Ethereum (ETH) May See Triple-Digit Gains, ETF Inflows Become a Catalyst

cointelegraph_中文2025-12-12 tarihinde yayınlandı2025-12-12 tarihinde güncellendi

Özet

Ethereum (ETH) is showing signs of potential for a significant upward move, with the recent recovery in spot Ethereum ETF inflows acting as a key catalyst. After a pullback from the $3,650–$3,350 supply zone, ETH is now consolidating near $3,200. This coincides with a technical resistance level formed by the 200-day moving average, creating a conflict between technical pressure and improving fund flows. Key data highlights include a 28% increase in spot Ethereum ETF assets since November 21, growing from $16.8 billion to $21.5 billion. Net automated trading volume, while still negative at -$1.38 billion, has improved significantly from the extreme -$5 billion levels seen in October, indicating a structural shift in market sentiment. This metric’s 30-day moving average is also rising, a pattern last observed in early 2025 before ETH’s historic rally. On the price chart, ETH is testing a critical demand zone between $3,100 and $3,180 on the 4-hour chart. Holding this area could lead to a rebound toward the 200-day EMA and a potential challenge of the $3,450 resistance. A break above $3,450 could open a path toward $3,900. However, a breakdown of the channel support might trigger a retest of the $3,000 level. Derivatives data from Hyblock shows a neutral but fragile market structure. While funding rates are positive and mild, the buy/sell order ratio remains balanced, suggesting that spot traders have not yet formed a strong bullish bias. The key for ETH’s next major move dep...

Biraajmaan Tamuly

1 minute ago

Ethereum (ETH) May See Triple-Digit Gains, ETF Inflows Become a Catalyst

Inflows into spot Ethereum ETFs have resumed, while trading volume demand has improved. Will the Ethereum futures market follow this trend and initiate a round of upward movement towards new historical highs?

Ethereum (ETH) prices cooled this week after encountering strong selling pressure in the $3,650 to $3,350 supply zone, currently hovering near $3,200. This pullback coincided with technical resonance on the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), reinforcing resistance pressure from above—this occurred just as spot exchange-traded fund (ETF) inflows began to show signs of recovery, creating a contradictory signal between technicals and capital flows.

Key Points:

Since November 21, the assets under management of spot Ethereum ETFs have increased from $16.8 billion to $21.5 billion, a 28% rise.
Net active trading volume has risen simultaneously, indicating that aggressive selling pressure is weakening, while active buying is gradually returning to the market.

*Ethereum daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView*

ETF Inflows Resume, But ETH Price Chart Reflects Trader Fear.

According to Glassnode data, spot Ethereum ETFs have finally shown "initial signs of recovery" after weeks of capital outflows. Since November 21, total ETF net assets have rebounded by 28%, suggesting year-end demand is gradually improving.

However, compared to the peak value of $32 billion in early October, the current rebound remains moderate, indicating that institutional investor confidence has not fully recovered.

Data from CryptoQuant reinforces this judgment. Net active trading volume remains negative at -$138 million, but it has significantly improved from the extreme level of -$500 million in October, marking a shift in market structure. During the decline from September to October, aggressive sellers dominated the market, but this dynamic is gradually fading.

The 30-day moving average of net active trading volume is also showing an upward trend. This market structure last appeared in early 2025—just before Ethereum initiated a 3x rally and set a new historical high.

If the current trend continues and active trading activity turns positive, it could become a key catalyst in the coming weeks to push Ethereum into a new phase of upward breakout.

*Ethereum Net Active Trading Volume Data. Source: CryptoQuant*

Ethereum Price Fluctuates Near Support, Altcoin Market Cools

Ethereum is currently testing the $3,100 to $3,180 price range on the 4-hour chart, an area that could form a demand support zone. ETH price remains within the upward channel, but upward momentum has noticeably slowed. The market is at a critical structural inflection point.

*Ethereum Four-Hour Chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView*

From a bullish perspective, if the demand area and channel support hold, ETH may rebound to test the daily 200-day EMA. A clear break above $3,450 could negate the previous受阻 structure and open a path to rechallenge the $3,900 resistance level.

However, from a bearish observation, a break below the rising channel support would confirm a bearish signal, potentially triggering a retest of the key $3,000 support level.

Hyblock chain data shows that the Ethereum altcoin market现状 supports a "neutral but fragile" judgment. After the price encountered resistance, the total open interest across the market fell slightly. Funding rates are温和 positive but not excessively high, while the buy/sell order ratio remains near neutral levels, indicating that现货 active traders have not yet formed a strong bullish bias.

*Ethereum Futures Data Analysis. Source: Hyblock Capital*

Ethereum's next key trend will depend on whether the bulls can long-term hold the demand area, allowing the持续 improvement in active trading flow and ETF demand to最终 transform into sustainable upward pressure.

Related Recommendation: Market Predicts Bitcoin (BTC) Will Struggle to Break $100,000 Before Year-End

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision. Although we strive to provide accurate and timely information, Cointelegraph does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information in this article. This article may contain forward-looking statements subject to risks and uncertainties. Cointelegraph is not responsible for any losses or damages resulting from reliance on this information.

#Coin
#Ethereum
#Market
#Cryptocurrency Exchange
#Derivatives
#Financial Derivatives
#Price Analysis
#Futures
#Market analysis
#Altcoin Watch
#Ether Price
#Ethereum Price
#Ethereum ETF
#ETF

İlgili Sorular

QWhat is the main factor that could potentially drive Ethereum (ETH) to a three-digit price surge according to the article?

AThe recovery of spot Ethereum ETF inflows is highlighted as a key catalyst that could potentially drive a three-digit price surge for Ethereum.

QHow much has the total net asset scale of spot Ethereum ETFs grown since November 21st, as mentioned in the article?

AThe total net asset scale of spot Ethereum ETFs has grown by 28%, increasing from $16.8 billion to $21.5 billion since November 21st.

QWhat technical indicator is currently forming a bearish signal and reinforcing resistance for Ethereum's price?

AThe 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is forming a technical bearish signal and reinforcing resistance for Ethereum's price.

QWhat does the improvement in net active trading volume suggest about the market structure for Ethereum?

AThe improvement in net active trading volume suggests that aggressive selling pressure is weakening and active buyers are gradually returning to the market, indicating a structural shift.

QWhat is the critical price resistance level that Ethereum needs to break to potentially challenge the $3,900 resistance zone?

AEthereum needs to clearly break above the $3,450 level to potentially challenge the $3,900 resistance zone.

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