2025: The Great Historical Shift of Web3

marsbitОпубліковано о 2025-12-30Востаннє оновлено о 2025-12-30

Анотація

By 2025, Web3 has transitioned from an infrastructure-focused era to an application-driven one, marking the end of its "adolescence." Key enablers include significantly improved blockchain performance (3400+ TPS), near-zero transaction costs, and clearer regulatory frameworks in regions like the U.S. and Hong Kong. This shift allows real economic value to move from network layers to applications, with three core use cases emerging: 1) **Assets**: Stablecoins, RWA, and on-chain payments form the largest adoption gateway, enabling fast global settlements and real-yield distribution. 2) **Markets**: Platforms like Hyperliquid and Solana now drive 53% of transactional volume, fueling liquidity and infrastructure optimization. 3) **Compute & Coordination**: Blockchain empowers AI through decentralized computation, model verification, and data traceability, positioning crypto as an AI coordination layer. Industry experts (a16z, IOSG, 1kx) confirm that constraints have lifted, allowing product value and real-world business models to take center stage. The application era of Web3 has begun.

Author: K,Researcher at Web3Caff Research

Cover: Photo by Motion Lady on Unsplash

In 2025, the entire industry has finally crossed a watershed moment that no one can pretend not to see: from a decade dominated by infrastructure to a decade driven by applications. You can understand this as the "end of adolescence" for Web3—the era of rapid growth, rebellion, competing forcomputing power, competing for TPS, competing for cross-chain, and competing for ZK has passed; the products that can truly make ordinary users willing to pay, stay, and participate are just beginning.

This shift is not just rhetoric; the underlying conditions have truly matured for the first time. a16z made this clear in "State of Crypto 2025": the processing capacity of mainstream chains has increased from "a few TPS" a few years ago to 3400+ TPS today, with fees dropping from twenty dollars to a few cents or even less than a penny. [1] In other words, the chain is no longer the bottleneck, technology no longer a barrier for entrepreneurs, and it no longer blocks users. In other words, the infrastructure of the public chain era is sufficiently mature, and the next decade is truly worth investing in application implementation, public goods, open source tools, and structured financing.

One of the important backgrounds supporting the industry's gradual entry into the application exploration phase is the relative clarity of the policy environment at a certain stage. For example, as the United States and Hong Kong, China, gradually form clearer policy paths on key issues such as crypto asset regulation, stablecoin frameworks, and compliant custody, institutions, developers, and infrastructure providers have begun to reassess the long-term feasibility of blockchain applications. This clarity does not come from a single policy shift but is reflected in a series of institutional discussions, regulatory practices, and legislative processes, reaching a stage of consensus on "the space for innovation under compliant conditions." In such an environment, capital allocation rhythms have begun to warm up, and basic modules such as compliant stablecoins, payment rails, custody, and clearing are gradually meeting the conditions for large-scale implementation, also providing realistic soil for richer application forms.

The author specifically reminds: Stablecoins are virtual currencies (Tokens), and please be aware that issuing and participating in the investment of Tokens has different and often stringent regulatory requirements and restrictions in different countries and regions. Especially in Mainland China, issuing Tokens may constitute "illegal securities issuance," and providing Token trading matching and other cryptocurrency-related trading activities also fall under "illegal financial activities" (Readers from Mainland China are strongly advised to read "Summary and Key Points of Laws and Regulations Related to Blockchain and Virtual Currency in Mainland China"). Therefore, please do not use this information for related decision-making, and please strictly comply with the laws and regulations of your country and region, and do not participate in any illegal financial activities.

When the policy environment no longer constitutes a major source of uncertainty and the performance constraints of infrastructure continue to decrease, changes within the industry also become apparent, and the real change occurs: revenue begins to shift from the network layer to the application layer. a16z clearly marked this trend with the concept of "Real Economic Value"—measuring the success of a chain no longer depends on its ecosystem story but on whether users are willing to engage in real economic activities on it. [1]

Against this background, we finally see the three core uses of the Web3 industry in 2025 fully blossoming (Editor's note: Blockchain technology has a wide range of applications and can be applied to many real-world fields, with the core being to solve trust, collaboration, and rights confirmation issues, mainly including: finance and payment (cross-border settlement, clearing and settlement), assets and property rights (real estate, equity, intellectual property rights confirmation and transfer), supply chain and manufacturing (traceability, anti-counterfeiting, process transparency), government and public services (electronic certificates, data sharing, voting), healthcare and education (trusted storage of medical records and academic qualifications), content and cultural creation (copyright registration, revenue sharing), and energy and Internet of Things (device collaboration, carbon data and energy trading). Therefore, the purpose of this report is only to analyze representative cases in the Web3 industry under the market changes of 2025 and is not comprehensive.):

  • First, as assets. Stablecoins, DAT, RWA, on-chain payments, and other "real asset layers" are becoming the largest entry points for规模化应用 (Adoption). Stablecoins form the world's fastest dollar clearing network, on-chain payments are being reinvented, and RWA introduces traditional yields into the blockchain, making the chain a layer for "distributing real yields";

  • Second, as markets. Hyperliquid and Solana now account for 53% of the全网收入性交易量 (revenue-generating transaction volume across the network), indicating that high-frequency trading, contracts, and prediction markets are becoming new economic engines. Price discovery markets are not by-products but core forces driving liquidity, promoting infrastructure optimization, and cultivating user culture;

  • Third, as a computation and coordination network. Blockchain is finally beginning to empower AI, rather than waiting for AI to empower Web3. From verifying computations, model ownership, data traceability to decentralized inference networks, on-chain assets are taking shape as an "AI coordination layer." Previously, we discussed "what the chain can do"; now we discuss "what AI can do on the chain."

This also explains why Jiawei Zhu of IOSG said: "The glorious era of infrastructure is over, and we have undoubtedly entered the application era." [2] Peter Pan of 1kx also gave the same judgment: the application layer investment cycle was immature in the past seven years, but the next seven years will be completely different because, against the backdrop of continuously improving technical capabilities and gradually clarifying regulatory environments, the external constraints facing application innovation are significantly easing. [3]

So the key in 2025 is not "whether applications will come," but "applications finally have the soil to be born." The chains are fast enough, the fees are low enough, regulations have been loosened, and users' attention has returned. The past decade was preparation for today; the next decade will be the era when various real business models truly run on the chain. Infrastructure will not disappear, but it will no longer be the narrative center; from now on, everything must return to the product value itself.

The application era of Web3 is not coming; it has already begun.

This content is excerpted from the research report published by Web3Caff Research: "Web3 2025 Annual 40,000-Word Report (Part 1): Facing the Historical Convergence of Finance × Computing × Internet Order, Is the Great Industry Shift About to Begin? A Panoramic Analysis of Its Structural Changes, Value Potential, Risk Boundaries, and Future Prospects"

This research report (now open for free reading) was written by Web3Caff Research researcher K, systematically梳理 (sorting out) the core logic of the development stage changes of Web3 in 2025, focusing on discussing why application exploration and system collaboration are gradually becoming new focuses against the backdrop of the continuous evolution of底层 (underlying) and regulatory capabilities. The key points include:

  1. Background of Stage Evolution: The internal reasons for the change in industry focus after the completion of infrastructure construction;

  2. Key Mechanism Changes: The impact of gradually clearer rule frameworks and on-chain mechanisms on system operation methods;

  3. Main Application Directions: Exploration paths围绕 (centered around) payment settlement, real-world scenario mapping, and programmable collaboration;

  4. Future Development Directions: Discussing the evolution trend of Web3 in 2026 and beyond.

Пов'язані питання

QWhat major shift is the Web3 industry experiencing in 2025 according to the article?

AThe industry is shifting from an infrastructure-dominated era to an application-driven era, marking the end of its 'adolescence' where the focus was on raw performance like computing power and TPS.

QWhat key reason does a16z's 'State of Crypto 2025' report give for this shift being possible?

AMainstream blockchains have significantly improved, with processing capacity increasing from a few TPS to over 3400 TPS, and transaction fees dropping from dollars to fractions of a cent, removing technical barriers for builders and users.

QWhat are the three core uses of Web3 that are now fully blossoming in 2025?

A1. As an asset layer (stablecoins, DAT, RWA, on-chain payments). 2. As a market (high-frequency trading, contracts, prediction markets). 3. As a computation and coordination network (empowering AI with verification, model ownership, data traceability).

QHow has the policy environment contributed to this new phase of Web3 development?

APolicies in regions like the US and Hong Kong have provided clearer regulatory paths for crypto assets, stablecoins, and compliant custody, creating a consensus on 'innovation within compliance' and reducing uncertainty for institutions and developers.

QWhat is the new primary measure of a blockchain's success, as indicated by the concept of 'Real Economic Value'?

ASuccess is no longer measured by its ecosystem narrative, but by whether users are willing to engage in real economic activities on it, signifying a move of revenue from the network layer to the application layer.

Пов'язані матеріали

The Value Distribution of Stablecoins

**Summary: The Value Distribution of Stablecoins** The article argues that stablecoins are evolving from mere trading tools into broader channels for dollar access. It divides the stablecoin ecosystem into four layers to analyze how value is distributed: 1. **Issuance Layer:** Mints stablecoins, holds reserve assets, and captures the spread between reserve yield and user costs (e.g., Tether, Circle). This layer currently earns the largest profit margin. 2. **Infrastructure Layer:** Connects stablecoins to the traditional financial system, handling fiat on/off-ramps, banking integration, compliance (KYC/AML), and asset management (e.g., Bridge, BVNK). This is the "unglamorous" but critical work, building the essential bridges between crypto and real-world finance. 3. **Acquiring/Distribution Layer:** Integrates stablecoins into merchant systems, manages payment flows, and provides enterprise financial software (e.g., Stripe, Coinbase). They act as the access point for businesses. 4. **Application Layer:** The end-users and businesses that ultimately use stablecoins for payments, settlements, or as a store of value. They benefit from convenience but have little pricing power. The core thesis is that while the issuance layer currently dominates profits, the often-overlooked **infrastructure layer holds significant long-term potential**. The real challenge and barrier to mass adoption is not the on-chain transfer of stablecoins (which is simple), but the complex "last mile" integration into existing business workflows, banking systems, and regulatory frameworks across different countries. Companies in this layer are currently in a "land grab" phase, investing heavily to build networks, secure bank partnerships, and establish compliance pathways. While their position is currently pressured by the profitable issuers above and distribution platforms below, the article suggests that if stablecoins become a default financial rail for businesses, the infrastructure providers who have done the hard work of integration will ultimately gain strong pricing power and become entrenched, essential players.

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The Value Distribution of Stablecoins

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The Value Distribution of Stablecoins

The Value Distribution of Stablecoins The article argues that stablecoins are evolving from a mere trading tool into a broad "dollar channel." It analyzes the industry's value chain through four layers: 1. **Issuance Layer (e.g., Tether, Circle):** The top layer that mints stablecoins, holds reserve assets, and captures the thickest interest rate spread. 2. **Infrastructure Layer (e.g., Bridge, BVNK):** Connects stablecoins to the traditional financial system, handling critical but complex "dirty work" like fiat on/off-ramps, banking integration, compliance (KYC/AML), and cross-border settlement. 3. **Acquiring/Distribution Layer (e.g., Stripe, Coinbase):** Embeds stablecoins into merchant systems, manages payment flows, and integrates with enterprise software. 4. **Application Layer:** End-users and businesses that ultimately use stablecoins for payments, settlement, or storing value. The author posits that while the issuance layer currently captures the most profit, the most overlooked and potentially critical layer is infrastructure. The core challenge for stablecoin adoption isn't the on-chain transfer (which is simple), but bridging the gap between blockchain and the real-world financial system. This involves solving practical problems for businesses: fiat conversion, reconciliation, tax handling, and user onboarding. Infrastructure companies are currently in a difficult "land-grab" phase—building networks, securing banking relationships, and achieving compliance country-by-country. They face pressure from both the profitable issuance layer above and distribution platforms below. However, the author suggests this layer is building a crucial moat. Once stablecoins become a default business rail, the infrastructure players who have done the hard work of integration may gain significant, durable value and pricing power.

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