Trump’s ‘5-day pause’ in the West Asia crisis sparks crypto surge – Will it last?

ambcrypto2026-03-24 tarihinde yayınlandı2026-03-24 tarihinde güncellendi

Özet

President Trump's announcement of a five-day pause in military action against Iran led to a drop in oil prices and triggered a surge in the cryptocurrency market. The total crypto market cap rose by 3.4%, with Bitcoin recovering to around $70,800. Social media activity for major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana also spiked. However, the situation remains uncertain as Iran denied U.S. claims of progress in talks. Analysts caution that while Bitcoin has gained 7% since the start of the crisis, market sentiment remains fearful due to parallels with the 2022 Russia-Ukraine conflict, where a sharp rally was followed by a significant decline. The market may be poised for either a sustained bull run or a temporary rally before a pullback.

Global energy markets paused on the 23rd of March after U.S. President Donald Trump suddenly stepped back from his 48-hour threat to destroy Iran’s power grid.

He said there had been progress in secret talks and mentioned major points of agreement toward ending the three-week conflict. Because of this, Trump announced a five-day pause on any action against Iran’s infrastructure, which caused oil prices to drop from around $113 to near $100.

Source: Truth Social

However, the situation is still unclear. While the White House is suggesting that a deal may be close, Iran has rejected these claims, calling them “fake news” and accusing the U.S. of trying to influence oil prices.

Thus, as the five-day pause begins, it’s uncertain whether this is a real step toward peace or just a temporary break in ongoing tensions.

Crypto market turns green

The crypto market reacted quickly to the news. Soon after the announcement, the total market value of crypto went up by about 3.4%, reaching around $2.43 trillion.

Bitcoin [BTC], which was close to falling toward $65,000 earlier, bounced back strongly and climbed to about $70,800 at press time. That’s roughly a 3.5% recovery from its recent lows near $67,000.

Social volume of different tokens

However, price is only part of the story. Data from Santiment showed that Bitcoin’s social activity jumped by 38%.

Source: Santiment/X

Likewise, Ethereum [ETH] and Solana [SOL] saw the biggest spikes in social volume, most likely a result of the five-day pause as well.

Source: Santiment

Bitcoin, on the other hand, is seeing more steady attention, which shows that people still see it as a safer option during uncertain times. Meanwhile, Cardano [ADA] is getting attention only during specific updates, not because of the bigger global situation.

What is ahead for Bitcoin: Bull run or a massive slump?

Bitcoin has gained about 7% since the start of the West Asia crisis, strengthening its position as a potential alternative during uncertainty. If this trend continues, Bitcoin could see further upside as fear fades.

However, experienced traders still remain careful. This is because a similar pattern played out in early 2022 during the Russia-Ukraine war, when Bitcoin surged nearly 40% before dropping sharply by around 67% as the broader economic impact unfolded.

That memory still influences sentiment today, keeping the market on edge. Ergo, at this stage, the market could either be setting up for a sustained bull run or heading toward another temporary rally before a pullback.


Final Summary

  • The five-day war pause has given markets short-term relief, but uncertainty around US-Iran tensions remains high.
  • Despite rising prices, the “extreme fear” sentiment suggests investors lack confidence in a sustained rally.

İlgili Sorular

QWhat was the immediate impact of Trump's announcement of a five-day pause on oil prices?

AOil prices dropped from around $113 to near $100.

QHow did the cryptocurrency market react to the news of the five-day pause?

AThe total crypto market value increased by about 3.4%, reaching approximately $2.43 trillion, with Bitcoin bouncing back to around $70,800.

QWhich cryptocurrencies saw the biggest spikes in social volume according to Santiment data?

AEthereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL) saw the biggest spikes in social volume.

QWhat historical event is causing experienced traders to remain cautious about the current Bitcoin surge?

AThe pattern from early 2022 during the Russia-Ukraine war, where Bitcoin surged nearly 40% before dropping sharply by around 67% as the broader economic impact unfolded.

QWhat are the two possible market outcomes mentioned in the article following the five-day pause?

AThe market could either be setting up for a sustained bull run or heading toward another temporary rally before a pullback.

İlgili Okumalar

Within Strategy's Framework, STRC's Dividend Yield Remains at 12% as Share Price Stays Below Par Value

Michael Saylor, Executive Chairman of Strategy (MSTR), confirmed that the dividend rate for its STRC perpetual preferred shares will remain at 12.00% through August 2026. The rate has increased from 9% at its July 2025 launch to the current high via a "ratchet" mechanism, which permanently raises the rate by 0.5% whenever the share price falls below $95. This mechanism is intended to push the price back toward its $100 par value and support Strategy's "at-the-market" (ATM) program for issuing new shares to fund Bitcoin purchases. However, the mechanism has not worked as intended. STRC shares closed at $89.46 on July 31, remaining about 10-11% below par value despite the record-high dividend. Competition from rival Strive's higher-yielding SATA securities has pressured demand. The persistent discount has forced Strategy to suspend new STRC issuances via its ATM program, limiting this funding channel for Bitcoin acquisitions. STRC's struggles reflect Bitcoin's own volatility, as the preferred shares historically move in tandem. Analysts have warned the ratchet structure carries long-term, one-way risk. A law firm is investigating Strategy's ability to maintain dividend payments if Bitcoin's price stays low. Retail investors own roughly 83% of outstanding STRC shares, a group seen as prone to panic selling during downturns. In response, Strategy has established financial reserves, including a liquidity cushion covering about 26 months of dividend/interest obligations, and a $2 billion share buyback program alongside a Bitcoin monetization framework, though the company emphasized it is not obligated to sell any Bitcoin.

cryptonews.ru9 dk önce

Within Strategy's Framework, STRC's Dividend Yield Remains at 12% as Share Price Stays Below Par Value

cryptonews.ru9 dk önce

Analyst: Bitcoin's Price Will Drop to $60k in August, Then Rebound to $70k

Financial analyst Andrey Poroshin has provided a new forecast for Bitcoin's price dynamics in August. Poroshin, an analyst at the Bitbanker exchange, expects the cryptocurrency market to experience a downturn this month, with prices retesting the $60,000 level due to a lack of supportive macroeconomic catalysts. He noted that the recent US Federal Reserve decision to hold interest rates did not significantly impact the market, while inflation remains above the 2% target. Poroshin stated that Bitcoin is ending July under pressure from moderate volatility and a lack of new macroeconomic stimuli, leading to continued market caution. According to his base scenario, Bitcoin will drop to a range of $60,000 to $62,000 before recovering to $70,000. He pointed out that even $70,000 remains below the cost of mining in the US, which has prompted some miners to shift towards AI data center operations. Poroshin cited the winding down of BitMEX's operations as a potential catalyst for a price rebound, suggesting the exit of weaker players often coincides with market reversals and reduced short-term selling pressure. He believes Bitcoin is currently less susceptible to geopolitical shocks, such as the Iran-US conflict, and does not expect significant market changes in August related to the pending CLARITY Act. Looking ahead, Poroshin forecasts that September will bring more active price fluctuations driven by potential Fed rate decisions and possible discussions or approval of the CLARITY Act.

cryptonews.ru9 dk önce

Analyst: Bitcoin's Price Will Drop to $60k in August, Then Rebound to $70k

cryptonews.ru9 dk önce

İşlemler

Spot
活动图片