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BTC Daily Price PredictionHTX Community Spring Creation ContestedgeX: Sub-10ms Global DeFi Layer Smart money is hedging bitcoin more aggressively than ether :Crypto Daybook Americas By Omkar Godbole (



Smart money is hedging bitcoin more aggressively than ether :Crypto Daybook Americas


By Omkar Godbole (All times ET unless indicated otherwise)

As the new quarter gets underway, the crypto market is sending a subtle but important signal: traders seem a bit more cautious about bitcoin than ether ($ETH).

You can see this in the options market, where more experienced traders and institutions go to hedge risk or generate extra returns. Think of options as a kind of insurance. Traders can buy protection against price drops (puts) or bet on price increases (calls), depending on their outlook.

Right now, one key metric, called a risk reversal, is negative for both bitcoin and ether across different time frames. In simple terms, that means puts, or downside protection, is more expensive than bullish bets. When traders are willing to pay more for put options, it usually signals lingering fears of a price drop. That's perfectly normal, considering the brutal downtrend in bitcoin and ether since October.

But here’s where it gets interesting: that caution is stronger for bitcoin. Put options on bitcoin are more expensive than those on ether across all time frames, suggesting traders are more worried about $BTC’s downside risk.

The difference becomes even clearer when zooming further out. Longer-dated ether options, such as those expiring next March, are only slightly bearish, while bitcoin’s equivalent options carry a much steeper premium for downside protection.

In short, the market is betting that ether will be relatively resilient. That would signal a bullish trend change in the ether-to-bitcoin ratio, which has been in a downtrend since August (see the technical analysis section).

Ether has risen 5% over the past 24 hours, outpacing bitcoin , $XRP ($XRP), solana (SOL), and the CoinDesk 20 Index. Several smaller tokens associated with quantum-computing-resistant t

Smart money is hedging bitcoin more aggressively

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Bitcoin demand fades as ETF outflows and fees collapse - Is this a reset or reversal? Bitcoin's [BTC] market structure is entering a quieter phase, where underlying activity is no longer driving stron

Bitcoin demand fades as ETF outflows and fees collapse - Is this a reset or reversal?

Bitcoin's [BTC] market structure is entering a quieter phase, where underlying activity is no longer driving strong price expansion. The 30-day average fee has dropped to 2.5 BTC per day, its lowest since 2011, which shows users face little urgency to transact.

This decline reflects slowing speculative flows and weaker capital rotation, which reduces pressure on block space. As participation fades, the network shifts from active competition into low-intensity usage, signaling reduced engagement across both retail and institutional players.

Since fees track real demand, such low levels point to limited transactional activity. This suggests a market lacking strong conviction, where price either holds through gradual absorption or remains constrained until meaningful demand returns.

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Bitcoin demand fades as ETF outflows and fees coll

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BTC Daily Price PredictionHTX Community Spring Creation Contest7 Days of Check-ins to Unlock a 10x AirdropAlgorand [ALGO] has rallied 24% in the past 24 hours, and its daily trading volume surged by n

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Algorand [ALGO] has rallied 24% in the past 24 hours, and its daily trading volume surged by nearly fivefold. The bullish move was a result of online chatter about quantum vulnerability, which came from the whitepaper published by Google Quantum AI.

In the paper, researchers from Google’s quantum computing technologies, the University of California, Berkeley, and the Ethereum Foundation provided estimates on the quantum threat to blockchains.

The paper cited Algorand as it –

Provides an example of real-world deployment of PQC on an otherwise quantum-vulnerable blockchain.

The live post-quantum deployments the chain exhibits, such as the Falcon digital signatures for smart contracts and state proofs, mean the chain is well-positioned for a post-quantum migration.

What impact did the news have on ALGO?



Source: ALGO/USDT on TradingView

In short, a wildly bullish impact. Algorand had been trading within a range between $0.08 and $0.10 since the February market crash.

Over the past 48 hours, ALGO bulls managed to flip the $0.082 level to support once again and commenced a rally toward the range highs.

The whitepaper was released on Monday, the 30th of March, helping explain the timing of the rally.

At the time of writing, the CMF showed heavy capital flows accompanied by the sizeable move. The RSI did not yet fire overbought signals on the 1-day timeframe.

ALGO buyers caught between FOMO and opportunity



Source: CoinGlass

It was tempting to think that the quantum vulnerabilities paper was the catalyst needed for bulls to launch ALGO back into a bullish trend. In the short term, that has been the case. However, it is unclear if that can continue for days and weeks more.

The 3-month liquidation heatmap showed that a cluster of short liquidations above the $0.10 range high has been swept. Meanwhile, Bitcoin remained bearishly biased after 

Algorand [ALGO] has rallied 24% in the past 24 hou

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BUYERS ARE COMING BACK TO $BTC 📊 After weeks of heavy selling in February… buyer activity is finally returning 👇 • Spot volume turning positive again • Selling pressure fading Market sentiment = slow 

After weeks of heavy selling in February…

Market sentiment = slow shift from fear → accumulation

This is an early signal, not confirmation

If buyers stay consistent → trend reversal

BTC Daily Price PredictionHTX Community Spring Creation ContestClaim1,200 USDT in the Monthly Creation Challenge Why Google's new breakthrough quantum research focuses on Bitcoin rather than banking o

Why Google's new breakthrough quantum research focuses on Bitcoin rather than banking or nuclear codes

Crypto and Bitcoin may be the most public laboratory for quantum research on the impending global economic impact of Q-Day.

On Mar. 30, Google Quantum Al published a 57-page whitepaper coauthored with Justin Drake of the Ethereum Foundation and Dan Boneh of Stanford.

The paper demonstrates that breaking the 256-bit elliptic-curve discrete logarithm problem, the cryptographic foundation underlying most blockchain transactions, requires roughly 500,000 physical qubits, a 20-fold reduction from prior estimates.

Why Google's new breakthrough quantum research foc

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HTX Community Spring Creation ContestClaim1,200 USDT in the Monthly Creation ChallengePost To Earn BonusMajor outflows from exchanges: A sign of bullish sentiment? Ethereum’s exchange netflow data rev

Major outflows from exchanges: A sign of bullish sentiment?
Ethereum’s exchange netflow data reveals a significant outflow of 4.5K ETH over the past 24 hours, marking a 3.03% decline in available exchange liquidity.

Consequently, when large amounts of ETH move off exchanges, it often suggests that investors are choosing to hold their assets long-term or stake them elsewhere, reducing immediate sell pressure. 
Ethereum-Exchange-Netflow-Total-All-Exchanges-2-768x432.png
ETH liquidation data highlights dominance of longs
Ethereum’s liquidation data supports a bullish narrative. The majority of liquidations are on short positions, while long positions dominate the scene. This trend indicates confidence among traders in Ethereum’s upward potential, as long holders anticipate continued gains. 

Consequently, this confidence among long positions could add further upward pressure, providing the support needed
Screenshot-2024-10-29-131916-768x222.png


Major outflows from exchanges: A sign of bullish s

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BTC Daily Price PredictionHTX Community Spring Creation ContestWL: Ethereum L2/Sidechain According to an analyst, Bitcoin’s parabolic rise may be over! Here’s why After falling to $60,000 in early Feb

According to an analyst, Bitcoin’s parabolic rise may be over! Here’s why

After falling to $60,000 in early February, Bitcoin ($BTC) has been stuck in a narrow range. Fluctuating between approximately $63,000 and $74,000, $BTC has failed in its attempts to rise.

While it is still predicted that Bitcoin has not yet hit bottom, one analyst has claimed that Bitcoin’s parabolic rise may have come to an end.

Crypto analyst Omkar Godbole noted that Bitcoin has been hovering around $70,000 since early February, remaining well below its peak of $126,000 during the 2023-2025 bull market.

According to the analyst, the $70,000 level is very important for $BTC, as it was the peak of the 2019-2022 cycle. This signals that Bitcoin has retraced to its previous peak during the current bear market, indicating an unusual situation for $BTC.

Analysts who examined historical cycle data noted that Bitcoin never fell to its previous cycle peak during the 2014 and 2018 bear markets. The only exception was 2022, when the $BTC price dropped below its 2017 peak of $20,000.

“Even during long and challenging bear markets, the Bitcoin price has rarely returned to its previous bull market peaks.”

However, this situation seems to have changed; this indicates that Bitcoin and the market have matured and the era of uncontrolled, parabolic gains is over.”

Answering the question, “What makes this pullback unique?”, the analyst stated that there were no extreme triggers in this bear market, simply that the bear cycle was occurring naturally.

So Bitcoin has returned to its previous peak as a natural part of the bear market.

The analyst also argues that new bull cycles no longer feature parabolic jumps, making it more difficult for $BTC to surpass its previous peaks.



According to an analyst, Bitcoin’s parabolic rise

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