Polymarket bets surge on Lighter airdrop as Hyperliquid lists LIT

cointelegraph2025-12-23 tarihinde yayınlandı2025-12-23 tarihinde güncellendi

Özet

Lighter, a perpetual decentralized exchange (perp DEX) and rival to Hyperliquid, is generating significant airdrop speculation. A core contributor announced the platform is finalizing its token generation event (TGE), including removing Sybil and wash-trading points from its Season 2 rewards program. Hype intensified when Hyperliquid listed the yet-to-launch LIT token. Lighter opened an airdrop allocation form, allowing users to direct tokens to additional wallets, with submissions accepted until Friday. The transfer of 250 million LIT tokens (25% of supply) further fueled expectations. On prediction market Polymarket, the odds of an airdrop occurring by December 31st have surged to 86%, with $9.5 million in betting volume. Lighter recently raised $68 million in a round led by Founders Fund and Ribbit Capital.

Lighter, a perpetual decentralized exchange (perp DEX) and a major rival to Hyperliquid, is fueling airdrop speculation as Polymarket traders bet on a token launch before year’s end.

Sebas, also known as Babastianj, a core contributor to the Lighter DEX, announced on the project’s Discord channel Monday that the platform is finalizing key processes ahead of the highly anticipated token generation event (TGE).

“We’re in the final stretch of Season 2 and are running data science to remove Sybil, self-trading, and wash-trading points,” he said, adding that all slashed and removed points are planned to be redistributed to the community.

The announcement has fueled growing optimism over Lighter’s airdrop, further amplified with Hyperliquid’s listing of the yet-to-launch Lighter token against USDC (USDC) on Monday.

Lighter’s airdrop allocation form open until Friday

Lighter launched an airdrop allocation form on Sunday, allowing users to direct their tokens to up to four additional wallets.

The optional form lets users allocate different token amounts to each wallet, with submissions accepted through Friday.

“If you do not submit this form and are eligible, the airdrop will be sent to your main Lighter account,” Sebas said on Discord.

Source: Discord

Lighter transferred 250 million LIT tokens — representing 25% of the total supply — on Friday, sparking community speculation that the move signaled an upcoming user airdrop ahead of the TGE, expected by Dec. 31.

Source: Fiyalkin

According to Lighter, its Season 1 points program ended with the final private beta distribution on Sept. 30, while Season 2 points are distributed every Friday.

Related: Hyperliquid says ex-employee responsible for HYPE token shorting

The points are earned by running organic trading strategies via user interface and application programming interface.

Polymarket odds on Lighter airdrop at 86%

Amid rising community anticipation, the odds that Lighter’s airdrop will occur before the end of the year have been climbing on the prediction market Polymarket, with $9.5 million in volume backing bets that it will take place by Dec. 31.

At least 86% of traders have positioned their predictions on a “yes” scenario.

Onchain analyst Andrew 10 GWEI previously suggested that the airdrop would happen by the end of December, using an alleged insider bet proof on Polymarket.

Source: Polymarket

The news follows Lighter’s $68 million fundraising round announced in November, led by Peter Thiel’s Founders Fund and fintech investor Ribbit Capital, shortly after the platform launched its public mainnet in October.

Related: Coinbase opens Solana DEX access as CeFi and DeFi converge

Founded in 2022 by tech entrepreneur Vladimir Novakovski, Lighter has emerged as a key competitor in the perpetual decentralized exchange market, ranking as the second-largest perp DEX after Hyperliquid at the time of publication, according to DefiLlama data.

In mid-December, major US cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase added Lighter to its listing roadmap, signaling a potential future listing of the token, which has yet to be generated.

İlgili Sorular

QWhat is the current probability on Polymarket that Lighter's airdrop will occur before the end of the year?

AThe current probability on Polymarket is 86%, with $9.5 million in volume backing bets that the airdrop will take place by December 31st.

QWhat action did Hyperliquid take that amplified the speculation around Lighter's token?

AHyperliquid listed the yet-to-launch Lighter token (LIT) against USDC on Monday, which amplified the growing optimism over the airdrop.

QWhat is the purpose of the airdrop allocation form that Lighter launched, and until when is it open?

AThe optional airdrop allocation form allows eligible users to direct their tokens to up to four additional wallets, with different amounts for each. Submissions are accepted through Friday.

QWhat percentage of the total LIT token supply was transferred recently, and what did this action spark in the community?

ALighter transferred 250 million LIT tokens, representing 25% of the total supply. This sparked community speculation that it signaled an upcoming user airdrop ahead of the Token Generation Event (TGE).

QWho led Lighter's recent $68 million fundraising round?

AThe $68 million fundraising round was led by Peter Thiel's Founders Fund and fintech investor Ribbit Capital.

İlgili Okumalar

VCs on 2025 Crypto Investments: 84% of 118 Tokens Break Issue Price, Only One Type of Company is Quietly Making Money

Crypto investor Ching Tseng categorizes the market into four quadrants based on two axes: crypto-native vs. traditional finance (TradFi)-oriented, and having traction vs. no traction. In 2025, 84.7% of 118 tracked token launches fell below their issuance price, with a median fully diluted valuation drop of 71%. Crypto-native projects without traction are experiencing massive capital destruction, often relying on speculative narratives without sustainable revenue or user retention. Crypto-native teams with traction, often built in prior cycles, generate real revenue but face structural challenges with their tokens lacking direct value capture mechanisms. While some have implemented successful buyback programs, the core issue remains finding growth beyond crypto volatility. TradFi-oriented startups without traction face long, costly enterprise sales cycles but benefit from a robust M&A environment, with crypto acquisitions reaching a record $8.6 billion in 2025. The current winners are TradFi-oriented companies with traction, particularly in the Real World Asset (RWA) tokenization space, which grew from $5.5B to $18.6B in 2025. They are winning through enterprise sales, building alliances, and improving unit economics on established compliance stacks. Their main risk is being bypassed by large incumbent institutions building their own infrastructure. The overarching theme is market maturation, where narrative alone is insufficient for long-term success.

marsbit16 dk önce

VCs on 2025 Crypto Investments: 84% of 118 Tokens Break Issue Price, Only One Type of Company is Quietly Making Money

marsbit16 dk önce

Crypto Trader's Account: Friends Are Leaving, What's Left to Do in This Industry?

Crypto trader Donn reflects on the declining state of the cryptocurrency industry, noting that many peers are leaving due to three core challenges: lack of innovation in the past 2-3 years, the threat of quantum computing to Bitcoin by 2029, and increased DeFi attacks exacerbated by AI models like Claude Mythos. VC activity has stagnated, with few quality token projects generating over $50M in annual income. Liquidity and investor interest have dwindled, shifting focus to traditional markets. For traders, event-based strategies remain viable but are increasingly competitive and low-yield due to reduced open interest and retail participation. Systematic and basis traders are exploring alternative strategies as traditional methods become less profitable. DeFi yield farming is increasingly unattractive due to rising hack risks and insufficient returns, pushing farmers toward off-chain options. On-chain gem hunters still chase high-risk, high-reward opportunities, but success rates are low, and most tokens crash shortly after peaking. Personally, the author is scaling down crypto trading, maintaining a small arbitrage strategy on Polymarket, and exploring AI automation for analytical tasks. He is also researching AI model fine-tuning and broader AI applications beyond crypto, seeking new focus areas as the industry wanes.

marsbit46 dk önce

Crypto Trader's Account: Friends Are Leaving, What's Left to Do in This Industry?

marsbit46 dk önce

To Counter Chinese Models, Silicon Valley's Big Three Even Formed an 'Avengers Alliance'?

In a rare move, Silicon Valley's AI giants—OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google—have formed a coalition called the "Frontier Model Forum" to combat what they term "adversarial distillation." This practice involves companies, particularly Chinese firms like DeepSeek, Moon Dark Side, and MiniMax, allegedly using massive API interactions to extract and replicate the capabilities of advanced models. Anthropic's report claims these firms engaged in over 16 million interactions, copying logic, reasoning chains, and model behaviors to train their own systems at lower costs. While distillation is a known technique, the alliance argues it threatens both commercial interests and safety, as distilled models may bypass critical risk assessments. However, the accusations are met with skepticism, citing hypocrisy, as these giants themselves face lawsuits over unauthorized data scraping. The debate highlights the unresolved ethical and legal gray areas in AI development.

marsbit46 dk önce

To Counter Chinese Models, Silicon Valley's Big Three Even Formed an 'Avengers Alliance'?

marsbit46 dk önce

XRP Ledger Gains Ground, Surpassing Solana In RWA Space – Pundit Shares

The XRP Ledger (XRPL) is gaining significant traction in the cryptocurrency sector, particularly in the real-world asset (RWA) tokenization space, where it has surpassed Solana. With nearly $1.9 billion in tokenized assets, XRPL is positioning itself as a leading network for efficient, affordable, and scalable blockchain integration with traditional assets. A key development is the new TokenEscrow feature, which enables secure holding and release of tokenized assets. According to experts, this amendment, combined with Flare Networks' compute layer, enhances privacy and compliance for RWAs, signaling strong institutional momentum rather than speculative interest. Additionally, Ripple Labs has announced a multi-phase plan to make the XRP Ledger quantum-ready by 2028, addressing potential future threats from quantum computing to blockchain cryptography. The strategy involves post-quantum recovery, proactive planning, exploration of new cryptographic primitives, and a full transition to quantum-resistant signatures.

bitcoinist58 dk önce

XRP Ledger Gains Ground, Surpassing Solana In RWA Space – Pundit Shares

bitcoinist58 dk önce

Warsh Hearing Firmly States: Will Never Be Trump's 'Puppet', Vows to Uphold Federal Reserve Independence

In a Senate Banking Committee hearing on his nomination as Federal Reserve Chair, Kevin Warsh strongly emphasized the Fed's independence, vowing he would "absolutely not" be a "puppet" for former President Trump. He stated that Trump never asked for, and he would never have given, any promise to cut interest rates. Warsh outlined plans for significant reforms at the Fed, including a new inflation framework, less frequent communication from officials, and a gradual reduction of its $6.7 trillion balance sheet. He argued the Fed's recent struggles were self-inflicted and that its large balance sheet had exacerbated wealth inequality ("K-shaped" economy). While not explicitly calling for rate cuts, Warsh suggested AI could boost productivity and create room for them, though he acknowledged its short-term inflationary risks. He also supported integrating digital assets into the financial system but opposed a Fed-issued CBDC. A key obstacle to his confirmation remains Senator Tillis, who vowed to block the nomination until a Justice Department investigation into Chair Powell is resolved.

marsbit1 saat önce

Warsh Hearing Firmly States: Will Never Be Trump's 'Puppet', Vows to Uphold Federal Reserve Independence

marsbit1 saat önce

İşlemler

Spot
Futures
活动图片