SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240222)：ETH再度站上3000关口，IV接近60%

Odaily星球日报Опубліковано о 2024-02-22Востаннє оновлено о 2024-02-22

Анотація

ETH在经过昨日的回调后重新站上3000美元关口，整体隐含波动率在维持前端上翘的形态下继续上扬2～3%Vol，达到接近60%的水平，交易方面，8MAR 3100-3200附近的看涨期权被大量买入建仓，成为过去一日OI增长最明显的区间。

昨日（21 FEB）英伟达Q4财报在美股盘后新鲜出炉，财报显示，受益于 AI 芯片需求的大量增加，该公司第四季度的营收利润均同比暴涨超出了市场和分析师的预期，黄仁勋称生成式人工智能已经触及引爆点，英伟达股价在盘后上涨逾 10% 。另一方面，美联储新公布的纪要再度削弱了市场对提前降息的预期，美债收益率逐步走高，两年期/十年期现报 4.669% /4.306% ，三大股指涨跌互现，道指和标普收涨 0.13% ，纳指下跌-0.32% 。

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240222)：ETH再度站上3000关口，IV接近60%

Source: SignalPlus, Economic Calendar

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240222)：ETH再度站上3000关口，IV接近60%

Source: Binance & TradingView，ETH 在昨日回调后重新站上 3000 美元关口

数字货币方面，ETH 在经过昨日的回调后重新站上 3000 美元关口，整体隐含波动率在维持前端上翘的形态下继续上扬 2 ～ 3% Vol，达到接近 60% 的水平，交易方面， 8 MAR 3100-3200 附近的看涨期权被大量买入建仓，成为过去一日 OI 增长最明显的区间；同样是三月初，BTC 在 1 MAR/8 MAR 上也有大量期权被建仓买入，包括大宗平台上的 Long 8 MAR 24 52000 Straddle，还有期权链 48000-P 以及 56000-C 的大量买单，共同将 BTC 三月初的 IV 推高。

另一方面，明天即将迎来大规模的月末交割，过去 24 小时市场已经提前在 23 FEB 24 上做了平仓操作，提前释放了保证金，例如 BTC 54000-C/58000-C 的卖出止盈单，以及 ETH 2400-C 六千张的止损单。

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240222)：ETH再度站上3000关口，IV接近60%

Source: Deribit （截至 22 FEB 16: 00 UTC+ 8）

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240222)：ETH再度站上3000关口，IV接近60%

Source: SignalPlus，ETH IV 整体上涨 2 ～ 3% 左右

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240222)：ETH再度站上3000关口，IV接近60%

Data Source: Deribit，BTC 三月初的波动率受多头建仓影响走高

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240222)：ETH再度站上3000关口，IV接近60%

Data Source: Deribit，过去一日 ETH 8 MAR 24 的 OI 增长最为显著

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240222)：ETH再度站上3000关口，IV接近60%

Source: Deribit Block Trade

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240222)：ETH再度站上3000关口，IV接近60%

Source: Deribit Block Trade

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240222)：ETH再度站上3000关口，IV接近60%

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