AVAX’s short-term relief rally is a hidden sell signal – Here’s why
Avalanche (AVAX) has seen a 5.95% price rally in the past 24 hours, standing out among major cryptocurrencies. However, analysis suggests this short-term relief may be a hidden sell signal. Key concerns include a nearly 8% drop in daily trading volume and only a modest 3.3% increase in Open Interest, indicating weak spot buying and speculative interest.
Technically, AVAX broke a key support level from February, reaching a low of $5.68 in early June. The current bounce is approaching the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level at $6.83, a local resistance zone. The overall structure on higher timeframes remains bearish.
The article advises traders to wait, as the current bounce lacks conviction and presents a poor risk-to-reward ratio. Swing traders are recommended to watch for a larger potential bounce toward resistance levels at $8.11, $8.69, or $9.51 to consider selling. The $6.8-$7.0 area is identified as a local supply zone and a potential sell area, though sellers should be prepared to cut losses if the price moves higher than expected. The conclusion is that AVAX's short-term strength appears fragile and may not last.
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