Kalshi Estimates a Low ETH Price This Year After $200B Liquidated in Two Weeks

TheNewsCrypto2026-02-02 tarihinde yayınlandı2026-02-02 tarihinde güncellendi

Özet

Kalshi forecasts a further decline in ETH price, potentially dropping to as low as $1,410 by 2026, amid a broader crypto downturn. The crypto market has lost approximately $200 billion in liquidations over two weeks, with total market cap shrinking by $800 billion since October 2025 highs. Gold and Silver also fell sharply, reflecting broader investor caution. Despite the bearish sentiment, near-term projections remain bullish: BTC is expected to rise over 33% in the next month, while ETH is forecasted to increase by 12.45% to around $2,514.83.

Kalshi expects ETH price to go lower in 2026. This comes on the sidelines of heavy liquidations over the last 2 weeks from across the crypto market. Gold and Silver have slipped as well, triggering anticipation that it was natural for cryptos to plunge. Nevertheless, near-term projections for crypto prices are bullish.

ETH Price to Decline Further, Kalshi Forecasts

ETH is currently listed at $2,283.14, down by 5.99% over the last 24 hours. However, Kalshi has forecasted that the token could go as low as $1.41k in 2026. Ether, also down by 21.08% over the last week, was earlier projected to fall under $2,500 with a 60% chance of moving below the $2k mark.

The report has received responses from the community, with some calling it a cycle wherein over-speculation is followed by a crash. Another community member has said that the only probable way is to short everything. Interestingly, Kalshi Traders earlier forecasted BTC to go as low as $64,000 this year, which is in 2026.

Crypto Market Shrinks Badly

An indirect interpretation is reflecting from the fact that the crypto market just recorded a liquidation of approximately $200 billion in the last 2 weeks. As reported by Yahoo Finance, the global crypto market cap has also shrunk by almost $800 billion to this point from the highs of October 2025.

The collective crypto market cap is now 2.61 trillion, with the FGI at 15 points. Gold and Silver have also recorded sharp falls in their respective values – rolling out an obvious assumption that it was only natural for the crypto market to shrink as investors react to multiple macro factors. Gold declined by 6% and Silver by 12%.

October 10, 2025, reportedly remains the biggest liquidation day, given that the market lost around $19.16 billion on that day. The decline was attributed to the imposition of a 100% tariff on China, which disrupted international trade, and BTC was liquidated amid the rising uncertainty.

Crypto Price Projections

Near-term projections of crypto prices remain bullish. Like, BTC is projected to surge by 33.48% in the next 1 month. This could take its value to around $103,487, amid a medium volatility of 4.43%.

Similarly, ETH is forecasted to rise by 12.45% during the same timeline and trade at around $2,514.83, up from $2,283.14.

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İlgili Sorular

QWhat is Kalshi's forecast for the lowest possible ETH price in 2026?

AKalshi forecasts that ETH could go as low as $1,410 in 2026.

QHow much was liquidated from the crypto market in the last two weeks according to the article?

AApproximately $200 billion was liquidated from the crypto market in the last two weeks.

QWhat was the main reason cited for the major market liquidation on October 10, 2025?

AThe major liquidation was attributed to the imposition of a 100% tariff on China, which disrupted international trade and created rising uncertainty.

QDespite the bearish long-term forecast, what is the near-term price projection for Ethereum (ETH)?

AThe near-term projection for Ethereum is bullish, with a forecasted rise of 12.45% to trade at around $2,514.83.

QWhich other major assets, besides cryptocurrencies, have seen sharp declines in value?

AGold and Silver have also recorded sharp falls, declining by 6% and 12% respectively.

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