经济学家Alex Krüger表示,2020年3月的风格复苏可能正在重演——原因如下

币界网Опубліковано о 2024-08-08Востаннє оновлено о 2024-08-08

币界网报道:

宏观经济学家Alex Krüger并不认为加密货币注定会陷入长期熊市。

在一个新话题中,Krüger告诉他在社交媒体平台X上的17.9万粉丝,在周末价格突然暴跌后,数字资产正面临三种可能的历史情景。

第一种情况发生在2020年3月,当时加密货币价格因冠状病毒而暴跌,但在两个月内恢复,引发了该行业历史上最大的牛市之一。

第二次是在2021年5月,比特币(BTC)在4月份创下历史新高后暴跌了30%以上。加密资产的价格继续下跌,直到7月下旬,该行业在11月扭转了走向新高的道路。

第三次发生在2022年5月,当时Terra生态系统内爆,加密资产价格连续六个月暴跌。

Krüger认为第三种情况是最不可能的,并预测加密货币将遵循第一种选择的快速复苏路径,尽管“预计不会出现2020-21年的疯狂表现”

他还指出,他不认为美国经济正走向衰退,这将进一步推动加密货币价格下跌。

“我们刚刚看到整个世界都经历了加密货币式的杠杆式抛售。就是这样。生活还在继续。除非未来出现衰退,这在目前是可能的,但不太可能。

在这种情况下,这只是第一个样本。这意味着,选择你的阵营:衰退或没有衰退。并采取相应行动。我属于不衰退阵营。将极度关注美国所有就业数据点。我们现在正处于一个“糟糕的经济数据对价格不利”的交易环境中。”

不要错过任何节拍-订阅以直接将电子邮件提醒发送到您的收件箱

检查价格操作

在X、Facebook和Telegram上关注我们

冲浪每日Hodl混合

生成的图像:Midjourney

Пов'язані матеріали

RIP: Atlas, Which Lived Only 292 Days

On August 9, 2026, OpenAI discontinued its standalone AI browser, Atlas, just 292 days after its launch on October 21, 2025. Initially positioned as a challenger to Chrome and the broader AI browser ecosystem, Atlas aimed to fundamentally redesign how users interact with browsers by deeply integrating ChatGPT. Its features included an AI-powered address bar, a sidebar for webpage analysis, Browser Memories for context retention, and an Agent Mode to automate multi-step tasks like shopping and research. Despite building on Chromium with a custom OWL (OpenAI Web Layer) framework, OpenAI struggled with the immense complexity of maintaining a full-fledged browser. The team spent significant time addressing basic functionalities—password managers, extensions, input methods—that mainstream browsers already handled seamlessly. Atlas's core AI agent capabilities also faced issues with reliability, speed, and security vulnerabilities like prompt injection. Furthermore, Atlas was limited to Apple Silicon Macs, failing to release promised Windows, iOS, and Android versions. This, coupled with the high switching cost for users entrenched in Chrome or Edge's ecosystems, hindered its adoption. By mid-2026, updates slowed, and OpenAI announced its shutdown, opting to integrate Atlas's AI explorations into the ChatGPT desktop app and browser extensions instead. The article contrasts two AI browser development paths: standalone products like Atlas, Perplexity's Comet, and Dia, which redesign the browser around AI but face user migration barriers; and the approach of incumbents like Chrome and Edge, which add AI features atop existing, widely-used platforms. The key question remains whether users need a completely new "AI browser" or simply AI capabilities within their current browser. While Atlas's experiment ended, the broader trend of AI integration into browsing continues.

marsbit24 хв тому

RIP: Atlas, Which Lived Only 292 Days

marsbit24 хв тому

Bitcoin's "Anti-Spam" Update Failed, Lasting Less Than a Day

A Bitcoin update proposal aimed at curbing spam by temporarily banning non-financial data from being stored on the network, BIP-110, has failed decisively. After months of debate, developers attempted to launch a separate blockchain, which collapsed within a day. The failure stemmed from a critical lack of miner support, with less than 1% signaling approval for the update. The vast majority of miners chose to continue mining the main Bitcoin blockchain without providing explanations. Despite this, the initiative's developers proceeded to launch an alternative blockchain—a hard fork of Bitcoin—on August 8. This meant a small subset of miners stopped mining Bitcoin to support the new chain with BIP-110 changes. However, the new network inherited Bitcoin's mining difficulty. With only a tiny fraction of the total computational power, block times stretched to roughly 7 hours instead of the standard 10 minutes, rendering the network practically non-functional. Michael Saylor, founder of major corporate Bitcoin holder MicroStrategy and a vocal opponent of BIP-110, commented: "Bitcoin worked exactly as designed. The BIP-110 fork occurred, and network participants were free to choose which chain to follow. As a result, about 99.85% of the network's hash power remained with Bitcoin." The event had no significant impact on Bitcoin's price, which traded in a narrow range between approximately $64.5k and $65.5k from August 7 through August 10.

cryptonews.ru30 хв тому

Bitcoin's "Anti-Spam" Update Failed, Lasting Less Than a Day

cryptonews.ru30 хв тому

Торгівля

Спот
活动图片