Why Has Bitcoin Really Risen So Sharply? Is the Four-Year Cycle Enough? Here's Caitlin Long's Opinion

cryptonews.ru2026-08-22 tarihinde yayınlandı2026-08-22 tarihinde güncellendi

Özet

Kate Long, founder and CEO of Custodia Bank, attributes the recent sharp surge in crypto markets, particularly Bitcoin and Ethereum, to US Treasury actions and macroeconomic factors. She explains that the Treasury's announcement to more than double long-term bond buybacks amounts to a form of "yield curve control." This move has directly triggered a sharp shift in interest rates, pressured the US dollar, and its weakening typically supports risk assets like cryptocurrencies. Regarding the market's debate on whether the four-year cycle has ended, Long states that charts and fundamental data indicate the cycle remains intact. Key dynamics in mining economics, such as profitability declines and miner exits due to high costs, are a natural part of this cycle. While refraining from price predictions, she notes that based on past patterns, Bitcoin appears cheap at current levels.

Following the sudden and sharp rise in cryptocurrency markets, Caitlin Long, founder and CEO of Custodia Bank and a prominent figure in the market, evaluated the recent activity in the Bitcoin market and financial markets as a whole. Long stated that the sharp market rally is driven by macroeconomic reasons and actions from the U.S. Department of the Treasury.

Caitlin Long, commenting on the U.S. Department of the Treasury's announcement that it would more than double the volume of long-term bond buybacks (30-year Treasury bonds), referred to this as a form of 'yield curve control.'

Long stated that this move directly triggered a sharp change in interest rates and put pressure on the U.S. dollar, weakening it. She added that a weakening dollar typically supports risk assets. This situation led to a sharp rise in leading cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum.

Addressing the frequently discussed market question lately, 'Has the 4-year cycle ended?', Long stated that charts and fundamental data indicate the cycle is still ongoing. She noted that the core dynamic processes in the mining economy have not changed; decreasing profitability and market exit due to high electricity and computational costs are a natural part of the cycle.

Long, refraining from making price predictions, stated that, based on past experience, Bitcoin looks cheap at current levels.

*This is not investment advice.

end-content

İlgili Sorular

QAccording to Caitlin Long, what were the main causes behind the sudden surge in the cryptocurrency markets?

AAccording to Caitlin Long, the main causes behind the sudden surge are macroeconomic factors and actions by the US Treasury Department. Specifically, the Treasury's announcement to more than double its buyback of long-term bonds (30-year Treasuries) was a form of 'yield curve control.' This move directly triggered a sharp change in interest rates, pressured the US dollar, and its weakening generally supports risk assets, leading to the sharp rise in leading cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum.

QWhat specific US Treasury Department action did Caitlin Long identify as a key market trigger, and what did she call it?

ACaitlin Long identified the US Treasury Department's announcement that it would more than double the volume of its buyback of long-term bonds (30-year Treasuries) as a key market trigger. She referred to this action as a form of 'yield curve control.'

QWhat is Caitlin Long's view on whether the 4-year Bitcoin cycle has ended?

ACaitlin Long believes that the 4-year cycle is still ongoing. She stated that charts and fundamental data indicate the cycle continues, noting that the core dynamic processes in mining economics have not changed. The decrease in profitability and the exit from the market due to high electricity and computing power costs are a natural part of this cycle.

QDid Caitlin Long make a specific price prediction for Bitcoin in the article?

ANo, Caitlin Long refrained from making a specific price prediction for Bitcoin. However, based on past experience, she stated that Bitcoin looks cheap at current levels.

QWhat disclaimer is provided at the end of the article regarding its content?

AThe disclaimer provided at the end of the article states: 'This is not investment advice.'

İlgili Okumalar

Changes in reward and commission systems on cryptocurrency exchanges should be expected due to strategy shifts

As the bear market continued in Q2, leading crypto exchanges Coinbase, Bullish, and Gemini reported declines in trading revenue. In response, they are shifting strategies toward newer products like stablecoins and prediction markets, which is expected to change their reward and commission structures. Coinbase is focusing on its USD Coin (USDC) offerings, with average balances surging 44% to $20 billion, and has cut costs to fund increased USDC rewards. Gemini is tripling down on prediction markets, adding market makers and offering user rebates, though related revenue grew only 18% despite a near-doubling in bets. Bullish, targeting professional traders, launched a new rewards program. While its adjusted transaction revenue fell 21% quarterly, it was still up 24% year-over-year—the only exchange of the three to achieve annual growth. Despite falling trading volumes, commission economics improved for some, like Gemini, even as its overall revenue dropped. If the crypto price rally continues and ends the bear market, trading revenues could recover. However, as exchanges try to reduce dependence on market volatility, users can expect more rewards and incentives for using new products. Competition over fees may also intensify. The blurring lines between crypto and traditional finance platforms could further drive this competition, potentially benefiting retail traders and investors.

cryptonews.ru1 saat önce

Changes in reward and commission systems on cryptocurrency exchanges should be expected due to strategy shifts

cryptonews.ru1 saat önce

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