SignalPlus宏观分析(20240423)：美股市场静待企业财报数据

Odaily星球日报Опубліковано о 2024-04-23Востаннє оновлено о 2024-04-23

Анотація

地缘政治局势并未在周末进一步升级，同时超卖部位带来风险反弹，昨天风险市场全面上涨。在加密货币方面，基于 CME 的期货合约，JPM 认为 BTC 部位同样过重，同时 ETF 已连续两周出现资金流出（尽管规模较小）。

地缘政治局势并未在周末进一步升级，同时超卖部位带来风险反弹，昨天风险市场全面上涨。在周五的 PCE 数据、 8 天后的 FOMC 会议以及 SPX 本季度最繁忙的财报周之前，固定收益投资者似乎选择保持观望态度，尽管价格走势积极，交易活动仍较为清淡，固定收益交易量仅为正常水平的 60-70% 。44% 的 SPX 企业将于本周公布财报，其中包括 “Magnificent 7 ” 中的 5 家，Tesla 将于周二公布，Meta 周三，而 MSFT、Google 以及 Amazon 则安排在周四。

SignalPlus宏观分析(20240423)：美股市场静待企业财报数据

随著上周债券出现抛售，股票相对于固定收益持续处于相当昂贵的历史高点（基于隐含收益率），尽管如此，华尔街认为投资者仍对做多感到安心，多头头寸指标将达到 4 年来的高点，而 SPX / Nasdaq 的做空比率将达到近 10 年来的低点。

SignalPlus宏观分析(20240423)：美股市场静待企业财报数据

然而，上周的负面价格走势仍对股票造成了一定的技术面损害，SPX 期货已经跌破 55 日移动均线，距离下一个 200 日均线支撑位还有 5% 以上。从周线来看，慢速随机指标已经转负并加速下行，同时 SPX 月 K 线也有可能在创纪录的高点形成一个看跌的外包月线，在财报季期间要多加注意。

SignalPlus宏观分析(20240423)：美股市场静待企业财报数据

在加密货币方面，基于 CME 的期货合约，JPM 认为 BTC 部位同样过重，同时 ETF 已连续两周出现资金流出（尽管规模较小），主流动能明显减弱。周一资金流入小幅反弹至 + 6, 200 万美元，但对市场没有影响，我们会持续密切关注市场动向。

SignalPlus宏观分析(20240423)：美股市场静待企业财报数据

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