Bitcoin price dips below $38K as crypto sentiment nears 'extreme fear'

CointelegraphОпубліковано о 2022-02-20Востаннє оновлено о 2022-02-20

Анотація

It took a matter of days for Bitcoin to fall to two-week lows, but sentiment managed to fall much harder.

Bitcoin (BTC) saw its first dive below $38,000 in over two weeks on Feb. 20 as macro triggers rattled low-volume weekend markets.

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD losing ground Sunday, following threats of fresh sanctions on Russia over its alleged plans to invade neighboring Ukraine.
After a quiet Saturday, crypto began to move downhill after comments from United Kingdom Prime Minister Boris Johnson on financial blocks of Russian firms should the situation escalate.

These would be prohibited from "trading in pounds and dollars," the BBC reported Johnson as saying Sunday morning, alluding to support from United States President Joe Biden.

With crypto the only markets constantly open, the reaction to geopolitical fears in the region could foreshadow a greater knock-on effect next week as traditional markets open. Monday is a holiday on Wall Street.

Commenting on the situation, Mike McGlone, chief commodity strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence, additionally drew attention to the ongoing issue of inflation and its relationship to risk asset performance.

In line with previous comments, however, he suggested that ultimately, Bitcoin could profit from the sea of change in U.S. economic policy this year.

"Bitcoin indicating a rough week ahead - Inflation Unlikely to Drop Unless Risk Assets Do: Most assets are subject to the ebbing tide in 2022, on the inevitable reversion of the greatest inflation measures in four decades, but this year may mark another milestone for Bitcoin," he argued.

Among Bitcoin traders, short timeframes were now equally lackluster, with the loss of $40,000 weighing on sentiment.

BTC/USD saw lows of $37,974 on Bitstamp Sunday before rebounding to hold above the $38,000 mark.

Extreme fear rises from the dead

Others meanwhile continued to focus on the significance of $40,000 in Bitcoin's price history.

Since first cracking it in 2021, the level has acted as a springboard for bulls, and for popular Twitter acount Mayne, a recapture should indeed be their first move in order to secure upside.

"Over the last year $40k has been a very critical level for BTC. Each time price broke below and then reclaimed it we've seen a large rally to the upside. Probably a good area to watch right now," it commented Sunday.

In the meantime, however, it appeared that fresh losses were what the masses expected. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index was back in "fear" territory on the day, having seen a drop of over 50% in just four days, after briefly entering "extreme fear."

Crypto Fear & Greed Index (screenshot). Source: Alternative.me

Пов'язані матеріали

Crypto Market Prices the Verdict: $1.8 Billion Bet on Do Kwon's Sentencing Outcome

The cryptocurrency market is witnessing an extraordinary $1.8 billion in futures trading volume for LUNA and LUNA2 tokens, despite their lack of fundamental value. This surge in speculative activity is directly tied to the upcoming sentencing hearing of Terraform Labs co-founder Do Kwon in a New York federal court on December 11th. Prosecutors are seeking a 12-year prison sentence for Kwon’s role in the $40 billion Terra-LUNA collapse, while his defense team is arguing for a 5-year term. This 7-year discrepancy has created a high-stakes betting environment. The market is characterized by extreme divergence, with a high volume of short positions (indicated by negative funding rates) and a powerful counter-force of buyers attempting to squeeze those shorts. The article argues that the current LUNA traders are not the original victims of the crash but are now primarily event-driven speculators, quantitative funds, and opportunistic traders. For them, LUNA has been transformed from a failed project into a pure "legal derivative," a volatile instrument whose price is entirely driven by the legal outcome of Kwon's case, devoid of any fundamental anchor. The author concludes that regardless of the sentencing outcome—whether a harsh or light sentence—the event's conclusion will likely cause LUNA's price to collapse. A harsh sentence would reaffirm its zero fundamental value, while a light sentence would trigger a "sell the news" event. This situation exemplifies the crypto market's cold, hyper-efficient ability to price and monetize anything, including justice and a person's freedom, reducing moral judgment to mere noise against the pursuit of volatility and profit.

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Crypto Market Prices the Verdict: $1.8 Billion Bet on Do Kwon's Sentencing Outcome

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