星球日报 | Starknet:StarkGate 2.0已上线主网;标普:现货以太坊ETF可能增加以太坊的集中风险(2月23日)

Odaily星球日报Опубліковано о 2024-02-23Востаннє оновлено о 2024-02-23

Анотація

Polygon与StarkWare合作推出ZK重大技术升级“Circle STARK”。

星球日报 | Starknet:StarkGate 2.0已上线主网;标普:现货以太坊ETF可能增加以太坊的集中风险(2月23日)

头条

Starknet:StarkGate 2.0 已上线主网

据官方消息,Starknet 宣布 StarkGate 2.0 主网已上线,现已支持一键提款、提款限额、以及快速提款等功能,此外还提供了免许可桥接和智能存款服务。

标普:现货以太坊 ETF 可能增加以太坊的集中风险

根据标普全球评级的分析,美国批准提议中的以太坊交易所交易基金,这些基金计划纳入质押,可能会增加以太坊的集中风险。
标普分析师 Andrew O'Neill 和 Alexandre Birry 在周二发布的报告中表示:“纳入质押的美国现货以太坊 ETF 可能会变得足够大,以至于能够改变以太坊网络中验证者的集中度,无论是好是坏。因此,理解 ETF 发行人的选择如何驱动集中风险至关重要。”
分析师预测,美国证券交易委员会将最早在今年 5 月批准现货以太坊 ETF——这是批准此类基金的第一个截止日期。包括贝莱德和富达等巨头在内的几家公司已经申请了现货以太坊 ETF。其中一些申请者,尤其是 Ark Invest 和 Franklin Templeton,还旨在通过质押底层以太坊来产生额外收益。

Polygon 与 StarkWare 合作推出 ZK 重大技术升级“Circle STARK”

Polygon 与 StarkWare 联手推出了“Circle STARKs”,这是对当前零知识证明(ZK)的重大技术升级。

行业要闻

美联储会议纪要:政策利率或已达到本周期峰值,多数官员注意到过快降息的风险

美联储会议纪要显示,美联储官员表示,需求可能比(此前)评估的更强,政策利率可能已达到本周期峰值。多数官员注意到过快降息的风险。一些官员看到了通胀进展可能停滞的风险。

DCG 反对子公司 Genesis 与纽约总检察长办公室提出的和解方案

Digital Currency Group(DCG)反对子公司 Genesis 与纽约总检察长办公室提出的和解方案。Genesis Global 本月早些时候与总检察长办公室达成一项协议,以解决对其欺骗投资者的指控,但其母公司 DCG 声称这不是一个适当的和解方案。
DCG 在向纽约南区美国破产法院提交的反对书中辩称,Genesis“不能打着‘和解’的幌子,从低级债权人那里获取价值,并将其重新分配给优先债权人,从而违反了绝对优先权。”
前总检察长办公室联席首席副手、纽约前高级联邦检察官 Jason Brown 支持 DCG 的反对行动,他在法庭文件中声称和解的细节可能没有得到妥善处理。

项目要闻

MATIC 完成代币解锁转移,进入全流通状态

据链上分析师余烬监测, 11 小时前, 2.73 亿枚 MATIC (约合 2.53 亿美元)从 Matic 归属合约转入 Matic 基金会地址。这是 Matic 的最后一笔代币解锁转移,自此 MATIC 进入全流通状态。

Rekt Fencer:Lava Network 将在 2024 年Q1面向测试网用户空投

加密研究院 Rekt Fencer 在 X 平台发文表示,模块化区块链基础设施开发商 Lava Network 确认在 2024 年第一季度为测试网用户空投 LAVA 代币。

ETF 相关

比特币现货 ETF 昨日总净流出 3566 万美元,为 1 月 25 日以来首次净流出

根据 SoSoValue 数据,昨日(美东时间 2 月 21 日)比特币现货 ETF 总净流出 3566 万美元,继 17 个交易日均为净流入后,本日为自 1 月 25 日以来比特币现货 ETF 首次出现单日净流出。昨日灰度(Grayscale)ETF GBTC 单日净流出 1.99 亿美元。昨日单日净流入最多的比特币现货 ETF 为贝莱德(BlackRock)ETF IBIT,单日净流入为 9652 万美元,已连续 4 个交易日净流入持续减少,目前 IBIT 历史总净流入已达 56.2 亿美元。其次为富达(Fidelity)ETF FBTC,单日净流入约为 7174 万美元,目前 FBTC 历史总净流入达 39 亿美元。截止发稿前,比特币现货 ETF 总资产净值为 371.3 亿美元,ETF 净资产比率(市值较比特币总市值占比)达 3.71% ,历史累计净流入已达 51.4 亿美元。

人物*声音

Vitalik:不应过分简化L1,可为其添加一些复杂功能以减少L2的压力

Vitalik Buterin 在 X 平台发文表示:“与五年前相比,我现在对‘即使牺牲更复杂的 L2 也要简化 L1’这一概念的信心减少至此前的 1/3 。在 L1 Bug 风险和 L2 Bug 风险之间的权衡需要重新考量。如果 L1 出现共识故障,尽管核心开发人员可能需要忙碌一天来修复,但最终系统可恢复正常。相比之下,L2 发生故障时,用户可能会面临永久性的大额资金损失。因此,值得为 L1 添加一些复杂功能,以减少 L2 的代码负担,并使其变得相对简单。”

Arthur Hayes:加密市场中叙事往往比技术更重要,正在关注 Axelar 等山寨币

BitMEX 联合创始人 Arthur Hayes 发文表示,加密市场中叙事的重要性往往要超过技术本身,因为投资者通常依赖于他人的评价和故事的传播度来决定投资。
Arthur Hayes 表示,自己作为 Maelstrom 首席投资官,实际上更像是“首席叙事官”,工作内容是讲述和传播那些能够引起广泛讨论的故事,以期在加密市场中获得成功。故事越好、越简洁,传播速度就越快。故事传播得越广泛,与该故事相关的代币价值就会增长。
此外,Arthur Hayes 表示,美国比特币现货 ETF 以及有望推出的以太坊现货 ETF 将推高这两种资产的价格,自己已经持有比特币和以太坊,有可能会买入更多,但总体上正在将注意力转移到山寨币。
他打算在未来几个月详细讲述的项目包括:dYdX、GMX、Pendle、Krav、Elixir、Flare、Ethena 和 Axelar。

Пов'язані матеріали

Research Report Analysis: The Fed's New Chair's Debut – New Leader, But Same Script?

Report Analysis: Federal Reserve's New Chair Debut – A New Captain, But the Same Script? Morgan Stanley's chief global economist Seth B. Carpenter analyzes the first FOMC meeting under new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh in a June 21 report. Warsh deliberately avoided providing forward guidance on interest rates, aligning with his philosophy. However, market expectations for a rate hike this year were reinforced. Key signals lie elsewhere: inflation may fall more than expected, and quantitative tightening (QT) could be more aggressive than anticipated. The FOMC's "dot plot" suggests only one rate hike in 2026. Carpenter argues that if inflation undershoots forecasts, the logic for even a single hike weakens, especially as projections indicate potential rate cuts in 2027. On QT, Warsh's stance is clear. Carpenter notes that measures like halving the Treasury's account balance could shrink the Fed's balance sheet by around $500 billion with minimal market impact. Combined with adjustments to reserve interest and liquidity rules, the ultimate QT scale may exceed expectations, though its market effect might be less disruptive unless the Fed actively sells Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS). While Warsh initiated a review of the Fed's policy framework, the 2% inflation target remains intact for now. The report concludes that the market may be overestimating the significance of reduced forward guidance and the near-term rate hike risk, while potentially underestimating the scope and manageable nature of the coming balance sheet reduction. The key debates will hinge on upcoming core PCE data, the specifics of the QT path, and the framework review's findings.

marsbit8 хв тому

Research Report Analysis: The Fed's New Chair's Debut – New Leader, But Same Script?

marsbit8 хв тому

Critical Game Week: BTC Retracement Confirmation vs. HYPE Support Battle | Guest Analysis

This weekly analysis outlines a critical juncture for BTC and HYPE markets, focusing on key price level confirmations. **BTC Analysis:** BTC is at a pivotal point after a five-wave rally from the June 5th low of $59,100. The price has broken below a short-term rising channel's lower boundary, with the current move seen as a pullback to test this breakdown. Failure to reclaim this level could lead to a retest of the $59,000-$60,000 support zone. The core scenario hinges on this channel retest outcome. * **Key Levels:** Resistance at $64,500-$65,000 (channel boundary) and $69,500-$70,500. Support at $59,000-$60,000 and $55,000. * **Strategy:** A core bearish stance is maintained (20% short from last week), with short-term plans for tactical trades. Three detailed contingency plans (A/B/C) are provided for short positions on resistance tests or breakdowns, emphasizing strict stop-loss discipline. **HYPE Analysis:** HYPE shows strong momentum but is currently in a corrective phase after hitting a new high of $76.94. The price is retesting the crucial $64-$66 support area. * **Key Levels:** Resistance near $77 and $80-$82. Support at $64-$66 and $52-$54. * **Strategy:** The short-term approach is "buy on dips, avoid chasing rallies." A long position is considered only if clear stabilization signals appear at the $64-$66 or deeper $52-$54 support zones, with tight risk controls. **General Risk Management:** A standardized trailing stop-loss protocol is emphasized: set initial stop, breakeven at +1% profit, then trail stops upward to lock in gains. *Disclaimer: All analysis is presented as a personal trading framework, not investment advice. Market conditions are complex and require dynamic adjustment.*

marsbit21 хв тому

Critical Game Week: BTC Retracement Confirmation vs. HYPE Support Battle | Guest Analysis

marsbit21 хв тому

Research Report Interpretation: Citi Attends AWS Summit, Bullish on Cloud Business Acceleration but Data Governance Remains Key Variable

Citi analyst Tyler Radke's team attended the AWS New York Summit (June 17-18), engaging with over 10 clients and partners. In a June 19 report, they highlighted the summit's focus on scaling agent AI for enterprise deployment. Citi maintains a "Buy" rating on Amazon, forecasting AWS revenue growth to accelerate to 37% in FY27 from 30% in FY26, noting this estimate may be conservative. Key takeaways: 1. **AWS Strategy Shift:** AWS is moving from proof-of-concepts to scalable deployment. New offerings like AWS Context (building enterprise knowledge graphs), Amazon Quick (cross-application AI assistant), and security tool Continuum address core enterprise pain points for AI adoption. 2. **Data Infrastructure Beneficiaries:** Data infrastructure companies like Snowflake, Elastic, Oracle, and ClickHouse are seen as direct beneficiaries of scaling AI workloads, as evidenced by strong growth and use cases presented. 3. **Critical Role of Data Governance:** As AI agents scale from hundreds to thousands, effective data governance becomes the key variable for deploying AI in core business processes. AWS Context represents AWS's strategic extension from providing compute/models to offering a data governance infrastructure layer. The report emphasizes that without solving data governance, AI will remain confined to pilot projects. The investment thesis focuses on AWS revenue acceleration and data infrastructure vendors' growth, while monitoring signals like AWS's quarterly revenue growth, Bedrock AgentCore task volume, and pricing impacts on companies like Elastic.

marsbit27 хв тому

Research Report Interpretation: Citi Attends AWS Summit, Bullish on Cloud Business Acceleration but Data Governance Remains Key Variable

marsbit27 хв тому

Crucial Week of Contention: BTC Tests Support and HYPE's Key Level Battle | Special Analysis

**Market Enters Critical Week: Bitcoin Pullback Test and HYPE Support Battle** The market enters a crucial phase of contention this week. The marginal shifts in Federal Reserve policy expectations continue to dictate the pricing rhythm for risk assets. Meanwhile, in the crypto market, following a period of sideways consolidation, the divergence between bulls and bears is becoming concentrated at key price levels. **Bitcoin (BTC) Analysis & Strategy** * **Technical View:** The 4-hour chart suggests BTC is in a five-wave structure since the June 5th low near $59,100. Price action shows a short-term rising channel. The recent drop below this channel's lower boundary is now being followed by a pullback attempt (wave 40-41). The outcome of this retest is critical. * **This Week's Outlook:** The core focus is whether BTC can reclaim and hold above the channel's lower boundary. * **Bullish Scenario:** A successful hold could lead to a continued rebound, potentially challenging the $69,500 - $70,500 resistance zone. * **Bearish Scenario:** Failure to hold may trigger a renewed test of the $59,000 - $60,000 core support area, with $55,000 as a deeper support level. * **Operational Strategy:** The author maintains a 20% mid-term short position initiated last week near $64,500, based on a model signaling a shift to a bearish structure. Short-term tactics involve using 30% capital for potential "spread" trades, with three contingency plans (A, B, C) outlined for reacting to resistance tests, breakouts, or support breakdowns. **HYPE Analysis & Strategy** * **Technical View:** On the 4-hour chart, HYPE shows strong momentum, having recently broken to a new high since January. The current pullback presents a clear three-wave correction structure, bringing the price back to the critical $64 - $66 support zone. * **This Week's Outlook:** The focus is on the battle for the $64 - $66 support area. * **Bullish Scenario:** Holding this support could signal a continuation of the uptrend from the June 10th low, leading to new highs. * **Bearish Scenario:** A breakdown could extend the correction, potentially testing the deeper $52 - $54 support band. * **Operational Strategy:** The recommended short-term approach is "buy on dips, avoid chasing rallies." A light long position (under 30% capital) could be considered if HYPE shows stabilization signals at the $64-$66 or $52-$54 support zones, confirmed by model signals. Strict stop-loss discipline is emphasized. **General Risk Management:** A strict trailing stop-loss protocol is advised: set an initial stop; move to breakeven at +1% profit; lock in profits progressively thereafter. *Disclaimer: All analysis is presented as the author's personal technical perspective and trading log, not as investment advice. Markets are complex and dynamic; risk control is paramount.*

Odaily星球日报28 хв тому

Crucial Week of Contention: BTC Tests Support and HYPE's Key Level Battle | Special Analysis

Odaily星球日报28 хв тому

AI Agents Also Need 'Credit Checks': ERC-8126 is Filling the Gap in On-chain Trust

The article discusses ERC-8126, a proposed standard designed to address the lack of trust and verification for AI Agents operating on-chain. While ERC-8004 provides AI Agents with a basic on-chain identity (answering "Who are you?"), it does not guarantee trustworthiness. ERC-8126 aims to fill this gap by establishing a verification layer (answering "Are you reliable?"). It standardizes how independent verification providers can assess an agent's associated risks across five key areas: Token/Contract Verification (ETV), Media Content Verification (MCV), Solidity Code Verification (SCV), Web Application Verification (WAV), and Wallet Verification (WV). These providers generate a standardized risk score (0-100) and proofs based on their checks, without acting as a single authoritative certifier. This allows wallets, marketplaces, dApps, and other agents to consume these risk signals—for example, to display warnings, filter listings, or make interaction decisions. The standard also incorporates concepts like Private Data Verification (PDV) and Zero-Knowledge Proofs (ZKP) to allow verification without exposing sensitive underlying data. Positioned alongside ERC-8004 (Identity) and ERC-8183 (Commerce for agents), ERC-8126 represents a step toward building a verifiable and accountable infrastructure for the emerging on-chain AI Agent economy, shifting trust assessment from purely user-based judgment to standardized, consumable signals.

marsbit46 хв тому

AI Agents Also Need 'Credit Checks': ERC-8126 is Filling the Gap in On-chain Trust

marsbit46 хв тому

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