Huobi's Weekly News(3.13-3.19)

HuobiОпубліковано о 2023-03-20Востаннє оновлено о 2023-03-20

Анотація

The Breaking News Last Week and Preview of This Week's News

The breaking news of last week:

Bull News of Last Week

1. Key Word: JPMorgan Chase & Co., Inject Liquidity

Market observers are on the alert to find out just how much extra funding the Federal Reserve’s new bank backstop program will ultimately add into the system, with analysts at JPMorgan Chase & Co. positing that it could inject anywhere up to $2 trillion in liquidity.

2. Key Word: USDC, Join Calls For Important Bank

Following the confirmation at the end of today that the wires initiated on Thursday to remove balances were not yet processed, $3.3 billion of the ~$40 billion of USDC reserves remain at SVB.

Like other customers and depositors who relied on SVB for banking services, Circle joins calls for continuity of this important bank in the U.S. economy and will follow guidance provided by state and Federal regulators.

3. Key Word: Interest Rates, PPI、Decline

The U.S. Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 25 basis points on March 22 despite recent banking sector turmoil, according to a strong majority of economists polled by Reuters who were divided on the risks to their terminal rate view.

The Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand in the US declined to 4.6% on a yearly basis in February from 5.7% in January.

4. Key Word: Digital Euro, Legal Tender

Governments within the euro currency bloc are set to discuss strategic objectives for the Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC). The paper, drafted by the secretariat of the Eurogroup, will be put before finance ministers later on Monday.

An early copy of the paper suggests that if the digital euro is deemed legal tender, merchants within the euro area could be required to accept it.

5. Key Word: HKMA-BIS, Conference

The HKMA-BIS Joint Conference on 24 March. It will also be the first of a series of celebration events for the HKMA’s 30th anniversary. We have invited over 100 representatives from central banks and supervisory authorities, as well as leaders of financial institutions, to attend the Conference. Participants will discuss forward-looking issues for the banking industry including how supervisors and banks can cope with an ever-changing financial environment and the future development of crypto assets.

6. Key Word: CME Group, New Bitcoin Futures

CME Group has gone live with event contracts on Bitcoin futures in a move that further expands the derivatives trading giant’s digital asset offering.

Bear News of Last Week

7. Key Word: Silicon Valley Bank,Bankruptcy Protection

Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) files for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in New York. SVB Financial Group says the Group has approximately $2.2 billion in liquidity and that the finance team is evaluating strategic options. the subsidiaries filing for bankruptcy do not include SVB Securities and SVB Capital. silicon Valley Bridge Bank ( Silicon Valley Bridge Bank, N.A. is not included in the Chapter 11 proceedings.

8. Key Word: Ethereum’s “Shapella” Upgrade, 29% Validator Participation Rate

The pressure was on for a successful Goerli testnet launch as it was the last simulation before Ethereum’s “Shapella” upgrade activates live on the mainnet blockchain. When the testnet came around on Tuesday, however, only a 29% validator participation rate was reported. This resulted in a brief delay, caused by some validators running older versions of clients.

9.Key Word: Joe Biden,Banking System, Regulation

President Joe Biden declared the U.S. banking system "safe" and vowed stiffer bank regulation, after U.S. regulators were forced to step in with a series of emergency measures after Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank collapse, threatening to trigger a broader crisis.

"Americans can have confidence that the banking system is safe. Your deposits will be there when you need them," Biden said.

10. Key Word: South Korea Prosecutors,Do Kwon

South Korea prosecutors say Serbia ready to help fraud investigation into Terra’s Do Kwon

Prosecutors flew to Serbia earlier this month as part of an investigation into Terraform Labs chief Do Kwon, who faces fraud accusations related to the US$40 billion collapse of his Terra-Luna cryptocurrency project in May last year.

Events coming in this week

1. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will meet on March 21-22.;

2. Ethereum Layer 2 scaling solution ImmutableX will announce two major updates on March 21;

3. AI artist Claire Silver to show NFT collection at Louvre on March 21;

4. The Federal Reserve will announce its March rate decision on March 22;

5. Arbitrum will airdrop a governance token with the ticker ARB to its community members on March 23;

6. Hong Kong Monetary Authority to Host Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS) Meeting on March 22-23.

Пов'язані матеріали

Without It, There Would Be No ImageNet... Now It's Gone

Amazon is shutting down its crowdsourcing platform, Mechanical Turk (MTurk), on September 30th, ending a 21-year run. Launched in 2005, MTurk connected businesses with a global online workforce to perform small, repetitive tasks—known as Human Intelligence Tasks (HITs)—that were easy for humans but difficult for computers at the time. At its peak, it hosted over 500,000 workers worldwide. MTurk played a pivotal, though often unseen, role in the rise of modern AI. Its most famous contribution was to the creation of the ImageNet dataset. In the late 2000s, researcher Fei-Fei Li and her team faced the monumental challenge of manually sorting and labeling millions of internet images to build a large-scale visual database for training AI. They turned to MTurk, distributing the work to nearly 50,000 workers from 167 countries. This "human-in-the-loop" effort made the massive ImageNet project feasible. ImageNet, in turn, became the foundational benchmark for the 2012 ImageNet Large Scale Visual Recognition Challenge. The victory of Geoffrey Hinton and his students' deep convolutional neural network, AlexNet, on this dataset dramatically demonstrated the power of deep learning, catalyzing the AI revolution that followed. Now, MTurk is closing. The platform has declined as the very AI it helped build has become capable of automating the simple tasks it once provided. Furthermore, the AI industry's data needs have evolved, shifting towards more specialized expertise for model tuning and evaluation, served by newer platforms. Ironically, some studies suggest MTurk workers themselves began using AI tools like ChatGPT to complete tasks, adding a layer of automation to the "artificial artificial intelligence" service. The shutdown marks the end of an era where human effort, distributed globally via the internet, laid the crucial groundwork for the intelligent machines of today.

marsbit13 хв тому

Without It, There Would Be No ImageNet... Now It's Gone

marsbit13 хв тому

Bill Gates' Latest Long-Form Article: The Real Trouble with AI is That We Aren't Ready

Bill Gates' latest essay, "The turbulent AI era is here. The choices we make now are critical," warns that society is unprepared for the profound social and economic transition AI will bring. While optimistic about AI's long-term potential in healthcare, education, and other fields, Gates focuses on the "transition period" over the next 10-20 years. He argues this transition differs from past technological shifts like the Industrial Revolution because AI automates cognitive labor itself, potentially reducing the total number of future jobs. Risks like enhanced cyber-attacks and social disruption are already emerging, not distant future threats. A key concern is "low-cost intelligence substitution," where AI performs defined tasks cheaper than humans, gradually thinning workforces. Gates introduces the concept of "Human Reserved" jobs—roles like nursing or delivering serious medical news—where human judgment and empathy should remain central, even if AI is technically capable. To manage the transition, he calls for new governance, stronger social safety nets, retraining, and international cooperation, especially between the US and China. Crucially, he proposes taxing AI usage and robots to slow displacement and fund social programs. The core dilemma Gates presents is that AI could become humanity's "greatest equalizer" or its "worst source of injustice," depending on whether its immense productivity gains are broadly shared or concentrate wealth and power. The fundamental challenge is not just advancing the technology, but adapting our social and economic systems to it.

marsbit29 хв тому

Bill Gates' Latest Long-Form Article: The Real Trouble with AI is That We Aren't Ready

marsbit29 хв тому

Just Now, Anthropic Unveils Physical MCP: Claude Begins Controlling the Real World

Anthropic has announced the Model Hardware Standard (MHS), a new standard enabling AI agents like Claude to safely control physical devices. Building on the Model Context Protocol (MCP), MHS standardizes communication between AI agents and hardware such as microscopes, robotic arms, and lasers, marking a significant step for AI from the digital into the physical world. Developed in collaboration with HHMI Janelia Research Campus, MHS uses standardized drivers to translate basic commands (e.g., read, write) into a format any programmable device can understand. This drastically reduces integration time from weeks to hours or minutes and allows agents to discover and operate new devices using natural language tags that describe machine properties and safety limits. Agents can control devices via MCP, command-line interfaces, or APIs. They can sequence operations, monitor results, adjust parameters in real-time, and generate deterministic scripts for long-running tasks. Early tests show Claude interacting with hardware exploratively, like a scientist, learning to calibrate a laser and scripting the process. Early adopters and partners include AWS, Automata, Danaher, Doosan Robotics, and Tecan, who are integrating MHS support into their platforms. While promising, challenges remain: Claude's physical reasoning is limited, requiring expert oversight, and MHS currently only works with programmable hardware. Anthropic plans further refinements and broader device support before open-sourcing the standard.

marsbit1 год тому

Just Now, Anthropic Unveils Physical MCP: Claude Begins Controlling the Real World

marsbit1 год тому

History's Only Asset with a 100% Win Rate After 4 Years of Holding

**Title: The Only Asset with a 100% Win Rate Over Any 4-Year Holding Period** This article analyzes which major, freely-tradable assets have historically never produced a nominal loss over any rolling 4-year holding window. It concludes that only two distinct categories achieve this: ultra-low-risk contractual assets and Bitcoin. Among traditional risk assets, none maintain a perfect 4-year record. The S&P 500 had negative 4-year periods (e.g., 1929-1932: -64.8%). The Nasdaq 100 fell roughly 60% from 2000-2003. Gold saw a ~47.7% loss from 1981-1984. US real estate declined about 23.3% from 2007-2010. Even long-term US Treasury bonds (e.g., 2021-2024: -19.8%) and corporate bonds can produce 4-year losses due to interest rate and market price risks. In contrast, the first category achieving 100% nominal success includes assets like rolling 3-month US Treasury Bills, 4-year certificates of deposit (CDs), and US Treasuries held to maturity within 4 years. Their "guarantee" stems from contractual obligations and credit backing (e.g., FDIC insurance, US sovereign promise), not price appreciation. The sole exception in the high-risk category is Bitcoin. Analysis of daily data from 2010-2026 across 4,419 rolling 4-year windows shows a 100% positive return rate. The worst 4-year period (April 2021 to April 2025) still yielded a +32.6% total return (~7.3% CAGR). This record is unique because Bitcoin has no issuer, promises no cash flows, and has endured severe drawdowns (70-90%), yet its market price has always recovered within a 4-year span. The key distinction is the source of the "100%": contractual assets offer known, low nominal returns, while Bitcoin's record stems purely from historical price appreciation despite extreme volatility. The article suggests that for Bitcoin, the ability to hold for 4+ years is more critical than active trading strategies.

marsbit1 год тому

History's Only Asset with a 100% Win Rate After 4 Years of Holding

marsbit1 год тому

How One Article Moved 45 Billion: The Collapse of a 25-Year-Old 'AI Stock Guru'

This article details the dramatic rise and near-collapse of a hedge fund built by Leopold Aschenbrenner, a 24-year-old former OpenAI researcher. The fund, named Situational Awareness, amassed $45 billion in assets within two years. Its explosive growth stemmed from Aschenbrenner's influential 165-page manifesto predicting AGI's arrival by 2027 and his high-profile Silicon Valley connections. The fund employed an extremely aggressive strategy: high concentration and 400% leverage to bet long on AI infrastructure stocks while shorting legacy software firms. In July, this structure backfired when both sides of the trade reversed simultaneously—AI stocks plunged while shorted stocks rallied—triggering massive losses that nearly wiped out all equity. Major player Jane Street reportedly lost billions. The fund's leveraged public portfolio was ultimately sold at a discount to Citadel. The SEC is now investigating banks like Goldman Sachs for their role in facilitating the fund's high-leverage trades. The article compares this to past blow-ups like Archegos, highlighting systemic failures in risk management where the pursuit of short-term profits overrode due diligence. It questions whether such risky leverage concentrated in the AI sector, currently at record highs, poses a broader systemic threat. Ironically, Aschenbrenner, who studied AI safety at OpenAI, designed a fund structure prone to uncontrolled failure. Days after the crisis, he reportedly raised another $400 million for new investments.

marsbit1 год тому

How One Article Moved 45 Billion: The Collapse of a 25-Year-Old 'AI Stock Guru'

marsbit1 год тому

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