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the shift of trader focus toward perpetual contracts could spur increased volume in ETH trading, particularly if traders view Ethereum as a more sustainable investment compared to struggling altcoins.

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Polymarket’s $354M Iran Dispute Exposes Prediction Markets’ Settlement Problem

Financial markets largely moved on after the United States and Iran announced an agreement over the weekend. On Polymarket, traders are still debating whether the event happened at all.

The prediction market platform has processed more than $345 million in volume on contracts tied to a US-Iran peace deal. While both countries announced an agreement, the market remains unresolved because users disagree on whether the developments satisfy the contract’s requirement for a “permanent peace deal.”


Disputed Polymarket’s Iran peace-deal bets. Source: Polymarket

When Does a Peace Deal Count?

The dispute turns on Polymarket’s definition of a “permanent peace deal.” According to the contract rules, a qualifying agreement must explicitly indicate that military hostilities between the two countries have ended or will permanently cease. Agreements that are temporary, or that do not clearly establish a lasting end to hostilities, do not qualify.

That wording has left traders split. Supporters of a “yes” resolution point to public statements describing the agreement as a permanent end to military operations.

Opponents argue that negotiations are still ongoing, no final document has been signed, and parts of the arrangement remain temporary, including the reported 60-day reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.

Traders are now arguing over contract language and official paperwork, not the underlying event itself.

Polymarket’s $354M Iran Dispute Exposes Prediction

Year Approx. Opening Price Approx. Closing Price 2021 $0.10 $0.21 2022 $0.21 $0.012 2023 $0.012 $0.019 2024 $0.019 $0.013 2025 $0.013 $0.0021 2026* $0.0021 ~$0.0011–$0.0017 (current range) in 2030 can

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BitcoinWorldPump.fun’s Activity Slump Drags Down Solana Network Fees as Token Graduation Rate Collapses

The slowdown on Pump.fun, a Solana-based memecoin launchpad, is intensifying, according to data from The Block. The platform’s token graduation rate—the percentage of tokens that meet listing requirements for decentralized exchanges like Raydium—has plummeted by approximately 80% over the past three months to just 0.26%. Consequently, Pump.fun’s revenue, which stood at around $4.8 million six months ago, has shrunk to about $800,000 as of June. This decline in activity has also impacted the broader Solana network, where average daily fees have dropped from about 33,000 SOL in January to roughly 5,300 SOL in June.

Understanding the Graduation Rate Collapse

Pump.fun operates as a launchpad where new memecoins are created and traded before potentially ‘graduating’ to larger decentralized exchanges like Raydium. The graduation rate is a critical metric because it reflects the platform’s ability to generate sustainable value beyond initial speculative trading. A rate of 0.26% means that fewer than 3 out of every 1,000 tokens now meet the liquidity and market cap thresholds required for listing. This represents a dramatic drop from even three months ago, signaling a loss of confidence among creators and traders.

The decline is not isolated to a single metric. Revenue from trading fees on Pump.fun has fallen by over 83% from its peak six months ago, suggesting that both the volume of new token launches and the trading activity on existing tokens have contracted sharply. The Block’s data indicates that the platform’s daily revenue now hovers around $800,000, a level not seen since early 2024.

Broader Impact on Solana’s Fee Revenue

Pump.fun’s slowdown has direct consequences for the Solana network. As one of the most active applications on Solana, Pum

BitcoinWorldPump.fun’s Activity Slump Drags Down S

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Standard Chartered research suggests that Uniswap’s UNI token might reach $100 by 2030. This projection is based on the anticipated… Read the original on Standard Chartered’s Research Signals UNI Toke

Standard Chartered’s Research Signals UNI Token Could Hit $100 By 2030

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