山寨币「简易模式」终结,如何在饱和市场中找到方向?

Odaily星球日报Опубліковано о 2024-05-29Востаннє оновлено о 2024-05-29

Анотація

尽管市场迅速饱和,但对于聪明且努力工作的人来说,机会仍然存在。

原文作者:Crypto, Distilled

原文编译:深潮 TechFlow

山寨的饱和程度已经突破天际。但到底有多严重呢?我阅读了 CoinGecko 的最新报告来寻找答案。“在充满机会的海洋中,投资者渴望获得高收益。

山寨币「简易模式」终结,如何在饱和市场中找到方向?

有多少种加密货币?

2024 年,已有超过 250 万个加密货币,比 2021 年的 44 万个增长了 5.7 倍。到 2022 年底,这一数字达到了 115 万个,同比增长了 159.2% ;到 2023 年底,这一数字进一步增至 198 万个,同比增长了 72.3% 。

山寨币「简易模式」终结,如何在饱和市场中找到方向?

新代币的数量:

截至 2024 年 4 月初,已有超过 54 万个新代币被创建,平均每天创建 5300 个。从 2023 年开始,这一比率已经超过了 830, 000 个新代币的一半。

山寨币「简易模式」终结,如何在饱和市场中找到方向?

Meme 币季节效应:

2023 年 5 月创下了 104 k 代币发行的记录,但 2024 年 3 月以 196 k 创下了新高。

这些激增突显了 Meme 市场的活跃程度,在这个市场中,主题性和衍生性的代币迅速涌现。

山寨币「简易模式」终结,如何在饱和市场中找到方向?

是什么推动了这种饱和度?

GCR 认为一个潜在的原因是模仿成功的项目。在这个快速发展的行业中,成功会催生模仿,从而导致大量衍生品被迅速创造出来,追逐更高的回报。

山寨币「简易模式」终结,如何在饱和市场中找到方向?

如何在饱和市场中找到方向?

随着饱和度的上升,筛选山寨币变得至关重要。每周,在纷繁复杂的市场中找到优质项目变得越来越困难。

@0x_Kun 提出了 5 个标准:

  • 宏大的叙事

  • 增加用户群

  • 强大的社区

  • 低单位偏见

  • 明确的价值

不要过于执着于持有的代币

赢得选择并不保证成功。许多人因过于执着于持有的代币而损失收益。在 2020-2021 年期间,上市的 1.1 万个代币中有 70% 失败了。类似地,在 2017-2018 年期间, 3000 多个代币中有 70% 失败了。

山寨币「简易模式」终结,如何在饱和市场中找到方向?

最后的思考

尽管市场迅速饱和,但对于聪明且努力工作的人来说,机会仍然存在。

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The Full Story of How Crypto Unicorn Blockstream Is Mired in Serious Fraud Allegations

This article details serious allegations of fraud against Bitcoin infrastructure company Blockstream, founded by Bitcoin pioneer Adam Back. In June 2024, investigative account NatInfoSec published a report accusing Blockstream's mining note (BMN) program of potentially operating a multi-billion dollar scheme with Ponzi-like characteristics. The core allegations focus on Blockstream Mining Notes (BMNs), which offer investors fixed annual yields up to approximately 20% from Bitcoin mining. NatInfoSec's investigation raises several key issues: 1. **Suspicious Hashrate & Payout Capacity**: The analysis suggests Blockstream would need 20-45 EH/s of mining power to cover its BMN obligations, but its public dashboard shows only around 15 EH/s. Furthermore, no verifiable public evidence (e.g., grid connection records, import data) was found to support the massive mining operation required. 2. **Questionable Payout Source**: The BMN contract allows Blockstream to use Bitcoin from *any source* (Substitute Performance BTC) to fulfill investor payouts, raising concerns that payouts may not come from actual mining revenue. 3. **High-Risk, Fixed Returns**: Offering ~20% fixed yields in the volatile, cyclical Bitcoin mining industry is viewed as highly unusual and requires clear explanation. 4. **Undisclosed Criminal Record of Key Figure**: Christopher William Cook, a key figure in Blockstream's mining operations and CEO of spin-off Exacore, was found to have a federal felony conviction for mail fraud in 2008, a fact not disclosed in BMN offering documents. His background was also allegedly embellished. 5. **Potential Contagion to BSTR SPAC**: Questions were raised about whether these liabilities and Cook's record should have been disclosed in the SEC filings for Bitcoin Standard Treasury Company (BSTR), a separate Adam Back-associated firm planning a SPAC merger. The crypto community is divided. BitMEX Research validated Cook's criminal record and expressed concern over the high yields but found other evidence lacking or misleading, noting the legal separation between BMN, Blockstream, and BSTR. Blockstream defenders, like Samson Mow, argue the mining is real. Critics, however, emphasize the lack of independent, verifiable proof of the mining operation's scale and the true source of investor payouts. The article concludes that BMN remains shrouded in key unanswered questions regarding its actual size, the verifiability of its underlying mining assets and payouts, the source of its high yields, and the full role and disclosure concerning Chris Cook. Blockstream had not issued a comprehensive response at the time of writing.

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The Full Story of How Crypto Unicorn Blockstream Is Mired in Serious Fraud Allegations

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