"Negative factors are almost gone." Bitcoin price forecasts

cryptonews.ru2026-08-21 tarihinde yayınlandı2026-08-21 tarihinde güncellendi

Özet

"Bitcoin witnessed a significant surge from $62,000 to nearly $80,000 during the week of August 17, driven by a US Treasury decision to increase bond purchases. Several major market players have issued bullish long-term forecasts, suggesting Bitcoin could reach $500,000 in the coming years. However, the short-term outlook remains mixed. Analysts note that negative factors for Bitcoin have largely diminished. American macroeconomist Lyn Alden stated speculative capital has been flushed from the market, and even small gains could attract new buyers. Standard Chartered has set a $100,000 price target by late 2026, viewing the recent breakout above $65,000 as a sign the cycle's bottom is past. VanEck's Matthew Sigel predicts $100,000 next year and a potential rise to $500,000 by 2029, noting the correction from the October 2025 peak is ending. Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong sees a "very likely" scenario of Bitcoin reaching $300,000-$400,000 by 2030 due to US regulatory clarity and adoption. Despite the rally, experts caution that historical data previously suggested the cycle bottom might not occur until autumn 2026. In the near term, Alexander Peresich, CEO of Tekhnobit, commented that Bitcoin could consolidate above $80,000 if sustained demand from spot markets and ETFs continues. Otherwise, profit-taking amid low weekend liquidity could trigger a correction. He views the current momentum as a "sigh of relief rather than a signal of a long-term trend reversal," with the market ...

"RBC-Crypto" does not provide investment advice; the material is published for informational purposes only. Cryptocurrency is a volatile asset that can lead to financial losses.

The week of August 17 saw Bitcoin make an impressive price surge from around $62k to nearly $80k per coin. The trigger was the US Treasury's decision to double the buyback of government bonds to reduce market stress. Concurrently, a number of leading players in the crypto market made forecasts for the main cryptocurrency's price, citing figures around $500k per Bitcoin in the coming years. However, the short-term picture is mixed.

"Negative factors are almost gone," and speculative capital has been washed out of the Bitcoin market, describes American independent macroeconomist Lyn Alden. She added that even relatively small growth at this stage could attract new buyers, which would strengthen Bitcoin's rate.

Against this backdrop, many other experts have again started talking about Bitcoin price forecasts in the long term, suggesting multiple-fold growth in the coming years.

Up to $500k per Bitcoin

British bank Standard Chartered set a target of $100k for Bitcoin by the end of 2026: the US Treasury's decision on bond buybacks became a powerful catalyst for liquidity, and breaking the $65k level, in their opinion, is a sign that the bottom of the current cycle has been passed.

Head of Digital Asset Research at VanEck, Matthew Sigel, noted that the correction that started from the October 2025 peak ($126.2k per Bitcoin) is coming to an end.

"$100k will be next year. If the cycle follows the historical scenario, by 2029 we could see $500k," Sigel remarked.

A few days ago, VanEck noted that the Bitcoin accumulation phase in this cycle will begin in September. They indicated that at the time of the report, 8 out of 12 signals indicating the end of the correction phase had already been triggered.

Head of the largest crypto exchange, Coinbase's Brian Armstrong called it "very likely" for Bitcoin to reach the $300-400k mark by 2030. He noted the adoption and regulatory clarity regarding cryptocurrencies in the US.

Despite the rising rates and positive investor sentiment in recent days, experts earlier, when evaluating historical data, concluded that the cycle bottom would only be passed in the autumn of 2026.

Bitcoin's Near-Term Prospects

In a comment for "RBC-Crypto", Alexander Peresichan, General Director of "Technobit" company, noted that Bitcoin could consolidate above $80k, but only if sustained demand from the spot market and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) continues. If profit-taking begins, a correction is likely, especially against the backdrop of low exit liquidity.

In his opinion, the current impulse is "more of a sigh of relief than a signal of a long-term trend reversal." And the market is still extremely sensitive to inflation expectations and geopolitics: "Any negative news can quickly return BTC to the $65-67k zones, while positive signals can support or extend the rebound."

The expert outlined two scenarios for the weekend. The optimistic one involves holding the price above $76-77k and subsequent movement towards $80k. The pessimistic scenario looks like a pullback to $74-75k, and with strong selling pressure, to $72-73k.

"For now, I wouldn't call the current price movement a fully confirmed trend: the upcoming weekend will show if there is sustainable demand underneath it," Peresichan concluded.

end-content

İlgili Sorular

QAccording to the article, what was the main catalyst for Bitcoin's sharp price surge from $62k to nearly $80k?

AThe catalyst was the decision by the U.S. Treasury Department to double its purchases of government bonds to reduce stress in the market.

QWhat long-term price targets for Bitcoin do experts like Matthew Sigel and Brian Armstrong mention in the article?

AMatthew Sigel of VanEck suggests Bitcoin could reach $500,000 by 2029. Brian Armstrong of Coinbase states it is 'very likely' Bitcoin will reach $300,000 to $400,000 by 2030.

QWhat short-term price scenarios for Bitcoin did Alexander Peresichan outline in his commentary?

AHe outlined two scenarios: an optimistic one where the price holds above $76-77k and moves towards $80k, and a pessimistic one involving a pullback to $74-75k or even $72-73k if selling intensifies.

QAccording to the independent macroeconomist Lyn Alden, what is the current state of the Bitcoin market regarding negative factors and speculative capital?

AShe stated that 'almost no negative factors remain' and that speculative capital has been washed out of the Bitcoin market.

QWhich bank set a target of $100,000 for Bitcoin by the end of 2026, and what did they cite as a reason?

AThe British bank Standard Chartered set a target of $100,000. They cited the U.S. Treasury's bond purchase decision as a powerful liquidity catalyst and considered breaking the $65k level a sign that the current cycle's bottom had been passed.

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