做两手准备：二探 or V反都在反弹但还是sol赚钱 sats、zec、not将有大涨幅？

金色财经Опубліковано о 2024-08-07Востаннє оновлено о 2024-08-07

考虑到机构方面的方向还不明确，现在不能说市场已经出现逆转趋势。昨天到今天的反弹可能还是阶段性的，想要走出泥潭还需要时间。

这次黑天鹅事件，若在本周没有站稳，近阶段很可能还有下探5万以下的机会。

假如又有插针，那就越跌越买，观点不变。

扑朔迷离的市场行情

1. 关于紧急降息：美联储“传声筒”：紧急降息的门槛非常高，美联储9月将辩论是否降息50个基点

2. 关于中东局势：白宫方面凌晨表示，不认为伊朗或真主党对以色列的回应行动已经开始

3. 关于美国衰退：GDPNow模型预计美国第三季度GDP增速为2.9%，此前预计为2.5%。高盛CEO所罗门：近期股市的调整可能是健康的。美联储将放弃紧急降息，预计美国不会出现经济衰退

4. 关于日本经济：日本央行副行长内田真一表示，如果金融市场不稳定，日本央行不会提高政策利率

以上都是近期市场关注的热点事件，今天简单做一个汇总，目前来看危机或者利空基本上消除，从市场角度来讲，需要时间的修复

做好两手准备

昨天群里一个朋友反馈前天在底部割肉了，真的没必要啊，真的割在最低点，吃肉没吃上，挨打每次都跑不了。

看了大多数KOl分析基本都是看二探底。但一直不敢接货，如果行情直接v反，不来二探，你又如何应对？到时低位筹码没有，高位又去追高了。前两次都是行情触底，直接v反了，所以我觉得不管怎样二探和V反的策略都做好吧，我只能说接下来敢跌就敢买

为什么很多人在等 BTC 二探没等到就直接继续上涨了？

8月5号的跌幅实际是把日股熔断+美国衰退预期+Jump暴雷等各种利空因素一次性计价的结果，才会让BTC一次性跌破5万，并且在美股开盘后又回踩了一次5万，直到制造业数据公布减缓了市场对经济衰退的担忧。

8月6号美股收盘价格并没有出现大幅下跌，早上日股向上熔断，一觉醒来世界都得救了。发现危机并没有爆发，也远没有大家所预期的那样悲观。

美联储和日本央行都很聪明，金融市场里最关键的还是信心，信心恢复了，风险资产不再疯狂抛售，也就不会触发循环爆仓，但实际风险还没有解除，不过已经留了足够的空间和时间解决，至少目前不会发展成大雷。

这次btc正在迅速收复失地，很快就会到强压位 58000-60000这个区间。目前来看价格60000，价格到了，就不建议再加大仓位了，边走边看。

从50000开始算到60000是20%的涨幅，可能走相似的路径，到强压位大概率也会验证回踩。

今日btc 5700 eth 2500 sol 152 算下来还是sol赚钱并且生态内的币种 wif jup这些跟涨幅度也不错

$SATS

看这个形态又想搞事情，埋了点现货舱位上方看到28-30附近

$ZEC

这货跌了跟没跌一样，大盘别崩有机会从底部走出来。

$NOT

随着比特币反弹，价格飙升 30%，引发潜在的双底形态，暗示即将出现上升趋势

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Ласкаво просимо до спільноти HTX. Тут ви можете бути в курсі останніх подій розвитку платформи та отримати доступ до професійної ринкової інформації. Нижче представлені думки користувачів щодо ціни ZEC (ZEC).

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