Goldman Sachs Research Report Insights: Global Earnings Expansion Drives Stock Market Gains, AI Volatility Creates Opportunities in South Korea
Goldman Sachs' weekly report highlights that while global equities are rising on broadening earnings, AI-related volatility persists. The MSCI World Index gained 2.9% last week, led by the US. However, the Korean KOSPI fell 7.4% amid significant de-leveraging in AI trades, which Goldman believes may have peaked in intensity.
The firm's risk appetite indicator remains elevated. Global earnings revisions are improving, with Emerging Markets (EM) and Europe showing upward EPS revisions for 2026/2027, driven by Tech in Korea/Taiwan, and contributions from Financials, Industrials, and Energy. This provides broader fundamental support beyond a narrow AI focus.
Goldman identifies tactical opportunity in Korea following its sharp decline. While AI capex continues and memory supply remains tight, Korean valuations have corrected from highs, leveraged positions have unwound, and strategic appeal has re-emerged. The EM region overall trades at a discount to developed markets with accelerating fund inflows.
The report maintains a 12-month S&P 500 target of 8300 and sees ~26% upside for MSCI Asia ex-Japan. It concludes that market breadth is improving, and the AI de-leveraging has created selective opportunities, notably in Korea.
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