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Bitcoin Pushes Toward Breakout as Wintermute Warns Unresolved Macro Risks May Shape Next Move Bitcoin is testing breakout levels amid geopolitical tensions and macro uncertainty, as price action build

Bitcoin Pushes Toward Breakout as Wintermute Warns Unresolved Macro Risks May Shape Next Move

Bitcoin is testing breakout levels amid geopolitical tensions and macro uncertainty, as price action builds pressure at key resistance. Market pressure from energy spikes and shifting sentiment has yet to trigger a decisive move, with Wintermute pointing to unresolved structural risks.

Key Takeaways:

Bitcoin approaches breakout as Wintermute flags macro risks still unresolved.

Brent rises as inflation pressures build from higher energy costs.

Wintermute sees derivatives positioning amplifying upside squeeze potential near resistance.

Geopolitical Risks Fail to Reverse Bitcoin Momentum

Bitcoin is maintaining upward pressure despite rising geopolitical tension and macro uncertainty, even as global markets react to fresh developments. In an April 13 market commentary, crypto algorithmic trading firm Wintermute said that heightened tensions—sparked by a U.S. naval blockade affecting Iranian ports—have not yet been enough to force a structural breakdown in $BTC price action.

Since the report, however, bitcoin has rallied, trading around $74,592 as of this writing and repeatedly testing resistance near $75,000, indicating a developing breakout attempt.




Bitcoin Pushes Toward Breakout as Wintermute Warns

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On April 15, Reuters reported that two U.S. government officials stated on Tuesday that the Trump administration will allow the 30-day sanctions waiver for Iran's maritime oil to expire later this wee

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• USD/ZAR  dipped  as South African rand edged up  as oil prices dipped back below $100 a barrel and on signs of potential U.S.-Iran dialogue.•Negotiations between Washington and Tehran remained ongoi

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HTX Community Spring Creation ContestUnlock Your Personal HTX Airdrop Now Blockchain Forum 2026, MoscowA final shakeout phase before a potential breakout is playing out for XRP, according to market an

A final shakeout phase before a potential breakout is playing out for XRP, according to market analyst GainMuse.XRP’s consolidation inside a long-term wedge has gone through the roof, illustrating tightening volatility as a macro trend continues to mature.Therefore, beneath the surface, XRP’s compression might be reaching a boiling point, with the current liquidity trap favoring long-term, larger players at the expense of weaker ones, as accumulation is occurring at discounted levels.GainMuse acknowledges that $1.28-$1.29 is the key support area, with XRP’s current price slightly above this zone at $1.33 per, according to CoinGecko data.Market sentiment and on-chain indicators add further intrigue, given that XRP’s fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD) has jumped to elevated levels.Interestingly, this bearish sentiment usually aligns with local bottoms rather than breakdowns, suggesting that XRP might be in for an upward reversal.For now, the convergence of heightened pessimism, declining exchange supply, and technical compression may be a telling sign that a meteoric liftoff is in the picture for XRP.With the $1.28-$1.29 zone being a vital inflection point that could trigger a broader recovery phase or extend the current corrective structure, GainMuse acknowledges that the next macro resistance ceiling sits at the $1.41-$1.42 area.

A final shakeout phase before a potential breakout

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HTX Community Spring Creation ContestTap Now, Claim Airdrop Tomorrow!Post To Earn BonusBitcoin tests $75,000 as $200 million in shorts face liquidation risk Bitcoin is pressing up against $75,000, a p

Bitcoin tests $75,000 as $200 million in shorts face liquidation risk



Bitcoin is pressing up against $75,000, a price it has repeatedly failed to surpass since early February, putting the broader crypto market on breakout watch after more than two months of range-bound trading.

Traders have been building short positions around that level, betting on another rejection. Data from CoinGlass shows roughly $200 million in shorts would be liquidated if $BTC pushes above $75,500 — a dynamic that could accelerate any upside move.

At the same time, macroeconomic sentiment is improving. U.S. equities rallied Monday, with the S&P 500 index posting its highest close since before the Iran conflict escalated, after President Donald Trump signaled willingness to strike a deal with Tehran.

Precious metals also made a comeback on Tuesday with silver rallying by 2.9% since midnight UTC while gold added 0.7% to $4,775 per ounce.

Derivatives positioning

Notional open interest (OI) in crypto futures rose to $126 billion, the most since Jan. 31, according to Coinglass.

Ether’s OI surged to 14.99 million $ETH ($35.79 billion), the highest since July. The growth likely stems from increased demand for bullish bets because the 24-hour cumulative volume delta (CVD) is positive, indicating that aggressive buying is dominating the flow. Positive funding rates also suggest the same.

Bitcoin OI has surged to a record high of 767,000 $BTC, while positive CVD and funding rates also signal bullish positioning.

ZEC, $SOL and HYPE are other notable coins displaying bullish patterns.

It's worth noting that while funding rates are positive for most tokens, they are not unusually high. This is a sweet spot for a grind higher, and indicates that the market is not overheated.

However, the 30-day implied volatility (IV) indexes for bitcoin and ether, BVIV and EVIV, have stopped declining over the past t

Bitcoin tests $75,000 as $200 million in shorts fa

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