is low; users readily switch between assistants for specific tasks. Gemini benefits from deep integration within Google's ecosystem (Search, Gmail, Android), while Claude has carved a niche among productivity-focused users with strong retention, nearly matching ChatGPT's. User choice is now influenced by a complex mix of capability, ecosystem, price, use case, and even brand trust. Commercialization is accelerating. AI app downloads continue but growth is slowing, while user spending is rising. Over $4.2 billion was spent in-app during H1 2026. Claude leads in premium subscription conversion rates (13%). OpenAI is expanding its revenue streams, testing ads shown to 17% of ChatGPT users daily by May. This shift highlights the immense financial pressure of model training and inference costs. Despite revenue growth, OpenAI's cash burn is intense, reaching $3.7 billion in Q1 2026. The company projects this could rise to $25-57 billion in the coming years, underscoring the industry-wide challenge of scaling profitably. The symbolism is clear: ChatGPT no longer defines the AI assistant market alone. The era of a single dominant product is over. Gemini, Claude, and specialized tools are collectively shaping user habits and business models. As AI assistants move from novelty to utility—judged on accuracy, efficiency, and value—they are becoming embedded in everyday digital life. ChatGPT may have lost its majority, but AI as a whole is winning, entering a mature, competitive, and diverse new phase.

marsbit49 хв тому

When 500 Million People Abandon ChatGPT

marsbit49 хв тому

Торгівля

Спот
Ф'ючерси
活动图片